本文關(guān)鍵詞：經(jīng)濟(jì)大國增長動(dòng)力結(jié)構(gòu)演進(jìn)路徑與邏輯異質(zhì)性分析及其對(duì)中國的啟示——基于1960～2015年美、日發(fā)展經(jīng)驗(yàn)　出處：《稅務(wù)與經(jīng)濟(jì)》2017年04期 　論文類型：期刊論文

  更多相關(guān)文章： 經(jīng)濟(jì)大國 增長動(dòng)力結(jié)構(gòu) 演進(jìn)邏輯 異質(zhì)性 中國 美國 日本

【摘要】：比較分析美、日經(jīng)濟(jì)大國在發(fā)展各階段的動(dòng)力結(jié)構(gòu)特征,探尋經(jīng)濟(jì)大國增長動(dòng)力演變邏輯和規(guī)律,可為"新常態(tài)"下中國經(jīng)濟(jì)增長需求側(cè)動(dòng)力轉(zhuǎn)變提供經(jīng)驗(yàn)借鑒和啟示。研究表明:當(dāng)前中國經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展正處于走向"成熟"階段;美、日經(jīng)濟(jì)大國在不同發(fā)展階段驅(qū)動(dòng)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的動(dòng)力結(jié)構(gòu)不同,增長動(dòng)力結(jié)構(gòu)存在不斷演進(jìn)過程;美、日經(jīng)濟(jì)增長動(dòng)力結(jié)構(gòu)演進(jìn)路徑和邏輯存在異質(zhì)性,要素稟賦豐裕的美國經(jīng)濟(jì)增長最終依靠國內(nèi)消費(fèi)驅(qū)動(dòng),而要素稟賦匱乏的日本經(jīng)濟(jì)增長最終依靠國內(nèi)消費(fèi)和出口共同驅(qū)動(dòng)。從長期來看,中國經(jīng)濟(jì)增長動(dòng)力結(jié)構(gòu)演進(jìn)過程會(huì)遵循美國這種經(jīng)濟(jì)規(guī)模大且要素稟賦豐裕大國的演進(jìn)路徑與邏輯,最終走向依靠國內(nèi)消費(fèi)來驅(qū)動(dòng)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長;從短期發(fā)展看,中國經(jīng)濟(jì)增長動(dòng)力結(jié)構(gòu)演進(jìn)過程也會(huì)經(jīng)歷日本依靠國內(nèi)消費(fèi)和出口共同驅(qū)動(dòng)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長階段。
[Abstract]:This paper makes a comparative analysis of the dynamic structure characteristics of the major economic powers of the United States and Japan in various stages of development, and explores the logic and law of the dynamic evolution of the growth forces of the major economic powers. It can provide experience and inspiration for the demand-side dynamic transformation of China's economic growth under the "new normal". The research shows that the current economic development of China is in the "mature" stage; The dynamic structure of economic growth is different in different stages of economic development in the United States and Japan, and the dynamic structure of economic growth is evolving constantly. There is heterogeneity in the evolution path and logic of the dynamic structure of economic growth in the United States and Japan, and the abundant factor endowment of the American economic growth ultimately depends on domestic consumption. And the lack of factor endowment of Japan's economic growth ultimately depends on domestic consumption and exports driven together. In the long run. The evolution process of China's economic growth dynamic structure will follow the evolution path and logic of the large economic scale and abundant factor endowment of the United States, and eventually it will depend on domestic consumption to drive economic growth. From the perspective of short-term development, the evolution of China's economic growth dynamic structure will also go through the stage of Japan's economic growth driven by domestic consumption and exports.
【作者單位】： 新疆大學(xué)經(jīng)濟(jì)與管理學(xué)院;新疆發(fā)展和改革委經(jīng)濟(jì)研究院;
【基金】：國家自然科學(xué)基金項(xiàng)目(項(xiàng)目編號(hào):41661112) 教育部哲學(xué)社科發(fā)展報(bào)告項(xiàng)目(項(xiàng)目編號(hào):13JBGP029);教育部人文社科重點(diǎn)研究基地重大項(xiàng)目(項(xiàng)目編號(hào):13JJD790029) 新疆自治區(qū)社科基金項(xiàng)目(項(xiàng)目編號(hào):14BJY018) 新疆大學(xué)經(jīng)濟(jì)與管理學(xué)院“絲路科研獎(jiǎng)學(xué)金”項(xiàng)目
【分類號(hào)】：F124;F131.3;F171.2
【正文快照】： 自改革開放以來,中國經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展取得了舉世矚目的成就,經(jīng)濟(jì)年均增長接近10%,人均GDP翻了25倍,2010年經(jīng)濟(jì)總量躍升為僅次于美國的世界第二大經(jīng)濟(jì)體,實(shí)現(xiàn)了跨越式發(fā)展。但進(jìn)入2011年前后,中國經(jīng)濟(jì)增長呈明顯放緩態(tài)勢(shì),增速滑入7%區(qū)間,潛在經(jīng)濟(jì)增速趨于下降,驅(qū)動(dòng)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的傳統(tǒng)消費(fèi)

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