治理意外之財(cái):資源豐裕型發(fā)展中經(jīng)濟(jì)體的最優(yōu)政策選擇
發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-03-05 16:21
本文選題:自然資源收益 切入點(diǎn):意外的公共收益 出處:《經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)體制比較》2017年02期 論文類型:期刊論文
【摘要】:一國(guó)政府在面臨自然資源的意外收益,特別是這種收益是可預(yù)期的,但同時(shí)又是暫時(shí)收益時(shí),政府將在以下方面作出選擇:如何管理公共債務(wù)、投資、針對(duì)消費(fèi)的基金分配等。我們的研究發(fā)現(xiàn)在永久收入假說下,在這筆收入產(chǎn)生之前依靠借債維持消費(fèi)持續(xù)增長(zhǎng),然后積累國(guó)家財(cái)富基金,這種做法對(duì)資本稀缺的發(fā)展中國(guó)家來說,并不是最優(yōu)的政策選擇。這些國(guó)家應(yīng)該通過社會(huì)和私人資本的積累去加速發(fā)展,只有這筆意外收入遠(yuǎn)遠(yuǎn)大于其外部債務(wù)時(shí),最優(yōu)選擇才是建立國(guó)家財(cái)富基金。相對(duì)于永久收入假說,消費(fèi)的最優(yōu)時(shí)間偏向近期。結(jié)果取決于政府可以使用的工具。我們將研究以下幾種情況:政府可以對(duì)消費(fèi)者進(jìn)行一次性的轉(zhuǎn)移支付;當(dāng)轉(zhuǎn)移支付不可行時(shí),政府的最優(yōu)選擇包括降低稅收扭曲以提高投資和工資;當(dāng)李嘉圖式的消費(fèi)者能夠借出未來收益,政府針對(duì)可能出現(xiàn)的超前消費(fèi),可以選擇較高的基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施投資水平。
[Abstract]:In the face of windfall gains from natural resources, especially when they are predictable but also temporary, a government will choose how to manage public debt and invest, Our study found that under the permanent income hypothesis, we rely on borrowing to maintain a sustained increase in consumption before this income is generated, and then accumulate a national wealth fund. This approach is not the best policy option for capital-scarce developing countries. These countries should accelerate development through the accumulation of social and private capital, only when this windfall income far exceeds their external debt. The best option is to set up a national wealth fund. As opposed to the permanent income hypothesis, The optimal time for consumption is in the near future. The result depends on the tools available to the government. We will look at the following scenarios: the government can make a one-time transfer payment to the consumer; and when the transfer payment is not feasible, The government's best option includes reducing tax distortions to boost investment and wages; when Ricardo consumers can lend out future gains, the government can choose higher levels of infrastructure investment for possible overspending.
【作者單位】: 牛津大學(xué)經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)系;山西大學(xué)經(jīng)濟(jì)與管理學(xué)院;山西省社會(huì)科學(xué)院經(jīng)濟(jì)研究所;
【基金】:國(guó)家社會(huì)科學(xué)基金項(xiàng)目“中等收入階段礦產(chǎn)資源收益的國(guó)家治理:基于經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)非均衡發(fā)展的視角”(項(xiàng)目編號(hào):14CJL036)資助
【分類號(hào)】:F112.1
【相似文獻(xiàn)】
相關(guān)重要報(bào)紙文章 前2條
1 李霞;資源收益的分配比例應(yīng)作合理調(diào)整[N];內(nèi)蒙古日?qǐng)?bào)(漢);2008年
2 周建軍;自然資源監(jiān)管亟待加強(qiáng)[N];學(xué)習(xí)時(shí)報(bào);2010年
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