本文選題：武漢城市圈 + 產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)��； 參考：《湖北省社會科學院》2017年碩士論文

【摘要】：上個世紀70年代以來,我國經(jīng)濟發(fā)展迅速,經(jīng)濟活力逐漸增強,2010年我國國內(nèi)生產(chǎn)總值初次超過日本成為僅次于美國的全球第二大經(jīng)濟體,2016年我國國內(nèi)生產(chǎn)總值突破70萬億,其中,三次產(chǎn)業(yè)比例為8.56:39.81:51.63,呈現(xiàn)出三二一產(chǎn)業(yè)格局。結(jié)合人均GDP及城鎮(zhèn)化率等數(shù)據(jù)看,我國已經(jīng)步入工業(yè)化中期階段。但隨著人口老齡化問題加重、中等收入風險積聚等問題的凸顯,我國經(jīng)濟增速放緩,經(jīng)濟增長進入新常態(tài)。面對日益分化的結(jié)構(gòu)性經(jīng)濟,我國應積極轉(zhuǎn)變發(fā)展思路,進一步優(yōu)化供給側(cè)機制,調(diào)整升級產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu),促進經(jīng)濟穩(wěn)定健康增長。近幾年,隨著中部崛起、打造長江經(jīng)濟帶等國家級戰(zhàn)略的推行,武漢城市圈經(jīng)濟發(fā)展迅速,產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)得到進一步調(diào)整優(yōu)化的同時,布局愈發(fā)合理。但在發(fā)展過程中,出現(xiàn)的一些問題,如產(chǎn)業(yè)附加值較低,產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)部結(jié)構(gòu)性產(chǎn)能過剩等等,對武漢城市圈經(jīng)濟的協(xié)調(diào)有序發(fā)展產(chǎn)生了負面影響。本文以“基于偏離份額模型的武漢城市圈產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)分析”為題,在文章結(jié)構(gòu)上分為五章:第一章,導論。依次論述了本文的研究背景,選題意義,文獻綜述,研究思路以及研究發(fā)放,其中文獻綜述闡述了國內(nèi)外目前關(guān)于城市圈及產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)方面的研究現(xiàn)狀和發(fā)展趨勢。第二章,基本概念及理論基礎。闡述了城市圈,產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的基本概念和相關(guān)分類,接著對本文相關(guān)理論基礎,如經(jīng)濟增長理論,主要包括古典經(jīng)濟增長理論和現(xiàn)代經(jīng)濟增長理論等,產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)演變理論,主要包括產(chǎn)業(yè)布局比較優(yōu)勢理論,區(qū)域產(chǎn)業(yè)布局理論和產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)演變理論,偏離-份額模型,包括模型的建立、計算以及結(jié)果分析,進行詳細論述。第三章,武漢城市圈產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀。對武漢城市圈總體概況,及產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)現(xiàn)狀進行全面分析,總結(jié)武漢城市圈產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)基礎及發(fā)展特點,并進一步分析武漢城市圈內(nèi)各城市產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)現(xiàn)狀和存在問題,為下文運用偏離-份額模型全面分析武漢城市圈產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)變動情況做準備。第四章,武漢城市圈產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的偏離-份額法分析。首先運用收集的相關(guān)數(shù)據(jù),使用偏離-份額模型對武漢城市圈內(nèi)部9座城市三次產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)進行分析,對其產(chǎn)業(yè)增速,產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)對經(jīng)濟總量的貢獻及其競爭力進行考量,然后對武漢城市圈整體產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)進行分析,最后將湖北省產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)回歸結(jié)果與武漢城市圈做對比,并得出相關(guān)結(jié)論。第五章,最終結(jié)論與政策建議。通過本文分析,可知在結(jié)構(gòu)性供給側(cè)改革的背景下,武漢城市圈一二產(chǎn)業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)對經(jīng)濟總量增長的貢獻逐漸降低,競爭力也明顯減弱,第三產(chǎn)業(yè)在經(jīng)濟總量中所占比例則穩(wěn)步提升,發(fā)展較快,總體而言,武漢城市圈產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)仍有較大調(diào)整空間。對此,應著力優(yōu)化武漢城市圈產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)布局,發(fā)揮圈內(nèi)各城市各產(chǎn)業(yè)比較優(yōu)勢,促進各城市間協(xié)同發(fā)展,最終促進武漢城市圈經(jīng)濟的發(fā)展。
[Abstract]:Since the 1970s, China's economy has developed rapidly and its economic vitality has gradually increased. In 2010, China's GDP surpassed Japan for the first time to become the second largest economy in the world after the United States. In 2016, China's GDP exceeded 70 trillion. Among them, the ratio of three industries is 8.56: 39.81: 51.63. Combined with per capita GDP and urbanization rate and other data, China has entered the middle stage of industrialization. However, with the aggravation of population aging and the accumulation of middle-income risks, China's economic growth rate has slowed and economic growth has entered a new normal. In the face of the increasingly divided structural economy, our country should actively change the thinking of development, further optimize the supply-side mechanism, adjust and upgrade the industrial structure, and promote the steady and healthy growth of the economy. In recent years, with the rise of the central region and the implementation of the national strategy of creating the Yangtze River economic belt, Wuhan City Circle has developed rapidly, the industrial structure has been further adjusted and optimized, and the layout has become more and more reasonable. However, in the process of development, some problems, such as low added value of industry, overcapacity of industrial structure and so on, have a negative impact on the coordinated and orderly development of Wuhan urban circle economy. Based on the analysis of the industrial structure of Wuhan urban circle based on the model of deviation share, this paper is divided into five chapters: chapter one, introduction. In turn, this paper discusses the research background, the significance of the topic, literature review, research ideas and research distribution, including the literature review of the current domestic and foreign on the urban area and industrial structure research status and development trend. The second chapter, the basic concept and theoretical basis. This paper expounds the basic concepts and related classification of urban circle and industrial structure, and then discusses the relevant theoretical basis of this paper, such as economic growth theory, including classical economic growth theory and modern economic growth theory, industrial structure evolution theory, etc. It mainly includes the theory of comparative advantage of industrial layout, the theory of regional industrial layout and the theory of evolution of industrial structure, the model of deviation-share, including the establishment of model, calculation and analysis of results, and discussed in detail. The third chapter, Wuhan city circle industrial structure development present situation. This paper makes a comprehensive analysis of the general situation of Wuhan urban circle and the present situation of industrial structure, summarizes the industrial structure foundation and development characteristics of Wuhan urban circle, and further analyzes the present situation and existing problems of the industrial structure of each city in Wuhan urban circle. In order to analyze the industrial structure change of Wuhan city circle by using the deviation-share model. Chapter four, the analysis of the industrial structure of Wuhan City Circle by the method of deviation-share. First of all, using the relevant data collected, using the deviation-share model to analyze the tertiary industrial structure of 9 cities in Wuhan urban circle, and to consider the industrial growth rate, the contribution of industrial structure to the total economic volume and its competitiveness. Then the whole industrial structure of Wuhan city circle is analyzed, and the result of industrial structure regression in Hubei province is compared with Wuhan city circle, and the relevant conclusions are drawn. Chapter V, the final conclusions and policy recommendations. Through the analysis of this paper, we know that under the background of the structural supply-side reform, the contribution of the industrial structure of Wuhan city circle to the total economic growth is gradually reduced, and the competitiveness is also obviously weakened. The proportion of tertiary industry in the total economic volume is rising steadily and developing rapidly. In general, the industrial structure of Wuhan City Circle still has great room for adjustment. In view of this, we should optimize the industrial structure layout of Wuhan urban circle, give play to the comparative advantage of each industry in each city of Wuhan, promote the coordinated development among cities, and finally promote the development of Wuhan urban circle economy.
【學位授予單位】：湖北省社會科學院
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2017
【分類號】：F127

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