本文關(guān)鍵詞：基于能值理論的太原城市復(fù)合生態(tài)經(jīng)濟(jì)系統(tǒng)可持續(xù)發(fā)展評(píng)價(jià)，由筆耕文化傳播整理發(fā)布。

網(wǎng)友wh7422近日為您收集整理了關(guān)于基于能值理論的太原城市復(fù)合生態(tài)經(jīng)濟(jì)系統(tǒng)可持續(xù)發(fā)展評(píng)價(jià)的文檔，希望對(duì)您的工作和學(xué)習(xí)有所幫助。以下是文檔介紹：分類號(hào): 密級(jí): 無(wú)UDC: 單位代碼:10118山西師范大學(xué)研究生碩士學(xué)位論文指導(dǎo)教師鄭國(guó)璋教授山西師范大學(xué)地理科學(xué)學(xué)院申請(qǐng)學(xué)位級(jí)別理學(xué)碩士專業(yè)名稱自然地理學(xué)論文提交日期 2015 年 4 月 7 日論文答辯日期 2015 年 5 月 24 日學(xué)位授予單位山西師范大學(xué)學(xué)位授予日期 2015 年 6 月 4 日答辯委員會(huì)主席趙景波教授評(píng)閱人岳樂(lè)平教授李晉佩研究員2015 年 6 月 7 日山西師范大學(xué)學(xué)位論文II總體表明太原能值結(jié)構(gòu)相對(duì)合理,能值自給能力較強(qiáng)。(2)將太原城市復(fù)合生態(tài)經(jīng)濟(jì)系統(tǒng)能值與其他地區(qū)進(jìn)行橫向比較,能值自給率、能值貨幣比率遠(yuǎn)高于其它國(guó)家和地區(qū),體現(xiàn)出城市對(duì)本地資源開(kāi)發(fā)利用率較高且對(duì)外依賴度小;電力能值比和人均能值使用量遠(yuǎn)低于我國(guó)平均水平和發(fā)達(dá)地區(qū),說(shuō)明人均生活水平和質(zhì)量還有待提高,同時(shí)經(jīng)濟(jì)的快速發(fā)展,導(dǎo)致環(huán)境負(fù)載率持續(xù)升高從而對(duì)城市的可持續(xù)發(fā)展構(gòu)成阻礙。(3)通過(guò)對(duì) 2004—2013 年能值指標(biāo)分析測(cè)算,得出總能值、不可更新資源能值逐年增長(zhǎng),輸入能值和可更新能值變化平穩(wěn),表明太原市經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)主要依靠本地資源,系統(tǒng)可持續(xù)發(fā)展指數(shù) ESI 逐年下降,2004 年為弱度可(來(lái)源：[])持續(xù)性、2005—2009 為弱度不可持續(xù)性、2010—2013 為不可持續(xù)性,數(shù)據(jù)表明系統(tǒng)運(yùn)行向惡性方向發(fā)展。(4)運(yùn)用灰色預(yù)測(cè)模型對(duì) 2014—2018 太原市可持續(xù)發(fā)展指數(shù)預(yù)測(cè)表明:太原可持續(xù)發(fā)展指數(shù)逐年下降,有向極度不可持續(xù)發(fā)展的趨勢(shì),因此應(yīng)采取合理和科學(xué)化的措施積極遏制這種態(tài)勢(shì)。【關(guān)鍵詞】城市復(fù)合生態(tài)經(jīng)濟(jì)系統(tǒng)能值理論能值指標(biāo)體系能值可持續(xù)性發(fā)展指標(biāo)灰度預(yù)測(cè)太原市【論文類型】基礎(chǔ)研究山西師范大學(xué)學(xué)位論文IIof government decision in long strategy.Taiyuan is one of the earliest industrial base in China. However,its economy developed relatively slow since the end of thetwentieth century. Then it appears a series of problems ofurbanization in both e(來(lái)源：[])cology and environment. The evaluation ofsustainable development plex ecosystem of Taiyuan isneeded here, to provide the basis of theory of adjusting ecologicalenvironment and developing in both society and economy, whichcan provide reference to measuring similar ecological system.In this paper, the author uses emergy analysis to getquantitative data plex ecosystem of Taiyuan. To make sure itis fit to the fact, the emergy sustainability index was i(來(lái)源：[])mprovedduring the process of analysis. Combining static and dynamicanalysis, the author measures the use plex ecosystem inTaiyuan from 2004 to 2013. The grey prediction model is used ofpredict the sustainable development index from 2014 to 2018. Themain findings are here as follows.1)Calculating the plex ecosystem emergy ofTaiyuan city in 2013 ,established the flow of index system ofemergy indicators, obtains the total usage of system emergy is1.17(來(lái)源：[])×1023sej, renewable resource emergy is 1.24×1021sej,accounted for only 1.05%, nonrenewable resources is 1.03×1023sej,英文摘要IIIwhich constitute the largest total percent 88% , the flow ofmoney emergy is 2.15×1024sej, which the imports of emergy is1.27×1022sej, the export of emergy is 4.59×1022sej, the emergy ofGDP is 2.09×1024sej, accounting for cashflow emergy 97.2% .Taiy-uan emergy structure is reasonable and the self-sufficiency abilityemergy is st(來(lái)源：[])rong.2) Comparing with other areas according to the emergy indexsystem of Taiyuan, the rate of self-sufficiency emergy, the rate ofdollar emergy is much higher than other countries andregions,reflecting that the development of city is rely onlocal resources. the rate of power emergy and per capitaemergy is far lower than the average level in our country and thedeveloped countries. s

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  本文關(guān)鍵詞：基于能值理論的太原城市復(fù)合生態(tài)經(jīng)濟(jì)系統(tǒng)可持續(xù)發(fā)展評(píng)價(jià)，，由筆耕文化傳播整理發(fā)布。