中國區(qū)域要素替代彈性變遷及其增長效應(yīng)——基于異質(zhì)勞動視角的隨機(jī)前沿生產(chǎn)函數(shù)分析
本文選題:勞動技能分化 切入點(diǎn):要素替代彈性 出處:《財經(jīng)研究》2017年06期 論文類型:期刊論文
【摘要】:文章采用1996-2014年省際面板數(shù)據(jù)構(gòu)建區(qū)域隨機(jī)前沿生產(chǎn)函數(shù)模型,從勞動異質(zhì)性視角拓展要素替代彈性分析;并首次聯(lián)合運(yùn)用協(xié)整方程和誤差修正模型,從長期均衡和短期波動過程分析來揭示要素替代約束對經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的影響。結(jié)果發(fā)現(xiàn):盡管三大區(qū)域各自的要素替代彈性變化顯著不同,但要素替代彈性的增長效應(yīng)卻彼此具有一致性。其中,東部地區(qū)的資本-勞動替代彈性明顯地存在著0.805的增長門檻,只有西部地區(qū)的資本-勞動替代彈性越過了門檻值,與區(qū)域增長具有尚不顯著的正相關(guān)性而支持德拉格蘭德維爾假說;三大區(qū)域的資本-技能互補(bǔ)性提高對經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的推動作用都不明顯;勞動-技能替代彈性則表現(xiàn)為顯著的正向增長效應(yīng),顯示出各區(qū)域存在著人力資本紅利。值得注意的是,與均衡增長路徑上"資本-勞動替代彈性提高能夠推動經(jīng)濟(jì)增長"的德拉格蘭德維爾假說不同,在考慮勞動異質(zhì)性和技術(shù)非效率的前提下,中國地區(qū)增長更支持"勞動-技能替代彈性提高能夠推動經(jīng)濟(jì)增長"的結(jié)論。文章為甄別新常態(tài)下的區(qū)域增長潛力轉(zhuǎn)變、剖析要素匹配合理性及產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整可行性奠定基礎(chǔ)。
[Abstract]:Based on the provincial panel data from 1996 to 2014, this paper constructs a regional stochastic frontier production function model, extends the element substitution elasticity analysis from the perspective of labor heterogeneity, and uses cointegration equation and error correction model for the first time. The effects of factor substitution constraints on economic growth are revealed from the analysis of long-term equilibrium and short-term fluctuation process. However, the growth effect of element substitution elasticity is consistent with each other. Among them, the capital-labor substitution elasticity in the eastern region obviously has a growth threshold of 0.805, and only the capital-labor substitution elasticity in the western region has crossed the threshold. There is no significant positive correlation with regional growth, which supports the de la Grande Ville hypothesis, and the promotion of capital-skill complementarity in the three regions on economic growth is not obvious. The labor-skill substitution elasticity shows a significant positive growth effect, indicating the existence of human capital dividends across regions. Different from the de la Granville hypothesis that "the increase of capital-labor substitution elasticity can promote economic growth" in the path of balanced growth, under the consideration of labor heterogeneity and technological inefficiency, The regional growth in China supports the conclusion that "the improvement of labor-skill substitution elasticity can promote economic growth". This paper lays a foundation for discriminating the regional growth potential transformation under the new normal, analyzing the rationality of factor matching and the feasibility of industrial structure adjustment.
【作者單位】: 福州外語外貿(mào)學(xué)院開放型經(jīng)濟(jì)與貿(mào)易研究中心;
【基金】:福建省科技廳軟科學(xué)項目(2017R0061) 福州外語外貿(mào)學(xué)院博士科研啟動基金項目(FWB16001)
【分類號】:F127;F224;F249.27
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