本文關(guān)鍵詞：新疆區(qū)域經(jīng)濟增長差異的收斂性及機制研究　出處：《新疆財經(jīng)大學》2014年碩士論文　論文類型：學位論文

  更多相關(guān)文章： β收斂 面板數(shù)據(jù) 收斂機制 TFP增長率

【摘要】：地區(qū)經(jīng)濟差異問題一直是研究的熱點，研究角度和采用的方法不盡相同。本文主要從經(jīng)濟收斂的角度研究新疆地區(qū)經(jīng)濟的差異，采用面板數(shù)據(jù)模型分別從宏觀角度和微觀角度分析地區(qū)經(jīng)濟差異的收斂性，研究的時期為1995年至2012年。宏觀角度分析地區(qū)經(jīng)濟差異時主要采用σ指數(shù)、絕對β收斂和條件β收斂法檢驗經(jīng)濟差異的收斂性。經(jīng)濟收斂的微觀分析中包括三種微觀機制的收斂性分析，即資本收斂機制、勞動生產(chǎn)率收斂機制和技術(shù)收斂機制。本文主要結(jié)論有： 第一，不論從絕對差異還是相對差異指標來看，新疆各地區(qū)經(jīng)濟差異均表現(xiàn)出顯著的階段性特征，，由平穩(wěn)變化到明顯擴大再到逐漸回落，主要分界點是在2000年和2006年。人均GDP增長率在2000-2006年最大，擴大時間范圍，2000年以來的對應增長率也明顯高于2000年以前。這些變化說明了新時期政府的各項有關(guān)經(jīng)濟政策對地區(qū)經(jīng)濟健康發(fā)展是有利的。 第二，從宏觀角度研究新疆地區(qū)經(jīng)濟收斂性，σ指數(shù)和絕對β收斂的檢驗結(jié)論一致認為，2000年至2006年是地區(qū)間差距快速擴大的時期，并且也是各地區(qū)經(jīng)濟發(fā)展速度較快的時期。其余時間內(nèi)地區(qū)經(jīng)濟均有所收斂。當考慮實際經(jīng)濟發(fā)展中影響地區(qū)經(jīng)濟差異的因素后，在這段時期內(nèi)，經(jīng)濟增長差異是收斂的，但各因素發(fā)揮的作用有較大差別。2000年以來，勞動力人數(shù)、工業(yè)化水平和固定資本投資促進了落后地區(qū)的更快速發(fā)展，對經(jīng)濟增長差異的收斂是有利的，而選擇的財政支出和市場化程度指標則會使得地區(qū)經(jīng)濟差異繼續(xù)擴大，但是對新疆經(jīng)濟的影響低于前三者。 第三，從微觀角度分析經(jīng)濟收斂機制時，物質(zhì)資本增長差異的變化總體是收斂的，σ指數(shù)發(fā)展較穩(wěn)定，仍可觀測到緩慢收斂的趨勢，β收斂檢驗說明收斂速度有下降的趨勢。勞動生產(chǎn)率對經(jīng)濟收斂性的作用也是有階段性的，勞動生產(chǎn)率的收斂機制在2007年后對經(jīng)濟收斂有明顯的作用。運用曼奎斯特指數(shù)法測算了各地區(qū)的TFP增長率和技術(shù)進步值，地區(qū)的TFP增長率在2006年之前說明TFP年平均在增長，2007年至2012年各地區(qū)的TFP有微弱的下降。β收斂檢驗發(fā)現(xiàn)地區(qū)TFP增長的速度差異是趨于收斂的，說明了地區(qū)之間的TFP差異在減小。
[Abstract]:Regional economic differences have been the focus of research, the research angles and methods are different. This paper mainly from the perspective of economic convergence of Xinjiang regional economic differences. Using panel data model to analyze the convergence of regional economic differences from the macro and micro perspectives respectively. The period of study is from 1995 to 2012. 蟽 index is mainly used when analyzing regional economic difference from macroscopic angle. Absolute 尾 convergence and conditional 尾 convergence test the convergence of economic differences. The microscopic analysis of economic convergence includes the convergence analysis of three kinds of micro mechanisms, namely, capital convergence mechanism. The main conclusions of this paper are as follows: First, in terms of absolute or relative differences, the regional economic differences in Xinjiang show significant stage characteristics, from steady changes to obvious expansion and then to gradual decline. The main demarcation points were in 2000 and 2006. The growth rate of GDP per capita was the largest in 2000-2006 and extended the time range. The corresponding growth rate since 2000 is obviously higher than that before 2000. These changes indicate that the relevant economic policies of the government in the new period are beneficial to the healthy development of regional economy. Secondly, from the macro point of view, the economic convergence of Xinjiang is studied. The conclusion of 蟽 index and absolute 尾 convergence agree that the period from 2000 to 2006 is a period of rapid expansion of regional disparity. And it is also a period of rapid economic development in various regions. The rest of the time the regional economy has converged. When considering the actual economic development of the factors affecting regional economic differences, in this period. The difference in economic growth is convergent, but the role played by various factors is quite different. Since 2000, the number of labor force, the level of industrialization and fixed capital investment have promoted the faster development of backward areas. It is advantageous to convergence of economic growth difference, but the choice of financial expenditure and market-oriented degree index will make regional economic difference continue to expand, but the impact on Xinjiang economy is lower than the first three. Thirdly, when analyzing the mechanism of economic convergence from the micro perspective, the variation of the difference in the growth of physical capital is convergent in general, and the 蟽 exponent is stable, and the trend of slow convergence can still be observed. The 尾 -convergence test shows that the convergence rate has a downward trend, and the effect of labor productivity on economic convergence is also phased. The convergence mechanism of labor productivity has an obvious effect on economic convergence after 2007. The TFP growth rate and technological progress in various regions are calculated by using Manquist index method. The region's TFP growth rate before 2006 showed that TFP was growing on average annually. From 2007 to 2012, the TFP of each region decreased slightly. The 尾 -convergence test showed that the regional TFP growth rate difference tended to converge, which indicated that the TFP difference between regions was decreasing.
【學位授予單位】：新疆財經(jīng)大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F127

【相似文獻】

相關(guān)期刊論文 前10條

1 孫焱林;我國區(qū)域經(jīng)濟增長差異的實證分析[J];統(tǒng)計與決策;2002年10期

2 連耀山;;經(jīng)濟增長差異分析[J];福建金融;2007年05期

3 王芳;;中印經(jīng)濟增長差異的制度因素探討[J];學習與探索;2008年02期

4 劉岳平;鐘世川;;中國經(jīng)濟增長差異收斂性綜述[J];經(jīng)濟視角(下);2011年08期

5 琚曉星;劉岳平;鐘世川;;中國區(qū)域經(jīng)濟增長差異收斂性研究綜述與展望[J];安徽農(nóng)業(yè)科學;2011年33期

6 王德發(fā);陳勇;徐禮敏;;巧合還是必然:地區(qū)經(jīng)濟增長差異再考察——基于中國二板市場發(fā)展的視角[J];經(jīng)濟管理;2012年01期

7 張路,王浣塵;中國地區(qū)經(jīng)濟增長差異的實證分析[J];系統(tǒng)工程理論方法應用;1999年03期

8 劉建平;王克林;;廣東省地區(qū)經(jīng)濟增長差異及其收斂性[J];統(tǒng)計與決策;2005年24期

9 錢金保;;中國省區(qū)經(jīng)濟增長差異分析:1998-2003[J];廣東輕工職業(yè)技術(shù)學院學報;2006年03期

10 杜博;張旺鋒;楊連q

本文編號：1422500