基于行業(yè)關(guān)聯(lián)研究的廣東省能源消費(fèi)分析
發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-01-12 13:01
本文關(guān)鍵詞:基于行業(yè)關(guān)聯(lián)研究的廣東省能源消費(fèi)分析 出處:《中國環(huán)境科學(xué)》2017年10期 論文類型:期刊論文
更多相關(guān)文章: 供給側(cè) 需求側(cè) 能源關(guān)聯(lián) 假設(shè)抽取法 投入產(chǎn)出表 廣東省
【摘要】:基于改進(jìn)的假設(shè)抽取模型,構(gòu)建能源在行業(yè)間關(guān)聯(lián)模型,分析供給側(cè)、需求側(cè)角度行業(yè)部門之間隱含在經(jīng)濟(jì)活動(dòng)中能源轉(zhuǎn)移效應(yīng).根據(jù)廣東省的能源需求特征分析,非能源工業(yè)部門能源直接消費(fèi)量最多,其中2012年消費(fèi)量占總經(jīng)濟(jì)部門總消費(fèi)量的57.2%,是社會經(jīng)濟(jì)生產(chǎn)過程是能源資源供給中的關(guān)鍵部門.而對行業(yè)間能源關(guān)聯(lián)研究表明,能源部門、交通運(yùn)輸倉儲及郵政業(yè)是凈輸出部門,而建筑業(yè)、其他服務(wù)業(yè)是能源凈輸入部門.農(nóng)業(yè)部門、批發(fā)零售住宿餐飲供給側(cè)與需求側(cè)能源消費(fèi)量大致持平,且在能源轉(zhuǎn)移過程中與其他行業(yè)關(guān)聯(lián)較小.從年際間動(dòng)態(tài)變化分析,廣東省能源部門供應(yīng)于自身行業(yè)內(nèi)部隱含能源轉(zhuǎn)移增多,從2002年的8.55%升至2012年的24.67%,說明用于能源部門加工利用的能源更多,也從側(cè)面印證了廣東省能源利用更加有效與清潔.
[Abstract]:Based on the improved hypothesis extraction model, the interindustry energy correlation model is constructed to analyze the supply side. According to the analysis of energy demand characteristics of Guangdong Province, the direct energy consumption of non-energy industry sector is the most. In 2012, the consumption accounted for 57.2 percent of the total consumption in the total economic sector, and it is the key sector in the supply of energy resources in the process of socio-economic production. Transport, storage and postal services are the net export sector, while construction and other services are net energy importers. In the agricultural sector, the supply-side of wholesale, retail, accommodation, catering and demand-side energy consumption is roughly equal. And in the process of energy transfer with other industries is relatively small. From the inter-annual dynamic change analysis, the energy sector in Guangdong Province supplies their own industries with an increase in implied energy transfer. The increase from 8.55% on 2002 to 24.67 on 2012 shows that more energy is being used in processing in the energy sector and confirms that Guangdong Province is more efficient and clean in energy use.
【作者單位】: 北京師范大學(xué)環(huán)境學(xué)院水環(huán)境模擬國家重點(diǎn)實(shí)驗(yàn)室;
【基金】:國家重點(diǎn)研發(fā)計(jì)劃(2016YFC0502802) 國家創(chuàng)新研究群體項(xiàng)目(51421065)
【分類號】:F127;F426.2
【正文快照】: 我國能源供給體系存在著高消耗、產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)重工化和產(chǎn)能過剩等資源不平衡等諸多問題[1],隨著國家層面供給側(cè)改革的提出與進(jìn)一步推廣,能源領(lǐng)域的供給側(cè)改革已經(jīng)刻不容緩[2],相關(guān)理論研究,政策工具與效應(yīng)研究逐步開展[3-4].按方法不同主要包括統(tǒng)計(jì)學(xué)模型、數(shù)學(xué)模型和經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)模型三,
本文編號:1414344
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