本文選題：收入分布 + 消費(fèi)分布　； 參考：《西北農(nóng)林科技大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文

【摘要】：本文基于CFPS 2010年、2012年和2014年的調(diào)查數(shù)據(jù),首先概述了我國居民的收入分布形態(tài)、收入不平等程度和城鄉(xiāng)收入分配差異狀況。研究結(jié)果表明我國居民的收入分布存在“尖峰”和“右偏”特征,居民收入分配差距很大,農(nóng)村居民的收入不平等程度要高于城鎮(zhèn)居民,并且我國整體居民的收入不平等同時(shí)受城鄉(xiāng)內(nèi)部收入差距和城鄉(xiāng)之間收入差距的影響。進(jìn)一步,本文運(yùn)用相對(duì)分布法詳細(xì)分析了居民收入分布變遷狀況和城鄉(xiāng)收入分布差異,并運(yùn)用相對(duì)極化指數(shù)研究我國居民收入極化的變化趨勢(shì)以及城鄉(xiāng)居民收入極化的差異情況。研究結(jié)果表明,經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)促使我國收入水平較低的群體和中等收入群體向更高的收入水平流動(dòng),且經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)對(duì)最高收入群體的影響更大,尤其是農(nóng)村居民的最高收入群體,而收入分配對(duì)我國居民收入分布的影響則非常復(fù)雜,影響方向不定。居民收入兩極分化逐年加劇,但加劇的程度有減弱趨勢(shì),其中城鎮(zhèn)居民收入分布極化程度一直高于農(nóng)村居民。其次,本文概述了我國居民的消費(fèi)分布形態(tài)、消費(fèi)分位數(shù)變化狀況和城鄉(xiāng)居民消費(fèi)差距狀況,研究結(jié)果表明我國居民消費(fèi)分布同樣具有“尖峰”、“右偏”的特點(diǎn),且消費(fèi)密度曲線隨著年份的增加而逐漸平緩,城鎮(zhèn)居民人均家庭消費(fèi)水平明顯高于農(nóng)村居民,且城鄉(xiāng)居民的消費(fèi)差距很大。通過相對(duì)分布法,對(duì)居民消費(fèi)分布變遷和城鄉(xiāng)居民的消費(fèi)分布差異進(jìn)行分析,研究表明,城鎮(zhèn)居民最低消費(fèi)群體比重的下降程度要高于農(nóng)村居民,而農(nóng)村居民最高消費(fèi)群體比重的增加幅度則顯著大于城鎮(zhèn)居民。居民人均家庭消費(fèi)分布極化程度逐年加劇,其中城鎮(zhèn)居民的消費(fèi)分布極化程度都比相應(yīng)年份的農(nóng)村居民消費(fèi)分布極化程度要高,LRP是導(dǎo)致我國城鎮(zhèn)居民消費(fèi)極化程度高于農(nóng)村居民消費(fèi)的主要原因,也就是與農(nóng)村居民相比,有更多的城鎮(zhèn)居民向較低的消費(fèi)水平流動(dòng)。最后,本文運(yùn)用無條件分位數(shù)回歸模型研究了收入對(duì)消費(fèi)的影響,研究結(jié)果表明,當(dāng)期人均家庭純收入對(duì)人均家庭消費(fèi)具有非常顯著的正向影響,收入的回歸系數(shù)隨居民消費(fèi)水平的提高而增加,且收入因素對(duì)城鎮(zhèn)居民人均家庭消費(fèi)的影響要大于農(nóng)村居民。從2010年、2012年到2014年,城鎮(zhèn)居民人均家庭純收入對(duì)人均家庭消費(fèi)的邊際影響隨時(shí)間的變動(dòng)呈先下降后增加的趨勢(shì),農(nóng)村居民人均家庭純收入對(duì)最低消費(fèi)群體(0.1分位點(diǎn))人均家庭消費(fèi)的邊際影響隨時(shí)間的變動(dòng)趨勢(shì)與城鎮(zhèn)居民相同,但對(duì)其余消費(fèi)群體人均家庭消費(fèi)的邊際影響則逐年遞增。進(jìn)一步,本文在無條件分位數(shù)回歸模型的基礎(chǔ)上,對(duì)消費(fèi)分布進(jìn)行時(shí)間維度的Oaxaca-Blinder分解,旨在分離出收入變動(dòng)對(duì)消費(fèi)變動(dòng)的影響。實(shí)證結(jié)果顯示,在稟賦效應(yīng)分解中,收入因素的變動(dòng)對(duì)不同年份的消費(fèi)變動(dòng)影響最大,并且收入變動(dòng)帶來的稟賦效應(yīng)對(duì)城鎮(zhèn)居民的影響高于農(nóng)村居民,隨著消費(fèi)分位點(diǎn)的走高,該影響在城鄉(xiāng)居民之間的差異也越來越大。
[Abstract]:Based on the survey data of CFPS in 2010, 2012 and 2014, this paper first summarizes the income distribution patterns, income inequality and income distribution differences between urban and rural residents in China. The results show that the income distribution of residents in China is characterized by "peak" and "right deviation", and the income distribution gap is very large, and the income of rural residents is very large. The inequality level is higher than the urban residents, and the income inequality of the whole residents in our country is influenced by the income gap between urban and rural areas and the income gap between urban and rural areas. Further, this paper uses relative distribution method to analyze the changes of income distribution and the distribution of income distribution in urban and rural areas, and to study China by using the relative polarization index. The change trend of residents' income polarization and the difference of income polarization between urban and rural residents. The results show that economic growth has promoted the flow of lower income groups and middle income groups to higher income levels in China, and the impact of economic growth on the highest income groups is greater, especially the highest income groups of rural residents, The income distribution has a very complicated influence on the distribution of residents' income in China. The polarization of residents' income is aggravated year by year, but the degree of intensification has a weakening trend. The polarization of urban residents' income distribution has been higher than that of rural residents. Secondly, the consumption distribution pattern and consumption quantile change of the residents in China are summarized in this paper. The research results show that the consumption distribution of the residents in China also has the characteristics of "peak", "right deviation", and the consumption density curve gradually slowly with the increase of the year. The per capita household consumption level of urban residents is obviously higher than that of rural residents, and the consumption gap between urban and rural residents is very large. The distribution method is used to analyze the distribution changes of residents' consumption and the difference of consumption distribution between urban and rural residents. The study shows that the decrease of the proportion of the lowest consumption groups of urban residents is higher than that of rural residents, while the increase in the proportion of the highest consumption groups of the rural residents is significantly greater than that of the urban residents. In the year, the polarization degree of urban residents' consumption distribution is higher than that of the rural residents in corresponding years. LRP is the main reason why the consumption polarization of urban residents is higher than that of rural residents, that is, more urban residents flow to lower consumption level compared with rural residents. This paper uses the unconditional quantile regression model to study the effect of income on consumption. The results show that the per capita net income has a very significant positive impact on the per capita household consumption, and the regression coefficient of income increases with the increase of the consumption level of the residents, and the influence of the income on the per capita household consumption of urban residents should be influenced. From 2010 to 2014, from 2012 to 2014, the marginal effect of per capita household income on per capita household consumption of urban residents decreased first and then increased with time, and the marginal effect of the per capita net income of rural residents on the per capita household consumption of the lowest consumption group (0.1 points) was changed with time and city The town residents are the same, but the marginal effect on the per capita household consumption of the other consumer groups is increasing year by year. Further, on the basis of the unconditional quantile regression model, the Oaxaca-Blinder decomposition of the time dimension of the consumption distribution is carried out to separate the influence of the income change on the consumption change. In the solution, the change of income factors has the greatest impact on the change of consumption in different years, and the influence of income change on urban residents is higher than that of rural residents. With the increase of consumption points, the difference between urban and rural residents is becoming more and more significant.

【學(xué)位授予單位】：西北農(nóng)林科技大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號(hào)】：F126;F224

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本文編號(hào)：1845911