吉林省基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施投資與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)關(guān)系的實(shí)證研究
本文選題:經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng) 切入點(diǎn):基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施投資 出處:《東北師范大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文 論文類(lèi)型:學(xué)位論文
【摘要】:基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施影響人們的衣食住行和社會(huì)生產(chǎn)的各個(gè)方面,基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施投資的重要性也引起諸多經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)者的注意并進(jìn)行了大量的研究,在理論上和實(shí)證研究中給予了基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施的重要性和先行性以支持。但是大多數(shù)的研究都是關(guān)于我國(guó)或者較發(fā)達(dá)省份和地區(qū)的,對(duì)于吉林省研究甚少。伴隨著吉林省近年來(lái)不斷有很多新建的基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施投資項(xiàng)目,這種投資對(duì)吉林省經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的具體作用需要得到驗(yàn)證。本文根據(jù)相關(guān)基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施投資影響經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的宏觀理論和發(fā)展經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)理論,進(jìn)行了適當(dāng)?shù)睦碚搫?chuàng)新,分析了基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施投資影響經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的直接傳導(dǎo)機(jī)制和間接影響機(jī)制。本文在對(duì)1996-2012年吉林省基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施投資的統(tǒng)計(jì)性描述后,基于計(jì)量分析中的協(xié)整理論和誤差修正,得出當(dāng)吉林省礎(chǔ)設(shè)施投資增加1%時(shí)經(jīng)濟(jì)總量增加0.06936%,在格蘭杰檢驗(yàn)中得出吉林省1996-2012年的基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施投資只對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)具有短期影響,其長(zhǎng)期影響不顯著的結(jié)論。本文最后對(duì)于吉林省基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施投資進(jìn)行簡(jiǎn)單評(píng)價(jià)并分別基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施投資結(jié)構(gòu)、制度設(shè)置和政治環(huán)境等方面給出政策建議。
[Abstract]:Infrastructure affects people's food, clothing, housing and all aspects of social production. The importance of infrastructure investment has also attracted the attention of many economists and carried out a lot of research. In both theoretical and empirical studies, the importance and forerunner of infrastructure are supported. However, most of the studies are about our country or the more developed provinces and regions. There is very little research in Jilin Province. With the continuous development of many new infrastructure investment projects in Jilin Province in recent years, The concrete effect of this kind of investment on the economic growth of Jilin Province needs to be verified. According to the macro theory and the development economics theory that the infrastructure investment affects the economic growth, this paper has carried on the appropriate theoretical innovation. This paper analyzes the direct conduction mechanism and indirect influence mechanism of infrastructure investment affecting economic growth. After the statistical description of infrastructure investment in Jilin Province from 1996 to 2012, based on the theory of cointegration and error correction in econometric analysis, It is concluded that when the basic infrastructure investment in Jilin Province increases by 1 percent, the total economic volume will increase by 0.0693636. In the Granger test, it is concluded that the infrastructure investment in Jilin Province from 1996 to 2012 will only have a short-term impact on the economy. In the end, the paper makes a simple evaluation of the infrastructure investment in Jilin Province and gives some policy suggestions on the infrastructure investment structure, institutional setting and political environment respectively.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:東北師范大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2014
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】:F283;F127
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