本文關鍵詞：新疆經濟結構變遷對經濟增長影響及優(yōu)化路徑研究　出處：《新疆大學》2017年碩士論文　論文類型：學位論文

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【摘要】：經過改革開放30多年的大力建設,新疆經濟發(fā)展已經取得了巨大的成就。然而,在新疆經濟取得大發(fā)展、大成就的過程中,也遇到了不少困難和一些令人憂慮的問題,主要表現(xiàn)在:經濟結構失衡、南北疆差距擴大、社會矛盾突出、競爭力不足等方面。究其原因,新疆經濟結構不合理是重要障礙因素之一,經濟結構的失衡已經在一定程度上抑制了新疆經濟增長的活力,阻礙了生產力的進一步發(fā)展,導致人民生活水平與內地發(fā)達地區(qū)相比差距進一步拉大。因此,本文分別從供給和需求的角度對經濟結構變遷影響經濟增長的過程進行分析,并使用因子分析法來評價新疆經濟結構變遷促進經濟增長的過程,從而準確認識和評析新疆經濟結構變遷對新疆經濟增長的影響,為政府制定經濟政策、優(yōu)化地區(qū)經濟結構和推動經濟發(fā)展,提供理論依據(jù)和路徑選擇。本文的主要結論:改革開放以來,新疆經濟結構總體上呈現(xiàn)出不斷優(yōu)化的趨勢,但仍存在以下不足:第一,從經濟結構的質量來看,其水平依然相對落后,經濟增長表現(xiàn)出數(shù)量型和投資拉動的特征。第二,供給結構中,第一產業(yè)比重仍然較大,第二產業(yè)大而不強,第三產業(yè)發(fā)展乏力,供給結構高級化的作用需進一步釋放;此外,各產業(yè)要素投入與產出結構之間存在較為明顯的不均衡,供給結構不合理的現(xiàn)象應加以關注。第三,需求結構中,仍然以投資需求為主導,消費需求對經濟增長的貢獻有限,且凈出口需求的貢獻長期為負值,需求結構不合理的問題突出。本文結合以上發(fā)現(xiàn),分別從供給、需求和創(chuàng)新支持的角度提出調整經濟結構、促進經濟增長的優(yōu)化路徑。本文的創(chuàng)新點體現(xiàn)在:第一,本文從經濟結構變遷的角度闡釋經濟增長理論,突破以往學者主要從供給結構角度分析其對經濟增長的影響,而是同時注重對供給結構與需求結構的探究,分析新疆經濟結構變遷對經濟增長的影響,豐富了經濟增長理論研究的內涵;第二,本文在估算新疆三次產業(yè)資本存量的基礎上,借鑒前人的研究成果,分別構建供給和需求結構變遷促進經濟增長的模型,分析新疆經濟結構變遷對經濟增長的影響,使其研究更深入全面;第三,本文嘗試運用因子分析法,通過構建新疆經濟結構變遷促進經濟增長的指標體系,評價自1978年以來新疆經濟結構變遷促進經濟增長的過程。本文通過以上創(chuàng)新,尋找適合新疆經濟增長的經濟結構特征,探索新疆經濟結構的優(yōu)化路徑,以期對經濟欠發(fā)達地區(qū)優(yōu)化經濟結構,促進經濟增長,具有普適指導意義。
[Abstract]:After more than 30 years of reform and opening up, Xinjiang's economic development has made great achievements. However, in the process of Xinjiang's economic development, great achievements have been made. Also encountered a lot of difficulties and some worrying problems, mainly in: economic structure imbalance, the widening gap between the north and south Xinjiang, prominent social contradictions, insufficient competitiveness and other aspects. The unreasonable economic structure of Xinjiang is one of the important obstacles. The imbalance of economic structure has restrained the vitality of Xinjiang's economic growth to a certain extent and hindered the further development of productive forces. As a result, the gap between the living standards of the people and the developed areas in the interior is further widened. Therefore, this paper analyzes the process of economic structural changes that affect economic growth from the point of view of supply and demand. Factor analysis method is used to evaluate the process of economic structure changes to promote economic growth in Xinjiang, so as to accurately understand and evaluate the impact of Xinjiang economic structure changes on economic growth in Xinjiang, and formulate economic policies for the government. Optimize the regional economic structure and promote economic development, provide theoretical basis and path choice. The main conclusion of this paper: since the reform and opening up, Xinjiang's economic structure has shown a trend of continuous optimization. But there are still the following shortcomings: first, from the quality of the economic structure, its level is still relatively backward, economic growth shows the characteristics of quantitative and investment-driven. Second, in the supply structure. The proportion of the primary industry is still large, the secondary industry is large but not strong, the tertiary industry is weak, and the role of the advanced supply structure needs to be further released. In addition, there is an obvious imbalance between the input and output structure of various industrial elements, and the unreasonable supply structure should be paid attention to. Thirdly, investment demand is still dominant in the structure of demand. The contribution of consumer demand to economic growth is limited, and the contribution of net export demand is negative for a long time. From the point of view of demand and innovation support, this paper puts forward the optimized path to adjust economic structure and promote economic growth. The innovation of this paper is reflected in: first, this paper explains the theory of economic growth from the angle of economic structure change. Breakthrough in the past scholars mainly from the supply structure point of view to analyze its impact on economic growth, but at the same time pay attention to the supply structure and demand structure, analysis of Xinjiang economic structure changes on the impact of economic growth. Enriches the connotation of economic growth theory research; Secondly, on the basis of estimating the stock of industrial capital in Xinjiang, this paper builds a model of supply and demand structure change to promote economic growth based on the previous research results. This paper analyzes the influence of Xinjiang's economic structure change on economic growth, and makes its research more thorough and comprehensive. Third, this paper attempts to use factor analysis, through the construction of Xinjiang economic structure changes to promote economic growth index system. This paper evaluates the process of economic structure change to promote economic growth in Xinjiang since 1978. Through the above innovation, this paper looks for the characteristics of economic structure suitable for Xinjiang's economic growth and explores the optimized path of Xinjiang's economic structure. In order to optimize the economic structure and promote economic growth in underdeveloped areas, it is of universal guiding significance.
【學位授予單位】：新疆大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2017
【分類號】：F127

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