本文關鍵詞：穗港澳增長三角次區(qū)域經(jīng)濟合作研究，由筆耕文化傳播整理發(fā)布。

        20世界80年代以來在”溫特爾”主義國際分工背景下,在多邊貿(mào)易談判進入僵局情況下,國際經(jīng)濟區(qū)域合作迅猛發(fā)展起來,成為參與國際經(jīng)濟、政治競爭的主要形式,國際經(jīng)濟發(fā)展中區(qū)域、次區(qū)域經(jīng)濟一體化過程中形成的產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚成為增強國際競爭力的主要產(chǎn)業(yè)組織形式。為此,中國共產(chǎn)黨在十七大報告中明確提出“實施自由貿(mào)易區(qū)戰(zhàn)略”,十八大報告中對區(qū)域經(jīng)濟一體化又進行了深入發(fā)展的部署。而中國具有自己特色的經(jīng)濟發(fā)展歷程,又面臨著復雜的國際經(jīng)濟、政治關系,國際大國在中國周邊布滿勢力,中國“自由貿(mào)易區(qū)戰(zhàn)略”必定充滿艱辛與挑戰(zhàn)。穗港澳增長三角次區(qū)域經(jīng)濟一體化是中國經(jīng)濟發(fā)展突破性的、符合現(xiàn)實需要的選擇,通過穗港澳增長三角的經(jīng)濟輻射帶動珠三角地區(qū)、華南乃至泛珠三角區(qū)域經(jīng)濟發(fā)展,經(jīng)濟輻射核心區(qū)域成為中國整體經(jīng)濟發(fā)展強有力的增長極,成為中國經(jīng)濟對外交往的甬道,成為中國經(jīng)濟整體躍遷的前提與基礎。本研究以經(jīng)濟發(fā)展需要在開放體系條件下才能夠可持續(xù)發(fā)展為思想指導,基于當前“溫特爾”國際分工背景,邊界效應轉(zhuǎn)變?yōu)榫�索,以國際經(jīng)濟學、區(qū)域空間經(jīng)濟學、產(chǎn)業(yè)經(jīng)濟學等學科為理論基礎,跨學科對粵港澳增長三角次區(qū)域經(jīng)濟一體化模式促進經(jīng)濟增長進行定性定量分析、并對其運行機理進行深入探討,通過靜態(tài)、動態(tài)經(jīng)濟效應兩個維度探討粵港澳增長三角次區(qū)域經(jīng)濟一體化促進經(jīng)濟發(fā)展的內(nèi)在機理,總結其可供借鑒的經(jīng)驗,穗港澳增長三角次區(qū)域經(jīng)濟一體化的理論依據(jù)與現(xiàn)實發(fā)展經(jīng)驗不僅豐富區(qū)域經(jīng)濟一體化理論對中國乃至其他國家進行經(jīng)濟發(fā)展、區(qū)域合作都具有現(xiàn)實參考價值。著名經(jīng)濟學家赫希曼主張一個國家的發(fā)展不可能平衡發(fā)展,在發(fā)展過程中要出現(xiàn)區(qū)域增長極,通過增長極的涓滴擴散效應達到整體的發(fā)展,這就涉及到在整個國家發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略中的有效投資順序問題,打破常規(guī)的按部就班的發(fā)展順序,會催生一些環(huán)節(jié)或地區(qū)跳躍式、更高效發(fā)展。在幅員遼闊的中國大地上,經(jīng)濟、文化、生活、民族都呈現(xiàn)多元性,可以清晰的看出經(jīng)濟發(fā)展水平呈“東—中—西”階梯狀分布,而且層次間落差較大,如果全國采取平衡發(fā)展最終結果只能是“不發(fā)展”。在經(jīng)濟全球化浪潮中,只有在世界經(jīng)濟發(fā)展的大背景下因勢利導,充分利用一切資源發(fā)展經(jīng)濟才有可能發(fā)展起來,此意識對發(fā)展中國家尤為重要,穗港澳增長三角次區(qū)域合作的實證研究實質(zhì)上是對中國改革開放以來道路的實踐證明。經(jīng)濟學理論中對外貿(mào)易、國際投資促進一國經(jīng)濟發(fā)展有深刻系統(tǒng)的論述,區(qū)域合作的目的就是要通過貿(mào)易創(chuàng)造、投資創(chuàng)造使區(qū)域內(nèi)部成員間要素更有效配置,相對區(qū)域合作之前內(nèi)部成員間更外向性、更開放；對外貿(mào)易、利用外商直接投資是否增加及增加程度是衡量區(qū)域合作績效的最傳統(tǒng)也是最有效的靜態(tài)經(jīng)濟效應研究方式,通過實證研究證明對外貿(mào)易、外商直接投資對經(jīng)濟增長的促進作用來證明穗港澳增長三角次區(qū)域合作的績效；而為什么增長三角次區(qū)域合作會對“后廠”地區(qū)的經(jīng)濟模式產(chǎn)生如此大的影響呢,這就是在次區(qū)域合作過程中生產(chǎn)制造企業(yè)根據(jù)空間經(jīng)濟學原理進行生產(chǎn)區(qū)域選擇形成產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚,產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚會創(chuàng)造、解放生產(chǎn)力,是區(qū)域經(jīng)濟一體化的動態(tài)經(jīng)濟效應,往往比容易計量的靜態(tài)經(jīng)濟效應促進經(jīng)濟增長的效應更大影響更長遠,產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移調(diào)整、產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚、經(jīng)濟發(fā)展模式的轉(zhuǎn)變這一切都源于在區(qū)域合作過程中區(qū)域間空間相互作用、協(xié)調(diào)；區(qū)域(次區(qū)域)經(jīng)濟合作本身就是在參與方積極主動的相互協(xié)商中發(fā)展進行的,制度在區(qū)域(次區(qū)域)經(jīng)濟合作中起了重要作用甚至是合作前提,穗港澳增長三角次區(qū)域合作的進展與中國內(nèi)地改革開放進度密切相關,而改革開放政策的具體體現(xiàn)就是邊界效應的轉(zhuǎn)變,促使邊界以前的屏蔽效應向中介效應轉(zhuǎn)移,所以整個研究以大陸開放政策制定、邊界效應的轉(zhuǎn)變?yōu)榫�索來研究穗港澳增長三角次區(qū)域合作對經(jīng)濟發(fā)展模式轉(zhuǎn)變、產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚、經(jīng)濟增長的作用。本研究主體主要分為四大部分,第一部分包含前三章內(nèi)容,主要是對研究的國際分工背景、本文思想淵源、前人研究基礎進行梳理總結,為后面的研究打下理論根基；第二部分包含第四章、第五章內(nèi)容,第四章主要基于國際經(jīng)濟生產(chǎn)制造區(qū)位選擇理論對穗港澳增長三角次區(qū)域經(jīng)濟一體化空間經(jīng)濟結構進行分析,穗港澳增長三角次區(qū)域經(jīng)濟一體化對香港、澳門、中國華南乃至大陸經(jīng)濟發(fā)展都具有攸關歷史意義,第五章主要利用區(qū)域經(jīng)濟一體化促進經(jīng)濟發(fā)展相關理論、以穗港澳增長三角次區(qū)域經(jīng)濟一體化歷程邊界效應轉(zhuǎn)化程度為線索,分階段定性分析了穗港澳增長三角次區(qū)域經(jīng)濟一體化“前店后廠”模式的形成、發(fā)展演變升級,分析了合作對華南區(qū)域外向型經(jīng)濟形成,產(chǎn)業(yè)結構調(diào)整、產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚帶動的城鎮(zhèn)化運動,現(xiàn)代服務業(yè)的發(fā)展,以及CEPA簽訂以來穗港澳增長三角制度化下經(jīng)濟發(fā)展、意義以及發(fā)展中產(chǎn)生的新問題進行了分析。第三部分主要基于相關理論構建模型對穗港澳增長三角次區(qū)域經(jīng)濟一體化促進經(jīng)濟發(fā)展進行實證分析,包含第六章、第七章內(nèi)容。首先利用經(jīng)濟增長收斂測度出穗港澳增長三角模式對“后廠”地區(qū)經(jīng)濟發(fā)展有正效應,隨后對穗港澳增長三角促進經(jīng)濟發(fā)展運行機理進行一系列實證檢驗分析。在區(qū)域經(jīng)濟一體化過程中合作方消除邊界屏蔽效應是一切合作工作開展的前提,根據(jù)研究目的的需要對引力模型核心方程加入新變量進行擴展,對穗港澳增長三角次區(qū)域經(jīng)濟一體化的邊界效應的轉(zhuǎn)化進行實證分析；利用區(qū)位熵對穗港澳增長三角次區(qū)域經(jīng)濟一體化推動產(chǎn)業(yè)結構調(diào)整、產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚進行實證研究機理探討,最后基于前面實證分析本章落腳在穗港澳增長三角次區(qū)域經(jīng)濟一體化促使“后廠”地區(qū)對外貿(mào)易高速發(fā)展,吸納大量港澳直接投資,快速形成外向型經(jīng)濟對經(jīng)濟增長的相關性,在引力模型理念指導下,基于時間序列計量模型進行了協(xié)整、格蘭杰因果檢驗,進行實證研究探討。第七章通過測度大陸與香港、廣東省與香港的貿(mào)易成本對穗港澳增長三角次區(qū)域合作過程進行更加細致的分析解讀,在貿(mào)易成本趨勢分析中對穗港澳增長三角次區(qū)域經(jīng)濟一體化過程中的國內(nèi)外影響因素、事件、政策進行了分析。第四部分是前面分析基礎上形成的對本研究進行總結性質(zhì)的第九章,通過與五個國際上具有代表性的次區(qū)域經(jīng)濟一體化進行比較、評析,得出穗港澳次區(qū)域經(jīng)濟一體化具有的國際上一般性具有參考意義的經(jīng)驗與特征；總結出具有中國特色的、符合中國今后發(fā)展的具有可供借鑒參考價值的經(jīng)驗、特征。

    Since the nineteen eighties, when the multilateral trade negotiations have been the deadlock situation, under the "wintelism" international division of labor, the international regional economic cooperation has developed rapidly and has become the main form to participate in the competition of international economy and politics. During the international regional economic development, regional economic cooperation, the formation of the industrial agglomeration as the enhanced formation is the main industrial international competitiveness. Therefore, the seventeenth Chinese Communist Party Congress report clearly suggested that "the implementation of the strategy of free trade zones", then the eighteen report on regional economic cooperation made in-depth development of deployment. But China has its own characteristics of the economic development process, and facing the complicated factors,such as, international economic and political relations, international country full of power in China. So China’s "strategy of free trade zones" is full of hardships and challenges. Hong Kong Growth Triangle of regional economic cooperation is China economic development breakthrough reality choice, through the Hong Kong economic radiation driven growth triangle in the Pearl River Delta, Southern China and the Pan-Pearl River Delta regional economic development, economic radiation core region has become China’s overall economic development strong growth pole, to become China’s economic diplomacy corridor, become the premise and foundation of the whole Chinese economy transition. The theoretical basis of Hong Kong Growth Triangle sub-regional economic cooperation and practical development experience not only enrich the theory of regional economic cooperation in economic development of China,but for other countries, regional cooperation will be of practical reference value.In this study, international economics, regional economics, industrial economics serve as the theoretical basis, interdisciplinary to Hong Kong and Macao growth triangle sub-regional economic cooperation mode of promoting economic growth on the qualitative and quantitative analysis, and the mechanism of its operation of in-depth study, sum up its experience for reference, contribute to the "strategic" free trade area the implementation of domestic and regional economic development.Albert Otto Hirschman, the famous economist, thought it is unlikely that a country development evenly,there was the reginal growth pole during the process of the development,and achieve overall development through trickle-down diffusion effect of growth pole, which is involved in the whole order problem effective investment in national development strategy, break the routine of the step-by-step development of the order, and it will produce some link or regional development by leaps and bounds, more efficient.There is ethnic presents diversity of economy, culture, life in the vast land of China.We can clearly see that the level of economic development appears "east-middle-west" ladder distribution, and the level gap between is larger, if we take the balanced development in overall country, the final result can only be "no".During economic globalization, we only make full use of all resources to develop the economy to likely grow, in the backdrop of world economic development trend, and which is particularly important for developing countries. In essentially, the research of the growth triangle sub-regional economic cooperation in Canton-Hong Kong-Macau is to prove the road of China’s reform and opening up There are profound system economics theories of foreign trade, international investment to promote a country’s economic The purpose of regional cooperation is to create the regional elements among the members of the more effective configuration, relatively more extra version among the members of the regional cooperation before and more open by trade creation, investment; The increasing and the level of the foreign trade, utilization of foreign direct investment can measure the performance of regional cooperation effective way of static economic effect research, through the empirical study proves that foreign trade, foreign direct investment on economic growth promoter action to prove the performance of the cooperation in the growth triangle sub-regional of Canton-Hong Kong-Macau.Why the cooperation in the growth triangle and has such a big impact on regional economic model.During the process of sub-regional cooperation manufacturing enterprise production area selection, agglomeration and industrial concentration, the liberation of productive forces, which is a dynamic economic effects of regional economic integration, often than easy measurement of the static economic effect to promote the economic growth effect more longer effect, industrial transfer adjustment, industrial agglomeration, and economic development mode shift it all stems from a spatial interaction between area in the process of regional cooperation and coordination; Area (GMS) economic cooperation is itself in the mutually agreed parties actively developing. The system plays as an important role in the regional economic cooperation. The growth triangle of Canton-Hong Kong-Macau is closely related to the progress of China’s reform and opening-up, which embody the boundary effect, prompting boundary shielding effect to the intermediary effect before transfer, so the research in China open policy, the boundary effect of the change for clues to study the role of the growth triangle sub-regional cooperation of Canton-Hong Kong-Macau for economic development mode shift, industrial agglomeration.This study is divided into four main parts, the first part includes the first three chapters, mainly on the research background, the thought origin of international division of labor, the former researches were summarized, laying the groundwork for the following research;The second part contains fourth chapters, the fifth chapter,.The fourth chapter of international economic manufacturing location choice theory of Hong Kong Growth Triangle space of regional economic cooperation in economic structure is based on the analysis of the growth triangle, Hong Kong and Macao, sub-regional economic cooperation have with relevant historical significance to Hongkong, Macao, China Southern China and mainland economic development, The fifth chapter mainly use regional economic cooperation to promote economic development theory, to Hong Kong and Macao growth triangle sub-regional economic cooperation of boundary effect conversion degree as the clue, phased qualitative analysis of the Hong Kong and Macao growth triangle sub-regional economic cooperation "shop-factory" model of the formation, development and evolution and upgrading, analyzed the development cooperation of Southern China regional structure of foreign trade, industrial structure, industrial agglomeration can accelerate the urbanization movement, modern service industry, Hong Kong Growth after CEPA signed, economic development of the significance and development of delta system of new problems. The third part mainly use international economics theory develops the empirical analysis that River Sub-regional Economic Cooperation promote the economic development of Hong Kong and Macao, growth, contains sixth chapters, seventh chapters. In the process of regional economic cooperation,partners eliminate boundary shielding effect is the premise of all the work. According to the purpose of the study, the sixth chapter, expands the gravity model of core equations adding a new variable, empirical analysis transforming growth of Hong Kong River Sub-regional Economic Cooperation in the boundary effect. The seventh chapter of the Hong Kong and Macao growth triangle time an empirical study on the mechanism of regional economic cooperation to promote economic development point of view by the convergence of economic growth, location entropy, Finally this chapter based on the empirical analysis of high-speed development of foreign trade growth in Hong Kong Delta region economic cooperation to promote "factory" area, to absorb a large number of Hong Kong and Macao direct investment, rapid formation of export-oriented economy to the economic growth based on the concept of relative gravity model for the empirical analysis, time series econometric model based on Co-integration, Grainger causality test angle of empirical research to explore, analyze and interpret the more detailed the measurement of trade cost growth of Hong Kong River Sub-regional cooperation process, factors on the growth of Hong Kong in the analysis of trade cost trends in the Delta region economic cooperation in the process of impact at home and abroad, Events, policy analysis. The fourth part is formed on the basis of the front analysis are summarized.In Chapter nine,compared with five international representative of the sub-regional economic cooperation experience, concludes that characteristics of the Hong Kong sub-regional economic cooperation has a reference value; Summarize Chinese characteristics and meet the future development of China with reference to experiences, characteristics.

穗港澳增長三角次區(qū)域經(jīng)濟合作研究

論文摘要6-9ABSTRACT9-13目錄14-16第一章 緒論16-29    第一節(jié) 研究背景及意義16-21    第二節(jié) 研究內(nèi)容、方法、創(chuàng)新及不足21-29第二章 文獻研究綜述及本研究視角29-75    第一節(jié) 國際經(jīng)濟區(qū)域一體化文獻綜述30-38    第二節(jié) 測度區(qū)域一體化程度：邊界效應、貿(mào)易成本研究文獻綜述38-49    第三節(jié) 區(qū)域經(jīng)濟一體化促進經(jīng)濟發(fā)展的理論文獻綜述49-63    第四節(jié) 關于穗港澳增長三角的文獻綜述63-74    第五節(jié) 本章小結74-75第三章 穗港澳次區(qū)域合作的國際經(jīng)濟生產(chǎn)關系基礎75-84    第一節(jié) “溫特爾主義”生產(chǎn)模式75-76    第二節(jié) “溫特爾主義”國際分工模式的條件及特點76-78    第三節(jié) “溫特爾主義”：增長三角合作模式的國際生產(chǎn)關系基礎78-83    第四節(jié) 本章小結83-84第四章 穗港澳增長三角空間經(jīng)濟結構動態(tài)優(yōu)化互補84-97    第一節(jié) 穗港澳增長三角的空間地理范圍84-88    第二節(jié) 穗港澳增長三角空間經(jīng)濟聯(lián)動“前店后廠”跨境生產(chǎn)體系形成88-92    第三節(jié) 穗港澳增長三角優(yōu)勢互補“前店后廠”跨境生產(chǎn)一體化意義92-96    第四節(jié) 本章小結96-97第五章 穗港澳增長三角次區(qū)域經(jīng)濟一體化促進經(jīng)濟發(fā)展97-138    第一節(jié) 區(qū)域經(jīng)濟一體化經(jīng)濟發(fā)展衡量標準98-102    第二節(jié) 入世前穗港澳增長三角“前店”港澳經(jīng)濟的發(fā)展102-107    第三節(jié) 入世前穗港澳增長三角“后廠”地區(qū)外向型經(jīng)濟形成與發(fā)展107-117    第四節(jié) CEPA制度化穗港澳增長三角次區(qū)域經(jīng)濟一體化117-121    第五節(jié) CEPA背景下穗港澳增長三角模式促進港澳經(jīng)濟發(fā)展121-126    第六節(jié) CEPA背景下穗港澳增長三角模式促進內(nèi)地經(jīng)濟發(fā)展126-132    第七節(jié) 新階段穗港澳增長三角模式積淀問題凸顯出來132-137    第八節(jié) 本章小結137-138第六章 穗港澳增長三角經(jīng)濟效應運行機理分析、實證檢驗138-170    第一節(jié) 穗港澳增長三角地區(qū)經(jīng)濟增長收斂性實證檢驗138-145    第二節(jié) 基于引力模型穗港澳增長三角邊界效應轉(zhuǎn)變實證研究145-154    第三節(jié) 區(qū)位熵測度穗港澳增長三角合作下“后廠”地區(qū)產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚154-158    第四節(jié) 穗港澳增長三角合作與“后廠”地區(qū)經(jīng)濟發(fā)展關系實證檢驗158-169    第五節(jié) 本章總結169-170第七章 基于貿(mào)易成本測度對穗港澳增長三角效應再認識170-185    第一節(jié) 貿(mào)易成本170-175    第二節(jié) 穗港澳增長模式下貿(mào)易成本測度175-179    第三節(jié) 貿(mào)易成本走勢分析解讀179-184    第四節(jié) 本章小結184-185第八章 穗港澳增長三角次區(qū)域經(jīng)濟一體化特征、經(jīng)驗總結185-200    第一節(jié) 國際上典型跨境次區(qū)域經(jīng)濟合作185-190    第二節(jié) “溫特爾”國際分工背景下穗港澳增長三角的特征190-195    第三節(jié) 穗港澳增長三角國別特色經(jīng)驗總結195-199    第四節(jié) 本章小結199-200參考文獻200-209    中文書籍參考文獻200-201    中文論文參考文獻201-206    外文參考文獻206-209致謝209-210

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