本文選題：經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展 + 動(dòng)態(tài)監(jiān)測(cè)��； 參考：《浙江大學(xué)》2014年博士論文

【摘要】：目前,我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)發(fā)展面臨巨大的轉(zhuǎn)型升級(jí)壓力,同時(shí)又深受世界經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)深度調(diào)整的影響,要從容應(yīng)對(duì)這一發(fā)展環(huán)境以及該環(huán)境所提出的挑戰(zhàn),就必須堅(jiān)持走經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展之路。為貫徹落實(shí)經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展,必然要了解我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展水平,并明確我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展的影響因素和影響機(jī)理,在此基礎(chǔ)上提出實(shí)現(xiàn)我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展的對(duì)策。在本研究中,集中解決五個(gè)重要問(wèn)題：一是建構(gòu)一套較為科學(xué)的動(dòng)態(tài)監(jiān)測(cè)我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展的指標(biāo)體系；二是尋找合適的用于測(cè)度我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展的模型；三是動(dòng)態(tài)監(jiān)測(cè)我國(guó)橫向和縱向的經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展水平；四是探索我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展的影響因素和影響機(jī)理；五是提出實(shí)現(xiàn)我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展的對(duì)策建議。為解決以上問(wèn)題,本研究將采用定性與定量相結(jié)合的混合研究路徑進(jìn)行研究。其中定性研究主要用于梳理已有相關(guān)文獻(xiàn),并從系統(tǒng)論角度對(duì)我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展進(jìn)行理論解析以及最后提出實(shí)現(xiàn)我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展的對(duì)策建議；定量研究則主要用于我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展指標(biāo)體系的構(gòu)建、我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展水平的動(dòng)態(tài)監(jiān)測(cè)以及我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展的影響因素及影響機(jī)理的探索。在具體操作過(guò)程中,也采用了多種研究方法,其中資料收集方法包括問(wèn)卷調(diào)查法、文獻(xiàn)法以及頭腦風(fēng)暴法等；資料分析法包括隸屬度分析、鑒別力分析、相關(guān)分析以及結(jié)構(gòu)方程模型分析等。圍繞五個(gè)關(guān)鍵問(wèn)題,在一定方法論的指導(dǎo)下,對(duì)我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展問(wèn)題的研究取得了以下5個(gè)主要研究結(jié)論：①構(gòu)建了較為科學(xué)的動(dòng)態(tài)監(jiān)測(cè)我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展的指標(biāo)體系。本研究嚴(yán)格按照量表編制的程序進(jìn)行指標(biāo)體系的構(gòu)建,最終形成了包含12個(gè)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展指標(biāo)和14個(gè)社會(huì)發(fā)展指標(biāo)的我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展動(dòng)態(tài)監(jiān)測(cè)指標(biāo)體系。②建立了監(jiān)測(cè)我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展的模型。根據(jù)我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展的內(nèi)涵,本研究認(rèn)為監(jiān)測(cè)我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展的模型至少滿(mǎn)足兩個(gè)條件：即要能測(cè)量我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)發(fā)展度,也能測(cè)量經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)協(xié)調(diào)度。依據(jù)這樣的理解,對(duì)離差系數(shù)進(jìn)行了改造,構(gòu)造了我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展動(dòng)態(tài)監(jiān)測(cè)模型。③動(dòng)態(tài)監(jiān)測(cè)了我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展水平。以我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展動(dòng)態(tài)監(jiān)測(cè)指標(biāo)體系為基礎(chǔ),采集相關(guān)數(shù)據(jù),運(yùn)用所構(gòu)造的協(xié)調(diào)模型工具,分別對(duì)1986-2012年我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展水平以及2012年我國(guó)31個(gè)省、市、自治區(qū)的經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展水平進(jìn)行了監(jiān)測(cè)。1986-2012年時(shí)間序列上的我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展指數(shù)表明,總體而言,我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展水平處于不斷上升趨勢(shì),協(xié)調(diào)等級(jí)也從失調(diào)向協(xié)調(diào)轉(zhuǎn)變。從時(shí)間剖面上來(lái)看,2012年我國(guó)31個(gè)省、市、自治區(qū)的經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展指數(shù)差異較為明顯,從協(xié)調(diào)等級(jí)來(lái)看,我國(guó)31個(gè)省、市、自治區(qū)處于良好協(xié)調(diào)的有4個(gè),處于中級(jí)協(xié)調(diào)的有8個(gè),處于初級(jí)協(xié)調(diào)的有12個(gè),處于勉強(qiáng)協(xié)調(diào)的有5個(gè),處于瀕臨失調(diào)的有2個(gè)。④采用結(jié)構(gòu)方程模型分析了我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展的影響因素和影響機(jī)理。通過(guò)結(jié)構(gòu)方程模型分析,估計(jì)了我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展影響因素以及影響因素對(duì)我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展水平的影響的大小。其中市場(chǎng)經(jīng)濟(jì)成熟度和政府宏觀(guān)調(diào)控有效度對(duì)我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展呈現(xiàn)正面的積極影響,而公民社會(huì)成熟度則對(duì)我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展有負(fù)面影響。⑤提出了實(shí)現(xiàn)我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展的對(duì)策建議。根據(jù)經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展的影響因素與影響機(jī)理的結(jié)構(gòu)方程模型分析,從市場(chǎng)-政府-社會(huì)視角提出系統(tǒng)的促進(jìn)我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展的對(duì)策,認(rèn)為可以從完善社會(huì)主義市場(chǎng)經(jīng)濟(jì)體制、建立有限政府以及培養(yǎng)活力社會(huì)三個(gè)方面促進(jìn)我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展,最終形成市場(chǎng)主責(zé)、政府主導(dǎo)、社會(huì)主行的三大主體協(xié)同共治局面。
[Abstract]:At present, China's economic and social development faces great pressure of transformation and upgrading, and is deeply influenced by the depth adjustment of the world economic structure. To cope with this development environment and the challenges posed by this environment, we must adhere to the road of coordinated economic and social development. In order to carry out the coordinated development of economic society, we must understand our country. The level of economic and social development is coordinated and the influence and influence mechanism of the coordinated development of our country's economy and society are clearly defined. On this basis, the countermeasures are put forward to realize the coordinated development of our country's economy and society. In this study, five important problems are solved: one is to construct a more scientific and dynamic monitoring of the coordinated development of our country's economy and society. The two is to find a suitable model to measure the coordinated development of our country's economy and society; the three is to dynamically monitor the horizontal and vertical economic and social coordinated development level of our country; the four is to explore the influencing factors and the influence mechanism of the coordinated development of our country's economy and society, and five to put forward the countermeasures to realize the coordinated development of our country's economy and society. In order to solve the above problems, this study will study the mixed research path of the combination of qualitative and quantitative. The qualitative research is mainly used to comb the existing literature and analyze the coordinated development of China's economy and society from the perspective of system theory and finally put forward the countermeasures and suggestions to realize the coordinated development of our country's economy and society. The quantitative research is mainly used in the construction of the economic and social coordinated development index system in China, the dynamic monitoring of the coordinated development level of our economy and society, the influencing factors and the mechanism of the coordinated development of our country's economy and society. In the process of specific operation, many methods are used, among which the data collection methods include the question. The survey method, the literature method and the brainstorming method, etc. the data analysis method includes the membership degree analysis, the discriminative analysis, the correlation analysis and the structural equation model analysis. Under the guidance of the five key problems, the following 5 main conclusions are obtained in the study of the coordinated development of our country's economy and society under the guidance of a certain methodology: 1 A more scientific indicator system for dynamic monitoring of the coordinated development of economic and social development in China is built. This study is constructed strictly in accordance with the program compiled by the scale. Finally, a dynamic monitoring index system for coordinated development of economic and social development in China has been formed with 12 economic development indicators and 14 social development indicators. According to the connotations of coordinated economic and social development in China, according to the connotations of the coordinated development of our country's economy and society, this study holds that the model for monitoring the coordinated development of our country's economy and society meets at least two conditions: that is to measure the economic and social development of our country and to measure the coordination degree of the economy and society. According to this understanding, the coefficient of deviation is reformed. The dynamic monitoring model of coordinated development of economic and social development in China is constructed. (3) the coordinated development level of China's economy and society is monitored dynamically. Based on the dynamic monitoring index system of China's economic and social coordinated development, relevant data are collected, and the coordinated development level of China's economy and society in 1986-2012 years is respectively applied to the coordinated development level of China's economy and society by using the coordinated model tools constructed. And the economic and social coordinated development level of 31 provinces, cities and autonomous regions in China in 2012 and the economic and social coordinated development index of China in the.1986-2012 year series of monitoring shows that, in general, the level of economic and social coordinated development in China is on the rising trend, and the coordination level has also changed from imbalance to coordination. From the time section, In 2012, the economic and social coordinated development index of the 31 provinces, cities and autonomous regions of our country is more obvious. From the level of coordination, there are 4 in 31 provinces, cities and autonomous regions in China, 8 in intermediate coordination, 12 in primary coordination, 5 in barely coordinated and 2 in the near misalignment. (4) adopt the structure The influence factors and the influence mechanism of the coordinated development of economic and social development in China are analyzed by the equation model. Through the analysis of the structural equation model, the influence factors of the coordinated development of China's economic and social development and the influence factors on the coordinated development level of our country's economy and society are estimated. The maturity of the market economy and the effectiveness of the government's macro regulation and control are also analyzed. It has positive positive impact on the coordinated development of our country's economy and society, and the maturity of civil society has a negative impact on the coordinated development of our country's economy and society. The government social perspective puts forward the countermeasures to promote the coordinated development of our country's economy and society. It is believed that we can promote the coordinated development of China's economy and society from three aspects: perfecting the socialist market economic system, establishing a limited government and cultivating a dynamic society, and finally forming the main responsibility of the market, the government leading, and the three main bodies of the social main line. Deal with the situation.

【學(xué)位授予單位】：浙江大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：博士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】：F124;D630

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