本文關(guān)鍵詞：我國城鄉(xiāng)居民收入差距對居民消費需求的影響的實證分析　出處：《遼寧大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

  更多相關(guān)文章： 城鄉(xiāng)居民收入差距 居民消費需求 實證分析

【摘要】：自1978年改革開放至今，我國經(jīng)濟發(fā)展已經(jīng)邁入了一個嶄新的階段，人均國內(nèi)生產(chǎn)總值從1978年的96美元位列全球倒數(shù)第二，增加至2012年的6100美元躍升至全球第84位。我國的經(jīng)濟增長速度已經(jīng)引起了全世界的關(guān)注，但收入差距尤其是城鄉(xiāng)居民之間的收入差距日趨顯著，收入差距也日趨過大，超出了合理的范圍。經(jīng)濟快速增長過程中，收入差距幾乎是不可避免的，但是過大的收入差距將會抑制經(jīng)濟的可持續(xù)發(fā)展。 本文的研究具有獨特的地域性視角，研究了城市和農(nóng)村之間的收入差距對消費需求的影響作用。現(xiàn)有的西方學(xué)者所建立的理論模型框架對消費需求的研究具有一定的局限性，本文基于凱恩斯的消費理論，推導(dǎo)出了居民消費需求關(guān)于城鄉(xiāng)收入差距的函數(shù)關(guān)系式，反映了城鄉(xiāng)居民收入差距對居民消費需求的影響機制。該函數(shù)關(guān)系可以用來作為理論基礎(chǔ)為未來的研究提供思路上的參考。本文在全國總體水平上，就城鄉(xiāng)居民收入差距對居民消費需求的影響進行了統(tǒng)計和計量分析，分析結(jié)果認為城鄉(xiāng)居民收入差距對居民消費需求的影響顯著：城鄉(xiāng)居民收入差距（URR）每變動1個單位，全國居民平均消費傾向（APC）將會反向變動0.2334個單位；城鄉(xiāng)居民收入差距（URR）每變動1個單位，全國城鄉(xiāng)居民消費差距就同向變動0.8513個單位。為了進一步研究了不同地區(qū)城鄉(xiāng)居民收入差距對居民消費需求的影響作用，本文選取了經(jīng)濟發(fā)展水平不同的12個典型地區(qū)，并對這些地區(qū)樣本期間為2002年到2012年的時間序列數(shù)據(jù)進行了面板分析，進一步驗證了全國總體水平上的分析結(jié)論。 在當(dāng)今的經(jīng)濟形勢下，消費不僅是拉動經(jīng)濟增長的方式，更是國家興旺，人民安康的體現(xiàn)。在我國這種城鄉(xiāng)二元結(jié)構(gòu)的社會中，城鄉(xiāng)居民收入差距對居民消費需求的影響具有階段性和地區(qū)性，若想縮小城鄉(xiāng)收入差距刺激消費需求，，關(guān)鍵在于增加農(nóng)民的收入。只有在保持經(jīng)濟可持續(xù)性發(fā)展的同時，使收入的分配更為合理，社會保障體系更為完善，消費需求的能力和層次就會進一步提升，經(jīng)濟發(fā)展和消費需求才能步入一個良性循環(huán)階段。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up in 1978, China's economic development has entered a new stage, the per capita gross domestic product (GDP) from 1978 96 US dollars ranked the second lowest in the world. In 2012, 6100 US dollars jumped to 84th place in the world. China's economic growth rate has attracted worldwide attention, but the income gap, especially between urban and rural residents, is becoming more and more significant. In the process of rapid economic growth, income gap is almost inevitable, but excessive income gap will restrain the sustainable development of economy. The study of this paper has a unique regional perspective. This paper studies the influence of income gap between urban and rural areas on consumption demand. The existing theoretical model framework established by western scholars has some limitations on the study of consumption demand. Based on Keynes' consumption theory, this paper deduces the function relation of resident's consumption demand on urban-rural income gap. It reflects the influence mechanism of income gap between urban and rural residents on the consumption demand of residents. This functional relationship can be used as a theoretical basis to provide a reference for future research. This paper makes statistical and econometric analysis on the effect of income gap between urban and rural residents on residents' consumption demand. The results show that the income gap between urban and rural residents has a significant impact on residents' consumption demand: the income gap between urban and rural residents varies by 1 unit per unit. The average consumption propensity of the national residents will be reversed by 0.2334 units. Income gap between urban and rural residents per unit. In order to further study the effect of the income gap between urban and rural residents in different regions on the consumption demand of residents, the consumption gap between urban and rural residents in China is 0.8513 units in the same direction. This paper selects 12 typical regions with different levels of economic development, and carries out panel analysis of the time series data from 2002 to 2012 in the sample period of these regions. It further verifies the conclusion of the analysis on the overall level of the whole country. In today's economic situation, consumption is not only the way to stimulate economic growth, but also the embodiment of the prosperity of the country and the well-being of the people. The income gap between urban and rural residents has a phased and regional impact on the consumption demand, if we want to narrow the income gap between urban and rural areas to stimulate consumption demand. The key lies in increasing farmers' income. Only by maintaining sustainable economic development, making income distribution more reasonable, and the social security system more perfect, the ability and level of consumption demand will be further enhanced. Economic development and consumption demand can enter a virtuous circle stage.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：遼寧大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F126;F124.7

【參考文獻】

相關(guān)期刊論文 前5條

1 杭斌;申春蘭;;習(xí)慣形成下的緩沖儲備行為[J];數(shù)量經(jīng)濟技術(shù)經(jīng)濟研究;2008年10期

2 戴麗娜;;習(xí)慣形成、不確定性、流動性約束與居民消費——基于省際動態(tài)面板數(shù)據(jù)的實證分析[J];商業(yè)經(jīng)濟與管理;2010年03期

3 楊天宇;中國居民收入分配影響消費需求的實證研究[J];消費經(jīng)濟;2001年01期

4 白重恩;錢震杰;;誰在擠占居民的收入——中國國民收入分配格局分析[J];中國社會科學(xué);2009年05期

5 白鳳嬌;羅利麗;;城鄉(xiāng)居民收入差距對居民消費需求的影響研究——以2000-2010年陜西省相關(guān)統(tǒng)計數(shù)據(jù)為例[J];咸陽師范學(xué)院學(xué)報;2012年06期

本文編號：1381810