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產(chǎn)業(yè)空間重構(gòu)與河南省經(jīng)濟(jì)非集聚研究

發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-02-12 16:23

  本文關(guān)鍵詞: 產(chǎn)業(yè)空間重構(gòu) 毗鄰效應(yīng) 外部性 非集聚 出處:《河南大學(xué)》2014年博士論文 論文類型:學(xué)位論文


【摘要】:2005年以來,中國工業(yè)開始在三大地區(qū)間重新配置,然而在此過程中,河南省與中部地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)增速差距不斷拉大。增速差距按產(chǎn)業(yè)分解,河南省與中部地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)增速差距拉大60%源于制造業(yè)增速差距,18%源于第三產(chǎn)業(yè)增速差距。為了厘清河南省制造業(yè)和第三產(chǎn)業(yè)與中部地區(qū)增速差距不斷拉大的原因,本文對河南省和中部地區(qū)的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長情況進(jìn)行了更長時(shí)間的考察。兩個(gè)令人疑惑的問題浮現(xiàn)出來:一是河南省制造業(yè)在2007年之前無論是規(guī)模還是增速都遠(yuǎn)快于中部地區(qū),,2007年之后“突然”與中部地區(qū)制造業(yè)增速差距不斷拉大;二是導(dǎo)致河南第三產(chǎn)業(yè)長期滯后的因素是河南省經(jīng)濟(jì)活動(dòng)不向城市集聚,這與新經(jīng)濟(jì)地理學(xué)所述的在任何空間維度經(jīng)濟(jì)活動(dòng)最大的空間特征都呈現(xiàn)集聚狀態(tài),形成了鮮明反差。梳理國內(nèi)產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移和產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚方面的文獻(xiàn)鮮見在省級層面對產(chǎn)業(yè)空間重構(gòu)機(jī)制研究的文獻(xiàn),更未見到對一些省份經(jīng)濟(jì)活動(dòng)不向城市集聚研究的文獻(xiàn)。但對河南省經(jīng)濟(jì)問題的研究,無法繞開上述兩個(gè)問題。為此本文整理了自1999年以來,全國各。ㄊ校20個(gè)二位數(shù)制造業(yè)數(shù)據(jù)以及全國280多個(gè)地級及以上城市的相關(guān)數(shù)據(jù)。經(jīng)定量分析和量化回歸研究,本文發(fā)現(xiàn):1.2004年以來,東部地區(qū)制造業(yè)整體上呈現(xiàn)出向中西部地區(qū)重構(gòu)的態(tài)勢,但實(shí)際發(fā)生產(chǎn)業(yè)空間重構(gòu)的省份在2007年之前僅有北京、天津、上海和廣東。2007年之后浙江開始產(chǎn)業(yè)空間重構(gòu),但其他東部省份則無此現(xiàn)象。在產(chǎn)業(yè)空間重構(gòu)毗鄰效應(yīng)的影響下,中西部地區(qū)省份只有在空間上毗鄰產(chǎn)業(yè)空間重構(gòu)省(市)的才受此影響,制造業(yè)增速加快。遠(yuǎn)離產(chǎn)業(yè)空間重構(gòu)。ㄊ校┑闹形鞑康貐^(qū)省份制造業(yè)增速前后并無明顯變化;2.河南省制造業(yè)主導(dǎo)產(chǎn)業(yè)80%屬于在省級層面分散布局的產(chǎn)業(yè)。這類產(chǎn)業(yè)在一個(gè)省份發(fā)展到一定程度受產(chǎn)業(yè)自身空間屬性的影響,進(jìn)一步發(fā)展的空間有限。上述兩個(gè)原因共同導(dǎo)致了,在河南省制造業(yè)規(guī)模遠(yuǎn)大于中部地區(qū)其他省份的情況下,2007年之后卻與中部地區(qū)制造業(yè)增速差距不斷拉大的情況;3.河南省經(jīng)濟(jì)活動(dòng)主要分布在縣及縣以下區(qū)域的經(jīng)濟(jì)空間結(jié)構(gòu)不僅影響第三產(chǎn)業(yè)的發(fā)展,而且使河南省在城鎮(zhèn)化問題上面臨與全國其他省份相比更復(fù)雜的局面。對河南省經(jīng)濟(jì)活動(dòng)未向城市集聚的量化回歸分析顯示,河南以農(nóng)副產(chǎn)品加工業(yè)和非金屬礦物制品業(yè)為主的產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)是造成河南經(jīng)濟(jì)活動(dòng)不向城市集聚的主要原因。河南省經(jīng)濟(jì)不向城市集聚是受到它產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)影響,并非是和空間經(jīng)濟(jì)理論背離,反而是對小地理空間范圍內(nèi)經(jīng)濟(jì)集聚度受產(chǎn)業(yè)外部性影響的一個(gè)驗(yàn)證。
[Abstract]:Since 2005, China's industry has been redistributed among the three major regions. However, in the process, the gap between Henan and the central region has been widening. The gap between the growth rate of Henan Province and the central region has been broken down by industry. The economic growth gap between Henan Province and the central region has widened by 60% because of the gap in the growth rate of the manufacturing industry and 18 percent from the gap in the growth rate of the tertiary industry. In order to clarify the reasons for the widening growth gap between the manufacturing industry and the tertiary industry in Henan Province and the central region, This paper examines the economic growth in Henan province and the central region for a longer time. Two puzzling questions have emerged. One is that the manufacturing industry in Henan Province grew much faster than the middle before 2007. Part of the region, after 2007, "suddenly" and the central region of manufacturing growth gap continues to widen; Second, the reason that the tertiary industry in Henan lags behind for a long time is that the economic activities in Henan Province do not agglomerate to the cities, which shows the agglomeration state with the largest spatial characteristics of economic activities in any spatial dimension as described in the New Economic Geography. The literature on industrial transfer and industrial agglomeration is seldom found at the provincial level. But the study of economic problems in Henan Province can not avoid the above two problems. There are 20 double-digit manufacturing data in all provinces and cities in China and more than 280 cities at prefectural level and above. Through quantitative analysis and quantitative regression analysis, we find that: 1. The manufacturing industry in the eastern region as a whole showed the trend of reconstructing to the central and western regions, but the provinces that actually took place in the industrial space reconstruction were Beijing, Tianjin, Shanghai and Guangdong only before 2007. After 2007, Zhejiang began the industrial space reconstruction. However, other eastern provinces do not have this phenomenon. Under the influence of the adjacent effect of industrial space reconstruction, the central and western provinces are only affected by the spatial adjacent industrial spatial reconstruction provinces (cities). The growth rate of manufacturing industry is accelerating. There is no obvious change before and after the growth rate of manufacturing industry in the central and western provinces far from the reconstruction of industrial space. The leading manufacturing industry of Henan Province 80% belongs to the industry with decentralized layout at the provincial level. The development of industries in a province to a certain extent is affected by the spatial attributes of the industries themselves. The space for further development is limited. When the scale of manufacturing industry in Henan Province is much larger than that in other provinces in the central region, the gap between the manufacturing growth rate of Henan Province and that of the central region has been widening since 2007. Economic activities in Henan Province are mainly distributed in counties and sub-county areas. The economic spatial structure not only affects the development of the tertiary industry, Moreover, it makes Henan Province face a more complicated situation compared with other provinces in the country on the issue of urbanization. The quantitative regression analysis on the economic activity of Henan Province does not turn to urban agglomeration, which shows that, The industrial structure of Henan, which is dominated by agricultural and sideline products processing industry and non-metallic mineral products industry, is the main reason that economic activities do not agglomerate to cities in Henan Province, which is influenced by its industrial structure. It is not a departure from the theory of space economy, but a verification of the influence of industrial externality on the degree of economic convergence in small geographical space.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:河南大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】:博士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2014
【分類號】:F127

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