本文關鍵詞：產(chǎn)能過剩、技術進步與中國產(chǎn)業(yè)結構轉型問題研究　出處：《華東師范大學》2017年碩士論文　論文類型：學位論文

  更多相關文章： 產(chǎn)能過剩 技術進步 產(chǎn)業(yè)升級 供給側結構性改革

【摘要】：改革開放以來,中國經(jīng)濟規(guī)模不斷膨脹,國內生產(chǎn)總值長期以高于世界平均水平的增長率保持高速增長,并已然成為世界第二大經(jīng)濟體。但是在經(jīng)濟總量不斷擴大的背后,包括產(chǎn)業(yè)結構、技術結構與供需結構在內的一系列結構性失衡問題卻日益凸顯。因此,為了克服中國經(jīng)濟進一步發(fā)展的不利因素,以化解產(chǎn)能過剩、推動結構調整、平衡供需矛盾為目標的"供給側結構性改革"便成為保障中國經(jīng)濟獲得可持續(xù)增長動力,并實現(xiàn)創(chuàng)新驅動型發(fā)展的重要手段。因此,本文嘗試以迪克希特—斯蒂格利茨模型為理論基礎,并根據(jù)現(xiàn)實經(jīng)濟條件的變化,對產(chǎn)能過剩的形成機理及產(chǎn)業(yè)結構優(yōu)化升級的具體途徑做進一步探索�；谶@一研究思路,本文除了導論及文獻綜述之外主要包括以下內容:首先,運用迪克希特—斯蒂格利茨模型來論證技術創(chuàng)新對于滿足消費者偏好的重要意義,同時考慮在消費者需求層次動態(tài)變化的情況下,對產(chǎn)能過剩產(chǎn)生的原因進行闡述,并構建技術模仿和專利保護模型來分析產(chǎn)業(yè)結構向高附加值、創(chuàng)新型結構優(yōu)化的具體途徑。其次,本文利用中國宏觀經(jīng)濟1995年至2015年的時間序列數(shù)據(jù),對技術進步、消費需求、人力資本、外商直接投資與產(chǎn)業(yè)升級之間的協(xié)整關系進行檢驗,并采用脈沖響應分析法驗證了技術進步和外商直接投資對產(chǎn)業(yè)結構沖擊所具有的時滯性特點以及消費需求和人力資本對催生高技術、高附加值產(chǎn)業(yè)所起到的重要作用,此外,本文還運用方差分解法分析了不同變量對產(chǎn)業(yè)升級的差異化貢獻。最后,根據(jù)理論模型與實證檢驗的結果并結合中國的具體國情,針對關于防范產(chǎn)能過剩、促進技術創(chuàng)新以及優(yōu)化經(jīng)濟結構進行相應的政策性探討和研究。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up, China economic scale expanding, GDP in the long term is higher than the world average growth rate to maintain rapid growth, and has become the second largest economy in the world. But behind the economy expanded, including industrial structure, technical structure of a series of structural imbalance of supply and demand structure, has become increasingly prominent in order to overcome the unfavorable factors. Therefore, China further economic development, to resolve the overcapacity, promote structural adjustment, balance the contradiction between supply and demand as the goal of the "supply side structural reforms" will become the guarantee Chinese economic sustainable growth power, and an important means to achieve innovation driven development. Therefore, this paper attempts to Hitler Dick Stiglitz model as the theoretical basis, and according to the changes of current economic conditions, the formation mechanism and industrial structure optimization and upgrading of the structure of overcapacity Further explore specific ways. Based on this research ideas, in addition to the introduction and literature review mainly includes the following contents: firstly, using Dick Hitler Stiglitz model to demonstrate the significance of technology innovation to meet consumer preferences, while considering the level of consumer demand changes under the condition of reason of excess capacity is expounded, and construction technology imitation and patent protection model to analyze the industrial structure to high value-added, innovative ways to structure optimization. Secondly, this paper uses the time series data Chinese macro economy in 1995 to 2015, the consumption demand, technological progress, human capital, test the whole relation between foreign direct investment and industrial upgrading of the association, and verified by delay the progress of technology and the foreign direct investment on the industrial structure has the impact of the impulse response analysis method The characteristics and consumer demand and human capital on the birth of the high technology, high value-added industry plays an important role, in addition, this paper also use the analysis of variance contribution of different variables on the difference of industrial upgrading decomposition. Finally, according to the theoretical model and the empirical results and combining with specific conditions for China, on the prevention of excess capacity, promote policy discussion and Research on the technological innovation and optimize the economic structure.

【學位授予單位】：華東師范大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2017
【分類號】：F121.3

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