本文關(guān)鍵詞： 經(jīng)濟轉(zhuǎn)型期 居民消費需求 不確定性　出處：《黑龍江大學》2014年碩士論文　論文類型：學位論文

【摘要】：改革開放以來，中國經(jīng)濟轉(zhuǎn)型不斷加速。進入二十一世紀后，隨著對外貿(mào)易中低成本比較優(yōu)勢的減弱，國際產(chǎn)業(yè)與技術(shù)升級、創(chuàng)新速度的加快，以及國內(nèi)外市場競爭的日趨劇烈，使得相對過剩下的中國經(jīng)濟發(fā)展在國內(nèi)消費、國際出口方面出現(xiàn)了明顯動力不足現(xiàn)象。自上世紀90年代中后期以來，如何擴大內(nèi)需成為學界與決策層所共同關(guān)注的話題。 本文以經(jīng)濟轉(zhuǎn)型時期中國居民消費需求的影響因素作為研究對象。首先，從居民消費需求持續(xù)下降這一現(xiàn)象切入，深入分析轉(zhuǎn)型期居民消費需求變化的現(xiàn)狀和特征，并結(jié)合世界部分主要國家同時期的相同指標數(shù)據(jù)進行對比分析，以期對轉(zhuǎn)型期中國居民消費需求的水平進行全局性的定位。然后，利用經(jīng)典消費理論對轉(zhuǎn)型期中國居民不同時段消費需求的影響因素進行梳理。接下來，，對主要影響因素進行實證分析。最后,從當前和未來一段時期內(nèi)中國的宏觀調(diào)控主基調(diào)出發(fā)，具體提出了增加居民收入與穩(wěn)定消費預期、改革初次收入分配結(jié)構(gòu)與調(diào)整二次收入分配政策、規(guī)范發(fā)展各類市場與改善消費環(huán)境、加強企業(yè)創(chuàng)新升級與培育消費增長點等一系列宏觀調(diào)控的政策組合建議。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up, China's economic transformation has been accelerating. Since 21th century, with the weakening of the comparative advantage of low cost in foreign trade, the upgrading of international industry and technology, and the acceleration of the speed of innovation, As well as the increasingly fierce competition in the domestic and foreign markets, which makes China's economic development under the relative surplus of domestic consumption and international exports obvious underpowered phenomenon. Since the middle and late period of -10s, How to expand domestic demand has become a common concern of academic circles and decision-makers. This paper takes the influencing factors of the consumption demand of Chinese residents in the period of economic transition as the research object. First of all, from the phenomenon of the continuous decline of the consumption demand of the residents, the paper deeply analyzes the current situation and characteristics of the change of the consumption demand of the residents in the transition period. Combining with the same index data of some major countries in the world, this paper makes a comparative analysis on the level of consumption demand of Chinese residents in the transition period. Then, Using the classical consumption theory to sort out the influencing factors of Chinese residents' consumption demand in different periods of time. Then, the main influencing factors are analyzed empirically. Finally, Starting from the main tone of China's macroeconomic regulation and control at present and for a period of time in the future, the paper puts forward specific proposals to increase residents' income and stabilize consumption expectations, to reform the structure of initial income distribution and to adjust the policy of secondary income distribution. A series of policy combinations of macro-control, such as standardizing the development of various markets and improving the consumption environment, strengthening the innovation and upgrading of enterprises and cultivating consumption growth points, are proposed.
【學位授予單位】：黑龍江大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F126.1

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本文編號：1554118