民間融資對(duì)呼包鄂經(jīng)濟(jì)圈經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展影響研究
發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-02-05 01:44
本文關(guān)鍵詞: 民間融資 呼包鄂經(jīng)濟(jì)圈 經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展 出處:《內(nèi)蒙古科技大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文 論文類(lèi)型:學(xué)位論文
【摘要】:民間融資不僅是學(xué)術(shù)界值得研究的理論問(wèn)題,更是全社會(huì)重點(diǎn)關(guān)注的現(xiàn)實(shí)問(wèn)題。在我國(guó),由于市場(chǎng)經(jīng)濟(jì)制度不完善,金融體系不健全,資本市場(chǎng)發(fā)展不平衡等因素,使得資本要素不能自由流動(dòng),區(qū)域資本流動(dòng)受到制度性約束,導(dǎo)致了民間融資的存在與發(fā)展。 自?xún)?nèi)蒙古確立以呼包鄂為核心的特色經(jīng)濟(jì)圈建設(shè)的發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略以來(lái),三市憑借自身優(yōu)勢(shì)以及彼此間密切的經(jīng)貿(mào)和社會(huì)聯(lián)系,其經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)呈現(xiàn)跨越式發(fā)展,地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)實(shí)力明顯增強(qiáng),,非公有制經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展迅速。同時(shí),呼包鄂經(jīng)濟(jì)圈的民間融資活動(dòng)也日趨活躍,成為內(nèi)蒙古民間融資最為活躍的地區(qū),對(duì)區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)的快速發(fā)展發(fā)揮了越來(lái)越重要的作用。但是,在緩解資金供需矛盾,促進(jìn)中小企業(yè)發(fā)展的同時(shí),民間融資也會(huì)對(duì)該區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的穩(wěn)定和社會(huì)安全造成一定的負(fù)面影響。毋庸置疑,在呼包鄂經(jīng)濟(jì)圈,民間融資具有龐大的規(guī)模,并且對(duì)區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的貢獻(xiàn)也是巨大的。那么呼包鄂的民間融資規(guī)模到底有多大,它與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)之間到底存在怎樣的因果關(guān)系?多數(shù)的學(xué)者針對(duì)這個(gè)問(wèn)題進(jìn)行了定性的分析或者一定范圍的問(wèn)卷調(diào)查,得出了具有借鑒意義的結(jié)論。但由于民間融資的隱蔽性,使得對(duì)其進(jìn)行調(diào)查統(tǒng)計(jì)的工作具有相當(dāng)大的難度,并且調(diào)查結(jié)果也與實(shí)際情況存在一定的出入。立足于此背景,本文從另一角度,在對(duì)呼包鄂經(jīng)濟(jì)圈民間融資發(fā)展進(jìn)行定性分析的基礎(chǔ)上,利用間接估計(jì)法,運(yùn)用宏觀(guān)統(tǒng)計(jì)數(shù)據(jù)對(duì)該區(qū)域的民間融資規(guī)模進(jìn)行了測(cè)算,再利用計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)的方法對(duì)其民間融資與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)之間的關(guān)系進(jìn)行了實(shí)證分析,并通過(guò)問(wèn)卷調(diào)查的方式進(jìn)一步研究分析了該區(qū)域民間融資對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的影響。 本文共分為六部分,首先在緒論部分簡(jiǎn)述了本文的選題背景和意義,研究方法和內(nèi)容,分析了我國(guó)民間融資發(fā)展的研究現(xiàn)狀和相關(guān)文獻(xiàn)。接著文章第二部分以資本流動(dòng)理論為基礎(chǔ)對(duì)資本流動(dòng)約束下的民間融資發(fā)展進(jìn)行分析和闡述,為后面的研究做理論鋪墊。第三部分采取問(wèn)卷調(diào)查的方式分析了呼包鄂經(jīng)濟(jì)圈民間融資發(fā)展的現(xiàn)狀、特點(diǎn)、發(fā)展的原因以及存在的問(wèn)題。第四部分在相關(guān)文獻(xiàn)資料的基礎(chǔ)上,用宏觀(guān)統(tǒng)計(jì)數(shù)據(jù)進(jìn)行間接估計(jì)法,對(duì)呼包鄂經(jīng)濟(jì)圈2000年——2012年民間融資的規(guī)模進(jìn)行了測(cè)算,測(cè)算結(jié)果顯示該區(qū)域的民間融資規(guī)模是龐大的并且一直保持快速增長(zhǎng)的趨勢(shì)。然后,再通過(guò)建立數(shù)量模型的方法對(duì)該區(qū)域民間融資與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的關(guān)系進(jìn)行格蘭杰因果檢驗(yàn)。通過(guò)檢驗(yàn)結(jié)果我們可以看出:呼包鄂經(jīng)濟(jì)圈民間融資與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)之間存在著顯著的單方向因果關(guān)系。這對(duì)我們進(jìn)一步研究民間融資對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的影響具有重要意義。第五部分通過(guò)問(wèn)卷調(diào)查的方式,在對(duì)民間融資作用的社會(huì)評(píng)價(jià)的基礎(chǔ)上,分析了民間融資對(duì)區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展產(chǎn)生的積極作用和消極影響。最后在第六部分提出了正確引導(dǎo)和規(guī)范民間融資,促進(jìn)呼包鄂經(jīng)濟(jì)圈經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的政策建議。 分析得出,活躍的民間融資是區(qū)域資本流動(dòng)受到制度性約束的結(jié)果,是正規(guī)金融機(jī)構(gòu)信貸供給不足的現(xiàn)實(shí)選擇,其存在和發(fā)展具有合理性和必然性。在區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展過(guò)程中,民間融資發(fā)揮積極作用的同時(shí),也對(duì)區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)和宏觀(guān)調(diào)控產(chǎn)生一定的消極影響。因此,對(duì)于民間融資的發(fā)展,我們應(yīng)當(dāng)針對(duì)其利弊區(qū)別對(duì)待,不能一味的打壓取締。地方政府、金融監(jiān)管部門(mén)以及民間融資主體應(yīng)當(dāng)共同努力,積極引導(dǎo)和規(guī)范民間融資的發(fā)展,使其真正服務(wù)于區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展。
[Abstract]:Non - governmental financing is not only the theoretical question worth studying in the academic circle , but also the realistic problem that the whole society pays attention to . In our country , because the market economy system is not perfect , the financial system is not perfect , the capital market is unbalanced and so on , the capital element cannot flow freely , the regional capital flow is subject to the institutional constraint , which leads to the existence and development of the private finance . Since Inner Mongolia has established the development strategy of the special economic circle built with Huabei as the core , the three cities play an increasingly important role in the economic development of Inner Mongolia . This paper is divided into six parts . Firstly , the background and meaning , the research methods and the contents of the thesis are briefly described in the introduction part . The present situation , the characteristics , the reasons and the problems of the development of private finance in the economic circle of Huabei Economic Circle are analyzed . It is concluded that active private finance is the result of institutional constraint on regional capital flows . It is a realistic choice for the shortage of credit supply in formal financial institutions . In the process of regional economic development , it has a negative impact on regional economic and macro - control . Therefore , in the process of regional economic development , we should deal with regional economic and macro - control . Therefore , we should work together to guide and regulate the development of civil financing , so as to serve the development of regional economy .
【學(xué)位授予單位】:內(nèi)蒙古科技大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2014
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】:F832.7;F127
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