本文選題：消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu) + 聚類分析��； 參考：《湖南科技大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文

【摘要】：居民消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu)不僅反映地區(qū)居民消費(fèi)偏好程度以及對(duì)居民收入、消費(fèi)品價(jià)格等因素的敏感程度,而且能反映地區(qū)居民生活質(zhì)量與區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平。因此,研究我國(guó)消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu)特征及其影響因素,具有重大理論和現(xiàn)實(shí)意義。本文首先運(yùn)用時(shí)間序列分析方法,分析了我國(guó)消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu)變遷的變化趨勢(shì);并基于聚類分析方法原理,通過(guò)構(gòu)建類之間最小距離關(guān)于分類數(shù)的函數(shù)關(guān)系,以函數(shù)曲線在分類數(shù)點(diǎn)的曲線斜率變化特征創(chuàng)新分類數(shù)的確定方法,對(duì)2015年我國(guó)31個(gè)省、直轄市、自治區(qū)的城鎮(zhèn)居民消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu)差異化特征進(jìn)行研究。然后借用產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)高度化概念模型的思想,構(gòu)建消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu)高度化測(cè)度模型,分析了我國(guó)消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu)的高度化特征。同時(shí),根據(jù)消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu)合理化評(píng)價(jià)標(biāo)準(zhǔn)分析了我國(guó)城鎮(zhèn)居民消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu)的合理化特征。最后基于我國(guó)消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu)動(dòng)態(tài)面板數(shù)據(jù),運(yùn)用GMM方法分析了我國(guó)消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu)的影響因素。研究結(jié)果表明:我國(guó)城鎮(zhèn)居民消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu)還存在較大差異,將近三分之二屬于中西部地區(qū)的省份消費(fèi)水平在全國(guó)平均水平以下。我國(guó)消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu)高度化正處于第三和第四層次的發(fā)展階段,正逐步向最高階段發(fā)展,但居民消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu)還有很大的上升空間。從生理合理化角度,我國(guó)居民消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu)比較合理,從經(jīng)濟(jì)合理化角度逐漸從不合理向合理化發(fā)展,但從社會(huì)合理化角度,我國(guó)城鎮(zhèn)居民消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu)還存在不合理的現(xiàn)象。實(shí)證結(jié)果發(fā)現(xiàn),我國(guó)城鎮(zhèn)居民消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu)受消費(fèi)習(xí)慣的影響較大,食品支出占比、衣著支出占比以及交通與通信支出占比與居民可支配收入有著比較顯著的負(fù)影響,而居民可支配收入對(duì)文教娛樂(lè)支出占比具有顯著的正向影響,說(shuō)明我國(guó)城鎮(zhèn)居民在收入不斷提高的情況下更加追求高品質(zhì)的生活,享受型和發(fā)展型資料消費(fèi)的比重逐漸增加�；谝陨涎芯拷Y(jié)論,本文認(rèn)為我國(guó)消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu)的優(yōu)化,要從三個(gè)主要方面入手:一是進(jìn)一步促進(jìn)中西部地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展,增加中西部地區(qū)居民人均可支配收入,改善區(qū)域的消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu),實(shí)現(xiàn)各地區(qū)均衡發(fā)展;二是由于我國(guó)城鎮(zhèn)居民消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu)受消費(fèi)習(xí)慣的影響較大,應(yīng)該在增加居民可支配收入的同時(shí),進(jìn)一步完善我國(guó)的社會(huì)保障機(jī)制,解決居民消費(fèi)的后顧之憂,引導(dǎo)居民逐步形成比較合理的消費(fèi)觀念,逐步改變不合理的消費(fèi)習(xí)慣;三是構(gòu)建積極向上、樂(lè)于奉獻(xiàn)的價(jià)值觀體系,引導(dǎo)廣大居民追求更高的價(jià)值觀,促進(jìn)向發(fā)展型消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu)的升級(jí)。
[Abstract]:The consumption structure of residents not only reflects the degree of local residents' consumption preference and sensitivity to residents' income and consumer price, but also reflects the quality of life of local residents and the level of regional economic development. Therefore, it is of great theoretical and practical significance to study the characteristics of consumption structure and its influencing factors. In this paper, we first use the time series analysis method to analyze the changing trend of consumption structure in China, and based on the principle of cluster analysis, we construct the functional relationship of the minimum distance between classes on the number of categories. With the method of determining the curve slope change characteristics of function curve at the classification point, the paper studies the difference characteristics of urban residents' consumption structure in 2015 in 31 provinces, municipalities and autonomous regions in China. Then, by using the idea of the concept model of industrial structure elevation, the paper constructs a high scale measure model of consumption structure, and analyzes the characteristics of high scale consumption structure in China. At the same time, according to the rational evaluation standard of consumption structure, the rational characteristics of consumption structure of urban residents in China are analyzed. Finally, based on the dynamic panel data of China's consumption structure, this paper analyzes the influencing factors of China's consumption structure by using GMM method. The results show that there are still great differences in the consumption structure of urban residents in China, and the consumption level of nearly 2/3 provinces belonging to the central and western regions is below the national average. China's consumption structure is in the third and fourth levels of development stage, is gradually developing to the highest stage, but there is still a lot of room for improvement of the consumption structure of the residents. From the point of view of physiological rationalization, the consumption structure of Chinese residents is more reasonable, and from the point of view of economic rationalization, it gradually develops from unreasonable to rational, but from the point of view of social rationalization, there is still unreasonable phenomenon in the consumption structure of urban residents in our country. The empirical results show that the consumption structure of urban residents in China is greatly affected by their consumption habits. The proportion of food expenditure, clothing expenditure and transportation and communication expenditure have a significant negative impact on the disposable income of residents. However, the disposable income has a significant positive impact on the expenditure of cultural and educational entertainment, indicating that the urban residents in our country are pursuing higher quality of life under the condition of rising income, and the proportion of material consumption of enjoyment type and development type is gradually increasing. Based on the above conclusions, this paper thinks that the optimization of consumption structure of our country should start from three main aspects: first, to further promote the economic development of the central and western regions, and to increase the per capita disposable income of the residents in the central and western regions. To improve the regional consumption structure and achieve balanced development in various regions; second, because the consumption structure of urban residents in China is greatly affected by their consumption habits, we should further improve our social security mechanism while increasing the disposable income of the residents. To solve the worries of residents' consumption, guide the residents to form a more reasonable consumption concept, and gradually change unreasonable consumption habits; third, build a positive and positive value system, which is willing to give, Guide the general population to pursue higher values and promote the upgrading of the development-oriented consumption structure.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：湖南科技大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號(hào)】：F126.1

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