發(fā)布時(shí)間：2018-04-13 09:08

  本文選題：城鄉(xiāng)收入差距 + 經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)��； 參考：《西南大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文

【摘要】：本文主要研究城鎮(zhèn)化過(guò)程中城鄉(xiāng)收入差距演變及其對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)影響問(wèn)題。在借鑒國(guó)內(nèi)外相關(guān)研究基礎(chǔ)上,建立基本框架分析城鄉(xiāng)收入差距演變理論邏輯及對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的影響傳動(dòng)機(jī)制,隨后對(duì)改革開(kāi)放以來(lái)重慶市城鄉(xiāng)收入差距、經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的演變特征進(jìn)行初步分析,接著對(duì)理論分析的結(jié)果進(jìn)行了計(jì)量檢驗(yàn),最后從線(xiàn)性、空間統(tǒng)計(jì)兩個(gè)不同角度分析城鄉(xiāng)收入差距對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的影響效應(yīng)。 理論分析表明：以泰爾指數(shù)為代表的城鄉(xiāng)收入差距與城鎮(zhèn)化率之間存在典型的倒U關(guān)系；重慶市城鄉(xiāng)收入差距與人口城鎮(zhèn)化率、土地城鎮(zhèn)化率及財(cái)政政策偏向有關(guān),具體效應(yīng)需以計(jì)量分析予以驗(yàn)證；城鄉(xiāng)收入差距引起要素集聚,產(chǎn)生產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚,從而在空間上發(fā)生一系列的連鎖反應(yīng),城鄉(xiāng)收入差距引起的空間效應(yīng)最后通過(guò)消費(fèi)、投資以及對(duì)外貿(mào)易或者FDI傳動(dòng)到經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)上。 計(jì)量分析表明：(1)重慶市城鄉(xiāng)收入差距雖近幾年有所減低,但是一直在大于全國(guó)平均水平的高位運(yùn)行；直轄以后重慶市的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)速度明顯加快。(2)以泰爾指數(shù)和城鄉(xiāng)收入比代表的城鄉(xiāng)收入差距在整體走勢(shì)上有所差別,直轄以來(lái)前者表現(xiàn)為逐漸下降的趨勢(shì),較為平滑,但二者都表現(xiàn)為先下降后上升再下降的趨。(3)重慶市人口城鎮(zhèn)化率、土地城鎮(zhèn)化率及政府經(jīng)濟(jì)參與度對(duì)城鄉(xiāng)收入差距的影響大體可分為三個(gè)階段,第一階段是1999年前,以上三個(gè)變量的彈性系數(shù)均為負(fù)；第二階段為2000-2007年,三個(gè)變量的彈性迅速陡升,變化率為正2007年達(dá)峰值,城鄉(xiāng)收入差距在逐漸拉大；第三階段為2008-2012年,2007年重慶成為統(tǒng)籌城鄉(xiāng)改革的試驗(yàn)區(qū),此后三變量對(duì)城鄉(xiāng)差距的影響雖降,但仍高于全國(guó)平均水平,當(dāng)前重慶城鄉(xiāng)收入差距演變已成“鎖定”之勢(shì)。(4)重慶市城鄉(xiāng)收入差距對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)影響的傳導(dǎo)機(jī)制主要表現(xiàn)為：城鄉(xiāng)收入差距長(zhǎng)期上對(duì)消費(fèi)的負(fù)向作用,城鄉(xiāng)收入差距與社會(huì)固定資產(chǎn)投資的無(wú)關(guān)性——說(shuō)明重慶市社會(huì)投資政府主導(dǎo)作用強(qiáng)、市場(chǎng)程度弱,以及城鄉(xiāng)收入差距對(duì)FDI的長(zhǎng)期正向影響。(5)重慶市城鄉(xiāng)差距對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的效應(yīng),本文的線(xiàn)性模型估計(jì)表明前者對(duì)后者的影響逐年增強(qiáng),極化發(fā)展勢(shì)頭明顯；空間分析表明,重慶市經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)在空間上具有自相關(guān)性,局部存在聚集,分析認(rèn)為要素集聚、經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)集聚二者在制度、文化、區(qū)位條件等因素的影響下互相累積因果,加強(qiáng)了重慶市經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的空間非均衡性。 文章最后根據(jù)以上各研究結(jié)論進(jìn)行了討論,并提出了相應(yīng)的政策建議。
[Abstract]:This paper mainly studies the evolution of urban-rural income gap and its impact on economic growth in the process of urbanization.On the basis of domestic and foreign relevant research, this paper establishes a basic framework to analyze the theoretical logic of urban-rural income gap evolution and its impact on economic growth, and then analyzes the urban-rural income gap in Chongqing since the reform and opening up.The evolution characteristics of economic growth are preliminarily analyzed, and the results of theoretical analysis are tested by econometrics. Finally, the effects of urban-rural income gap on economic growth are analyzed from two different angles: linear and spatial statistics.The theoretical analysis shows that there is a typical inverted U relation between urban-rural income gap and urbanization rate, and the urban-rural income gap is related to population urbanization rate, land urbanization rate and fiscal policy bias.The specific effects need to be verified by econometric analysis; the income gap between urban and rural areas leads to factors agglomeration and industrial agglomeration, thus a series of chain reactions occur in space, and the spatial effect caused by urban-rural income gap finally passes through consumption.Investment and foreign trade or FDI drive to economic growth.The econometric analysis shows that the income gap between urban and rural areas in Chongqing has decreased in recent years, but has been running at a higher level than the national average.The economic growth rate of Chongqing Municipality has obviously accelerated. (2) the urban-rural income gap represented by the Terre index and the urban-rural income ratio has a difference in the overall trend. The former shows a gradual downward trend and is relatively smooth since it became directly under the jurisdiction.However, both of them are the trend of decreasing first, then rising and then decreasing.) the urbanization rate of Chongqing population, the influence of land urbanization rate and government economic participation on the income gap between urban and rural areas can be divided into three stages: the first stage is before 1999.The elasticity coefficient of the above three variables is all negative, the second stage is 2000-2007, the elasticity of the three variables rises rapidly and steeply, the change rate reaches the peak in 2007, and the income gap between urban and rural areas is gradually widening.The third stage is 2008-2012. In 2007, Chongqing became a pilot area for urban and rural reform. The impact of the three variables on the urban-rural gap has decreased, but is still higher than the national average.The transmission mechanism of the influence of urban-rural income gap on economic growth in Chongqing is as follows: the negative effect of urban-rural income gap on consumption in a long time.The irrelevance of the income gap between urban and rural areas and social investment in fixed assets shows that the social investment government in Chongqing has a strong leading role and a weak market.And the long-term positive effect of urban-rural income gap on FDI. (5) the effect of urban-rural disparity on economic growth in Chongqing. The linear model estimates show that the influence of the former on the latter is increasing year by year, and the trend of polarization is obvious.The economic growth of Chongqing has the spatial autocorrelation and the local aggregation. It is considered that the factor agglomeration and the economic growth agglomeration are cumulative causality under the influence of institution, culture, location conditions and so on.The spatial disequilibrium of economic growth in Chongqing has been strengthened.Finally, the paper discusses the above conclusions and puts forward the corresponding policy recommendations.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：西南大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】：F124.7;F127

【參考文獻(xiàn)】

相關(guān)博士學(xué)位論文 前1條

1 孫華臣;城鎮(zhèn)化進(jìn)程中的城鄉(xiāng)收入差距演變及其對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的門(mén)限效應(yīng)[D];山東大學(xué);2012年

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本文編號(hào)：1743834