推動全球債務攀升的結構性力量
發(fā)布時間:2017-12-31 21:08
本文關鍵詞:推動全球債務攀升的結構性力量 出處:《國家行政學院學報》2017年02期 論文類型:期刊論文
更多相關文章: 經(jīng)濟服務化 人口城市化 債務
【摘要】:當前對于全球債務攀升過程中各國個性問題的討論比較熱烈,但對于共性問題反而關注不夠。從共性上看,雖然所處階段不同,但發(fā)達經(jīng)濟體和新興經(jīng)濟體已經(jīng)發(fā)生或正在發(fā)生深刻的結構性變化:在收入端,經(jīng)濟服務化使得生產(chǎn)要素總體上從生產(chǎn)率較高的部門流向生產(chǎn)率較低的部門,收入汲取能力由此進入下降通道;在支出端,人口城市化使得財政資金不得不從建設性項目轉(zhuǎn)向社會性項目,支出擴張速度因而進入上升通道。經(jīng)濟服務化和人口城市化如同一枚"硬幣"的正反面,既是經(jīng)濟社會發(fā)展的客觀規(guī)律,同時也在深層次構成推動全球債務攀升的結構性力量。本文認為,當前尤其要處理好產(chǎn)業(yè)結構轉(zhuǎn)變過程中"快"與"慢"的關系,城鄉(xiāng)結構轉(zhuǎn)變過程中"物"與"人"的關系。
[Abstract]:The current discussion on individual issues in the process of rising global debt has been heated, but not enough attention has been paid to the common problems. In general, although the stage is different. But profound structural changes have taken place or are taking place in both developed and emerging economies: on the income side, service-oriented economies have led to the overall shift of factors of production from the more productive to the less productive. Income absorption ability thus enters the descending channel; On the spending side, population urbanization has forced fiscal funds to shift from constructive projects to social projects. As a result, the rate of expenditure expansion has entered the rising channel. Economic service and population urbanization are both positive and negative of a "coin", which is the objective law of economic and social development. At the same time, it also constitutes a structural force to promote global debt climbing. This paper holds that the relationship between "fast" and "slow" in the process of industrial structure transformation should be handled well at present. The relationship between "things" and "people" in the process of structural transformation between urban and rural areas.
【作者單位】: 上海行政學院;
【基金】:國家社會科學基金青年項目“中國地方政府債務博弈行為及其規(guī)制研究”(15CJL009)
【分類號】:F113
【正文快照】: 一、引言去杠桿是供給側(cè)結構性改革的重點任務之一。然而,如果站在世界看中國,將發(fā)現(xiàn)這一偉大的改革目標并不會一蹴而就。畢竟,全球債務風險在整體上正處于節(jié)節(jié)攀升的大通道之中,與此同時,主要經(jīng)濟體之間的依存度和相互聯(lián)系又超過了以往的任何時期,所以很少有國家能夠獨善其身
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