本文關(guān)鍵詞： 中國企業(yè) 政治風(fēng)險 對外投資　出處：《上海師范大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：中國和印度是世界上人口最多的兩個發(fā)展中國家和新興經(jīng)濟體,有著緊密的經(jīng)貿(mào)合作關(guān)系。隨著“一帶一路”戰(zhàn)略的推進(jìn),中國對印度的投資也將加大,但從目前中國對印度的投資來看,情況并不樂觀。首先,盡管中國和印度之間的貿(mào)易量很大,而且呈現(xiàn)逐漸上漲的趨勢,但中國對印度的直接投資量卻很小,與兩國的經(jīng)貿(mào)發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀不匹配。其次,中印之間貿(mào)易摩擦頻繁,印度是對華提起反侵銷調(diào)查最多的國家。還有,從最近中日競標(biāo)印度高鐵項目失敗也可以看出,印度對中國還是有很多顧慮,尤其是政治方面的不信任。研究中國企業(yè)對印度投資的政治風(fēng)險,能夠及時為國家和企業(yè)制定對外投資決策提供參考和建議,有利于中國對外投資的快速、健康發(fā)展,有利于“一帶一路”在南亞地區(qū)的順利推行,以及中印外交關(guān)系的進(jìn)一步發(fā)展。本文主要包括四大部分:第一部分,分析中國企業(yè)在印度投資的原因、現(xiàn)狀、特點,并結(jié)合中國社會科學(xué)院發(fā)布的《中國海外投資國家風(fēng)險評級報告2016》以及經(jīng)濟學(xué)家情報單位發(fā)布的《中國海外投資指數(shù)報告2015》分析評價印度的政治風(fēng)險系數(shù),發(fā)現(xiàn)印度屬于高風(fēng)險高機遇的國家。第二部分,從宏觀、微觀兩個視角分析中國企業(yè)對印度投資的政治風(fēng)險。宏觀角度,從東道國和國際環(huán)境層面進(jìn)行研究,微觀視角立足于企業(yè),從企業(yè)自身著手原因分析。研究發(fā)現(xiàn)印度國內(nèi)腐敗嚴(yán)重、戰(zhàn)爭和內(nèi)亂風(fēng)險高,政府辦事效率低,“安全審查”,“中國威脅論”等都是對印度投資時不可忽視的政治風(fēng)險因素。第三部分,案例分析,結(jié)合美國安然公司印度大博電廠項目失敗,華為在印度投資受阻,日本競標(biāo)印度高鐵成功進(jìn)行政治風(fēng)險因素的深入研究。第四部分,就中國企業(yè)在印度投資面臨的各種政治風(fēng)險,分析通過國際組織、國家和企業(yè)等單元建立“三維”應(yīng)對措施,以構(gòu)建有效的相關(guān)國際機制、外交途徑、企業(yè)投資規(guī)范,并使“三維”政策體系化。
[Abstract]:China and India are the two most populous developing countries and emerging economies in the world, and have close economic and trade ties. With the promotion of Belt and Road's strategy, China's investment in India will also increase. But from the point of view of China's current investment in India, the situation is not optimistic. First of all, although the volume of trade between China and India is very large and showing an increasing trend, the amount of Chinese direct investment in India is very small. It does not match the current economic and trade development of the two countries. Secondly, there are frequent trade frictions between China and India, and India has the most anti-invasion and sales investigations against China. Also, from the recent failure of the Sino-Japanese bid for India's high-speed rail project, it can also be seen that, India still has many concerns about China, especially political distrust. Studying the political risks of Chinese enterprises' investment in India can provide a timely reference and advice for the state and enterprises to make foreign investment decisions. This paper is conducive to the rapid and healthy development of China's foreign investment, the smooth implementation of Belt and Road in South Asia and the further development of Sino-Indian diplomatic relations. Analyzing the reasons, present situation and characteristics of Chinese enterprises' investment in India, Combined with the National risk rating report of China's overseas Investment published by the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences 2016 and the China overseas Investment Index report 2015 published by the Economist Intelligence Unit, the political risk coefficient of India was analyzed and evaluated. It is found that India is a high-risk and high-opportunity country. The second part analyzes the political risk of Chinese enterprises' investment in India from the macro and micro perspectives. From the macro point of view, the research is carried out from the host country and the international environmental level. The microcosmic perspective is based on the enterprise and analyzes the reasons from the enterprise itself. The study found that India has serious corruption and high risk of war and civil strife. The government's inefficiency, "security review" and "China threat" are all political risk factors that cannot be ignored when investing in India. Part three, case study, combined with the failure of the Enron India Power Plant Project in India. Huawei's investment in India was blocked, and Japan bid for high-speed rail in India to conduct an in-depth study of political risk factors. Part 4th, through international organizations, analyzed the various political risks faced by Chinese enterprises in investing in India. In order to construct effective international mechanism, diplomatic channel, enterprise investment norm, and make "three-dimensional" policy system, the unit of state and enterprise should set up "three dimensional" countermeasures.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：上海師范大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號】：F279.2;F125;D735.1

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