孟中印緬區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)合作的障礙與對策分析
本文選題:區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)合作 + 孟中印緬 ; 參考:《云南財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文
【摘要】:世界經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展至今日,形成了以經(jīng)濟(jì)全球化和區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)一體化的兩大趨勢,很多國家順應(yīng)這種趨勢主動(dòng)參與到區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)合作中去。孟中印緬地區(qū)山水相連,地理位置優(yōu)越,四國連接著東亞、東南亞和南亞,該地區(qū)人口截止2010年已超過27億,有著廣泛的人口資源和市場,除此之外孟中印緬地區(qū)是全球資源最豐富的地區(qū)之一。進(jìn)入21世紀(jì)以來,四國經(jīng)濟(jì)快速發(fā)展,經(jīng)濟(jì)之間互補(bǔ)性強(qiáng),經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展?jié)摿Υ蟆R虼,孟中印緬地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)合作有著較強(qiáng)的現(xiàn)實(shí)基礎(chǔ)。 然而,由于孟中印緬地區(qū)長期以來交通不便,,中印歷史遺留下來的邊界糾紛問題,以及四國對合作的信任程度不夠,導(dǎo)致了四國的合作進(jìn)程比較緩慢。隨著近幾屆“孟中印緬經(jīng)濟(jì)合作論壇”的舉行,四國已就加強(qiáng)貿(mào)易、金融、政治、旅游、教育、文化、交通等方面的合作與交流逐漸達(dá)成了共識(shí),并且尋求在更廣泛的領(lǐng)域達(dá)成統(tǒng)一的合作與交流意向,尤其在加強(qiáng)各國間的經(jīng)濟(jì)和對外貿(mào)易合作方面,各國的合作愿望逐漸增強(qiáng)。 本文立足于現(xiàn)階段孟中印緬地區(qū)開展全面合作的可行性分析,結(jié)合孟中印緬開展合作過程中的障礙,力爭為中國在全面參與孟中印緬地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)合作中提供有益的對策建議。本文除引言、結(jié)論和展望外包括五個(gè)部分,具體情況如下:第一章為導(dǎo)言,主要對研究背景和意義、文獻(xiàn)綜述、研究方法及技術(shù)路線、創(chuàng)新之處做了說明。第二章具體闡述了孟中印緬區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)的現(xiàn)狀,對其貿(mào)易水平、金融合作進(jìn)行了分析,根據(jù)分析結(jié)果對未來孟中印緬經(jīng)濟(jì)合作的發(fā)展趨勢和特征進(jìn)行了歸納和總結(jié)。第三章采用了貿(mào)易引力模型對孟中印緬的雙邊貿(mào)易進(jìn)行量化,得出了影響孟中印緬區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)合作的貿(mào)易引力模型,最后運(yùn)用引力模型對中國與孟印緬三國的貿(mào)易潛力進(jìn)行了分析,發(fā)現(xiàn)中國的出口貿(mào)易未能達(dá)到飽和狀態(tài)。第四章從經(jīng)濟(jì)、政治、文化、自然四個(gè)層面分析了中國與孟印緬擴(kuò)大合作的可行性。第五章分析了雙邊與多邊經(jīng)濟(jì)合作過程中出現(xiàn)的主要障礙及每個(gè)障礙的具體情況。第六章結(jié)合可行性和面臨的障礙,針對具體問題提出了促進(jìn)中國與孟印緬經(jīng)濟(jì)合作健康發(fā)展的政策建議。 本文的創(chuàng)新之處是目前對孟中印緬區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)合作的研究中,大多集中在貿(mào)易合作,本文不僅僅把貿(mào)易合作作為經(jīng)濟(jì)合作的重點(diǎn),還考慮了經(jīng)濟(jì)合作的另一方面金融合作,以及政治、文化、自然因素等方面對區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)合作的影響。另一個(gè)創(chuàng)新點(diǎn)是通過使用貿(mào)易引力模型,對中國與對孟印緬三國的出口額進(jìn)行了回歸分析,然后對中國與孟印緬的貿(mào)易潛力進(jìn)行了預(yù)測。
[Abstract]:To today, the world economy has formed two major trends in economic globalization and regional economic integration. Many countries take the initiative to participate in regional economic cooperation. The mountains and rivers in the region of Mencius and Myanmar are connected, the geographical position is superior, and the four countries connect East Asia, Southeast Asia and South Asia. The population of the region is over 2 billion 700 million in 2010. With a wide range of population resources and markets, in addition to this, the Mencius and India and Myanmar are one of the most abundant regions in the world. Since twenty-first Century, the four countries have developed rapidly, the economic complementarity is strong and the economic development potential is great. Therefore, the economic cooperation between China and India and Myanmar has a strong realistic basis.
However, the four countries have been strengthening trade, finance, politics, tourism, education, as a result of the long traffic inconveniences, the border dispute over the history of China and India, and the lack of confidence in the cooperation between the four countries and the four countries, which have led to the slow pace of cooperation between the four countries. Cooperation and communication between education, culture and transportation gradually reached a consensus and sought to achieve a unified cooperation and exchange of intentions in a wider range of fields, especially in strengthening the economic and foreign trade cooperation among countries, and the desire for cooperation between countries was gradually strengthened.
This article is based on the feasibility analysis of the comprehensive cooperation between China and India and Myanmar at the present stage, and in the light of the obstacles in the process of cooperation between China and India and Myanmar, and strive to provide useful suggestions for China's comprehensive participation in the economic cooperation between China and India and Myanmar. This paper, in addition to the introduction, includes five parts, the following: first, the following: first, the following: first, the following: first, the following: The second chapter expounds the current situation of the regional economy in Mencius, India and Myanmar, analyzes its trade level and financial cooperation, and carries out the development trend and characteristics of the economic cooperation between China and India and Myanmar, according to the analysis results. In the third chapter, the trade gravitational model is used to quantify the bilateral trade between Mencius and India and Myanmar, and the model of trade gravitation which affects the economic cooperation between China and India and Myanmar is obtained. Finally, the trade potential of China and the three countries of menmyanmar is analyzed by the gravitational model, and the export trade of China is not saturated. The four chapter analyzes the feasibility of expanding cooperation between China and Mencius Myanmar from four aspects of economy, politics, culture and nature. The fifth chapter analyzes the main obstacles in bilateral and multilateral economic cooperation and the specific situation of each obstacle. The sixth chapter puts forward the promotion of China and Meng Yin in accordance with the feasibility and the obstacles facing them. Policy recommendations for the healthy development of economic cooperation in Myanmar.
The innovation of this paper is that at present, most of the research on economic cooperation between China and India and Myanmar is concentrated in trade cooperation. This article not only regards trade cooperation as the focus of economic cooperation, but also considers the other aspects of economic cooperation, as well as the influence of political, cultural and natural factors on regional economic cooperation. The new point is a regression analysis of China's exports to the countries of Mencius and Myanmar through the use of the trade gravitational model, and then forecasts the trade potential of China and Mencius Burmese.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:云南財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2014
【分類號(hào)】:F114.46
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