基于產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)視角的云南省縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)差異研究
本文關(guān)鍵詞：多變量驅(qū)動(dòng)的江蘇縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)空間格局演化，由筆耕文化傳播整理發(fā)布。
[1] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name lang="CN">趙玉芝, <name lang="CN">董平. 江西省縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)差異特征及其成因分析[J]. 人文地理, <year>2012, <volume>27(1): <fpage>87-<lpage>91.
縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)作為我國國民經(jīng)濟(jì)的基本單元，是構(gòu)造地帶經(jīng)濟(jì)、經(jīng)濟(jì)區(qū)、省區(qū)、城市等區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)的基礎(chǔ)。我國當(dāng)前社會(huì)經(jīng)濟(jì)運(yùn)行中的主要矛盾如城鄉(xiāng)二元結(jié)構(gòu)、區(qū)域差異擴(kuò)大、“三農(nóng)”問題都集中反映在縣域尺度上。因此，對縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)差異進(jìn)行剖析，揭示差異形成的機(jī)理，對縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展有重要意義。2000年以來，江西省縣域絕對差異呈持續(xù)擴(kuò)大趨勢，相對差異呈相對穩(wěn)定趨勢，總體差異呈擴(kuò)大趨勢；縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)在空間上表現(xiàn)為經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)達(dá)型、較發(fā)達(dá)型縣市主要分布在中部地區(qū)、交通干線和長江沿線地區(qū)；欠發(fā)達(dá)型和不發(fā)達(dá)型縣市呈不規(guī)則的環(huán)狀分布于經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)達(dá)、較發(fā)達(dá)型縣市的外圍地區(qū)；從整體上來看，江西省各縣市的發(fā)展水平呈現(xiàn)北高南低的分布格局；從縣市數(shù)量上看，呈現(xiàn)出城市規(guī)�！敖鹱炙苯Y(jié)構(gòu)等特征。
<mixed-citation>[<name>Zhao <given-names>Yuzhi, <name>Dong <given-names>Ping.Analysis on the characteristics of county economic disparities and its causes in Jiangxi province. Human Geography, <year>2012, <volume>27(1): <fpage>87-<lpage>91.][2] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name lang="CN">張錦宗, <name lang="CN">梁進(jìn)社, <name lang="CN">朱瑜馨. 新疆縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)分異特征、原因及對策探討[J]. 地理科學(xué), <year>2010, <volume>30(4): <fpage>536-<lpage>543.
在對新疆縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展評(píng)價(jià)基礎(chǔ)上,分析了新疆縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)分異的特征,探討了經(jīng)濟(jì)分異的原因,提出了解決對策。新疆縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)差異的空間分異、民族分異在很大程度上疊加為民族經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平的空間分異。新疆縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)分異與國家安全形勢長期面臨威脅時(shí)的經(jīng)濟(jì)建設(shè)投入差異、各民族就業(yè)人員比例差異、各民族人口的就業(yè)行業(yè)差異及各民族人口空間分布有關(guān)。應(yīng)當(dāng)增加對新疆特別是疆內(nèi)落后縣域的固定資產(chǎn)投資,并努力使經(jīng)濟(jì)增長與就業(yè)增長協(xié)調(diào)起來;增加基礎(chǔ)教育投資,同時(shí)加大職業(yè)技術(shù)教育;鼓勵(lì)實(shí)行少數(shù)民族人口一對夫婦生育兩個(gè)子女的政策,以減輕家庭負(fù)擔(dān),提高學(xué)生入學(xué)比例,才能大力迅速提升少數(shù)民族人口素質(zhì)。只有這樣,才能協(xié)調(diào)好各民族、各縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展,有利于國家穩(wěn)定發(fā)展。
<mixed-citation>[<name>Zhang <given-names>Jinzong, <name>Liang <given-names>Jinshe, <name>Zhu <given-names>Yuxin.The characteristics, reasons, and measures of county economic division of Xinjiang. Scientia Geographica Sinica, <year>2010, <volume>30(4): <fpage>536-<lpage>543.] [3] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name lang="CN">廖翼, <name lang="CN">周發(fā)明, <name lang="CN">唐玉鳳. 湖南縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)差異變化的實(shí)證研究[J]. 經(jīng)濟(jì)地理, <year>2014, <volume>34(2): <fpage>35-<lpage>41.以湖南縣域的88個(gè)經(jīng)濟(jì)體為研究對象,將其劃分為長株潭、洞庭 湖、大湘西和泛湘南四大分區(qū),采用泰爾指數(shù)法和基尼系數(shù)法,從空間分解和產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)分解兩個(gè)維度對湖南縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)差異變動(dòng)及其影響因素進(jìn)行實(shí)證研究.結(jié)果表 明:2001-2010年湖南縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)差異不斷擴(kuò)大;從空間分解來看,縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)差異主要是由區(qū)域內(nèi)差異引起的,而區(qū)域間差異對縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)差異的影響呈現(xiàn)不斷 擴(kuò)大的趨勢;從產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)分解來看,第二產(chǎn)業(yè)是導(dǎo)致縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)差異的最主要原因;從產(chǎn)業(yè)效應(yīng)來看,產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)效應(yīng)和集中效應(yīng)對湖南縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)差異變化的影響較大.
<mixed-citation>[<name>Liao <given-names>Yi, <name>Zhou <given-names>Faming, <name>Tang <given-names>Yufeng.The empirical study on the change of county economy disparity in Hunan. Economic Geography, <year>2014, <volume>34(2): <fpage>35-<lpage>41.] [4] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name lang="CN">羅慶, <name lang="CN">李小建, <name lang="CN">楊慧敏. 中國縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)空間分布格局及其演化研究: 1990~2010年[J]. 經(jīng)濟(jì)經(jīng)緯, <year>2014, <volume>31(1): <fpage>1-<lpage>7.縣域是度量經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平的基本單元,區(qū)域開發(fā)政策的實(shí)施效果在縣域?qū)用嬗葹轱@著。文章通過探索性空間數(shù)據(jù)分析,展示了1990年～2010年中國縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)格局在空間上的演變狀況。研究發(fā)現(xiàn),在經(jīng)濟(jì)總體格局上,中國縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平表現(xiàn)出較強(qiáng)的空間自相關(guān),相似地區(qū)在空間上集聚分布;熱點(diǎn)區(qū)域主要集中于長三角、珠三角和環(huán)渤海地區(qū);冷點(diǎn)區(qū)域集中于西北和西南地區(qū)。從熱點(diǎn)區(qū)域與冷點(diǎn)區(qū)域的時(shí)空變遷來看,中國縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)空間格局的自組織性越來越強(qiáng),空間分異格局中的隨機(jī)成分不斷降低,熱點(diǎn)區(qū)域范圍擴(kuò)大,并呈現(xiàn)出向北和向西移動(dòng)的趨勢,而冷點(diǎn)區(qū)域的范圍有所減少。1990年～2010年時(shí)段中國縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的空間格局存在著較明顯的變化,增長熱點(diǎn)也呈現(xiàn)向北、向西遷移的趨勢,增長冷點(diǎn)則向沿海遷移。最后,將中國縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)格局演化的驅(qū)動(dòng)力歸結(jié)為3個(gè)方面:經(jīng)濟(jì)區(qū)位、資源稟賦和區(qū)域發(fā)展政策。
<mixed-citation>[<name>Luo <given-names>Qing, <name>Li <given-names>Xiaojian, <name>Yang <given-names>Huimin.Spatial distribution pattern of China’s county economy and its evolution: from 1990 to 2010. Economic Survey, <year>2014, <volume>31(1): <fpage>1-<lpage>7.] [5] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name lang="CN">仇方道, <name lang="CN">朱傳耿, <name lang="CN">佟連軍, <etal lang="CN">等. 淮海經(jīng)濟(jì)區(qū)縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)差異變動(dòng)的空間分析[J]. 地理科學(xué), <year>2009, <volume>29(1): <fpage>56-<lpage>63.以縣域?yàn)檠芯繂卧?以人均GDP為測度指標(biāo),利用EDSA與統(tǒng)計(jì)分析的方法,對1995~2006年淮海經(jīng)濟(jì)區(qū)縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)差異的時(shí)空格局及空間作用類型進(jìn)行了初步探索。結(jié)果表明:淮海經(jīng)濟(jì)區(qū)縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)總體差異呈擴(kuò)大趨勢,蘇北、魯南、豫東、皖北4地區(qū)之間的差異以及蘇北內(nèi)部、魯南內(nèi)部差異是淮海經(jīng)濟(jì)區(qū)整體差異的主要貢獻(xiàn)者;高水平縣域沿主要交通線方向擴(kuò)展,形成沿京滬線(泰安-徐州段)、兗石線、沿海3條經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展軸;低水平縣域沿京九線形成不發(fā)達(dá)走廊,并在豫皖邊界地區(qū)出現(xiàn)低水平-低增長并陷入貧困陷阱的集聚區(qū);根據(jù)縣域與相鄰縣域的關(guān)系,將淮海經(jīng)濟(jì)區(qū)縣域分為擴(kuò)散型、極化型、“沉陷”型、“傳染”型。
<mixed-citation>[<name>Qiu <given-names>Fangdao, <name>Zhu <given-names>Chuangeng, <name>Tong <given-names>Lianjun.Spatial analysis of economic disparities of county level in Huaihai economic zone. Scientia Geographica Sinica, <year>2009, <volume>29(1): <fpage>56-<lpage>63.] [6] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name lang="CN">龔莉. 中國縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)差異及測度研究[D]. 長沙: 湖南大學(xué), <year>2006. <mixed-citation>[<name>Gong <given-names>Li.The research on economic difference and survey of China country. Changsha: Hunan University, <year>2006.] [7] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name lang="CN">仇方道, <name lang="CN">佟連軍, <etal lang="CN">等. 省際邊緣區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展差異時(shí)空格局及驅(qū)動(dòng)機(jī)制——以淮海經(jīng)濟(jì)區(qū)為例[J]. 地理研究, <year>2009, <volume>28(2): <fpage>451-<lpage>463.Qiu <given-names>Fangdao, <name>Tong <given-names>Lianjun, <name>Zhu <given-names>Chuangeng.Spatio-temporal pattern and driving mechanism of economic development discrepancy in provincial border-regions: A case study of Huaihai economic zone. Geographical Research, <year>2009, <volume>28(2): <fpage>451-<lpage>463] [8] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name lang="CN">張毅. 中國縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)差異變化分析[J]. 中國農(nóng)村經(jīng)濟(jì), <year>2010, <volume>11: <fpage>15-<lpage>25.
本文根據(jù)1980-2008年縣域統(tǒng)計(jì)數(shù)據(jù)，以農(nóng)民人均純收入為主，輔之于人均地區(qū)生產(chǎn)總值 等指標(biāo)，從絕對差異和相對差異兩個(gè)方面，對中國縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)差異的變化情況、差異構(gòu)成因素等進(jìn)行了系統(tǒng)的分析。研究表明，中國縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)差異巨大，并呈現(xiàn)出不斷 擴(kuò)大的趨勢；縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)差異主要由區(qū)域內(nèi)差異引起，而區(qū)域間差異是縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)差異波動(dòng)的主要來源。從產(chǎn)業(yè)分解看，第二產(chǎn)業(yè)對縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)差異的貢獻(xiàn)最大，且貢獻(xiàn)率 逐年上升；第一產(chǎn)業(yè)對縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)差異的影響非常有限，且貢獻(xiàn)率逐年下降。
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Jin <given-names>Cheng, <name>Lu <given-names>Yuqi.Evolvement of spatial pattern of economy in Jiangsu province at county level. Acta Geographica Sinica, <year>2009, <volume>64(6): <fpage>713-<lpage>724.] [11] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name>Felix <given-names>H.F. Liao,Yehua Dennis Wei.Dynamics,space,and regional inequality in provincial China:A case study of Guangdong province[J].Applied Geography,<year>2012,<volume>35(1-2):<fpage>71-<lpage>83./s?wd=paperuri%3A%28da30d02b6f0fb5556ac7c81526de873c%29&filter=sc_long_sign&sc_ks_para=q%3DDynamics%2C%20space%2C%20and%20regional%20inequality%20in%20provincial%20China%3A%20A%20case%20study%20of%20Guangdong%20province&sc_us=18042960779243780500&tn=SE_baiduxueshu_c1gjeupa&ie=utf-8 [12] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name lang="CN">蔣天穎, <name lang="CN">華明浩, <name lang="CN">張一青. 縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)差異總體特征與空間格局演化研究——以浙江為實(shí)證[J]. 經(jīng)濟(jì)地理, <year>2014, <volume>34(1): <fpage>35-<lpage>41.
以浙江為實(shí)證,采用探索性空間數(shù)據(jù)分析方法分析了縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)差異及 其空間格局演化,得出以下結(jié)論:2001-2011年,浙江省縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)差異雖有波動(dòng),但整體趨于平穩(wěn);浙東北各縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)差異變化幅度較小,浙西南各縣域經(jīng) 濟(jì)差異逐年減小,而這兩個(gè)區(qū)域間的經(jīng)濟(jì)差異逐年增大;浙江省縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)水平呈現(xiàn)空間集聚態(tài)勢,“杭—紹—甬”城市帶已成為浙江經(jīng)濟(jì)的核心發(fā)展區(qū)域;浙江省縣 域經(jīng)濟(jì)增長空間格局也呈現(xiàn)集聚態(tài)勢,浙東北地區(qū),尤其是杭州市轄區(qū)與紹興縣,始終是浙江省縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的熱點(diǎn)區(qū)域,而浙西南地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長水平相對較低.研 究還從經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展基礎(chǔ)、區(qū)位、政策和空間鄰近效應(yīng)這四個(gè)方面探討了浙江縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)空間差異的動(dòng)因及其對策建議.
<mixed-citation>[<name>Jiang <given-names>Tianying, <name>Hua <given-names>Minghao, <name>Zhang <given-names>Yiqing.Study on overall features and spatial evolution ofcounty economy—A case of Zhejiang province. Economic Geography, 2014, 34(1): 35-41.] [13] 李建豹, 白永平, 羅君, 等. 甘肅省縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)差異變動(dòng)的空間分析[J]. 經(jīng)濟(jì)地理, 2011, 31(3): 390-395. [Li Jianbao, Bai Yongping, Luo Jun et al. Spatial analysis of economic disparities of county level in Gansu province. Economic Geography, <year>2011, <volume>31(3): <fpage>390-<lpage>395.]/s?wd=paperuri%3A%2860c93428cc8816f18ec01fc7f23da454%29&filter=sc_long_sign&sc_ks_para=q%3DStudy%20on%20Overall%20Features%20and%20Spatial%20Evolution%20of%20County%20Economy%E2%80%94%E2%80%94A%20Case%20of%20Zhejiang%20Province&sc_us=14786986060909820696&tn=SE_baiduxueshu_c1gjeupa&ie=utf-8 [14] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name lang="CN">楊朝丹, <name lang="CN">姜會(huì)明, <name lang="CN">王寒冰. 吉林省糧食大縣經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展差異及成因分析[J]. 地理科學(xué), <year>2014, <volume>34(7): <fpage>825-<lpage>830.Yang <given-names>Chaodan, <name>Jiang <given-names>Huiming, <name>Wang <given-names>Hanbing.Economic development of major grain-producing counties in Jilin province. Scientia Geographica Sinica, <year>2014, <volume>34(7): <fpage>825-<lpage>830.] [15] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name lang="CN">關(guān)偉, <name lang="CN">朱海飛. 基于ESDA的遼寧省縣際經(jīng)濟(jì)差異時(shí)空分析[J]. 地理研究, <year>2011, <volume>30(11): <fpage>2008-<lpage>2016.
以縣域(含縣、縣級(jí)市、市轄區(qū))為研究單元,采用人均GDP為測度指標(biāo),運(yùn)用ESDA的方法對2000~2009年遼寧省縣際經(jīng)濟(jì)差異的時(shí)空格局進(jìn)行分析,認(rèn)為遼寧省縣際經(jīng)濟(jì)具有顯著的空間自相關(guān),區(qū)縣經(jīng)濟(jì)差異呈現(xiàn)先擴(kuò)大后縮小的趨勢。在局部差異方面,"高-高"類型的區(qū)縣主要集中在沈陽、大連地區(qū)并有向沿海地區(qū)擴(kuò)散的趨勢,"低-低"類型的區(qū)縣主要集中在阜新、朝陽及葫蘆島等所屬的廣大遼西地區(qū)。經(jīng)濟(jì)熱點(diǎn)區(qū)縣在空間分布上雖表現(xiàn)出一定的隨機(jī)性和不穩(wěn)定性,但仍以沈陽地區(qū)、大連地區(qū)最為活躍。在進(jìn)一步從歷史發(fā)展基礎(chǔ)、區(qū)位條件、政策因素、空間近鄰效應(yīng)等方面分析遼寧省縣際經(jīng)濟(jì)差異驅(qū)動(dòng)機(jī)制的基礎(chǔ)上,指出"遼寧沿海經(jīng)濟(jì)帶"和"沈陽經(jīng)濟(jì)區(qū)新型工業(yè)化綜合配套改革試驗(yàn)區(qū)"上升為國家戰(zhàn)略后,沈陽、大連在遼寧沿海經(jīng)濟(jì)帶、沈陽經(jīng)濟(jì)區(qū)中的核心地位已經(jīng)確立,但其輻射功能或帶動(dòng)作用仍然有限。
<mixed-citation>[<name>Guan <given-names>Wei, <name>Zhu <given-names>Haifeil.Spatio-temporal analysis of inter-county economic differences in Liaoning province based on ESDA. Geographical Research, <year>2011, <volume>30(11): <fpage>2008-<lpage>2016.] [16] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name lang="CN">王芳, <name lang="CN">高曉路. 內(nèi)蒙古縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)空間格局演化研究[J]. 地理科學(xué), <year>2014, <volume>34(7): <fpage>818-<lpage>824.Wang <given-names>Fang, <name>Gao <given-names>Xiaolu.Spatial pattern evolvement of the economy in inner Mongolia at the county level. Scientia Geographica Sinica, <year>2014, <volume>34(7): <fpage>818-<lpage>824.] [17] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name lang="CN">柯文前, <name lang="CN">陸玉麒, <name lang="CN">俞肇元, <etal lang="CN">等. 多變量驅(qū)動(dòng)的江蘇縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)空間格局演化[J]. 地理學(xué)報(bào), <year>2013, <volume>68(6): <fpage>802-<lpage>812.
針對現(xiàn)有區(qū)域空間格局演化對影響要素及其作用關(guān)系研究缺失的問題,本文通過分位數(shù)回歸建立江蘇省2000-2010 年縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)的變量關(guān)系模型,并在結(jié)合ESDA空間關(guān)聯(lián)模型的基礎(chǔ)上對其空間演化格局進(jìn)行研究,得出以下結(jié)論:① 變量揭示的區(qū)域格局演化的空間關(guān)聯(lián)特征有強(qiáng)化的表現(xiàn),但不同變量在不同時(shí)段分異特征不同。② ESDA探測發(fā)現(xiàn)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展與變量演化過程可能的潛在關(guān)系不同而出現(xiàn)不同類型區(qū)空間對應(yīng)程度的差異,分位數(shù)回歸給出了不同變量對不同分位地區(qū)邊際效應(yīng)影響程度不同的細(xì)致信息,從而證實(shí)了上述關(guān)系的存在。③分位數(shù)回歸最優(yōu)擬合值揭示區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)演化格局與實(shí)際吻合度較高,即形成“蘇錫”核心熱點(diǎn)區(qū)和“淮宿”核心冷點(diǎn)區(qū)的“圈層結(jié)構(gòu)”,且低值簇內(nèi)部的演化分異趨勢大于高值簇而表現(xiàn)出核心冷點(diǎn)區(qū)顯著的“內(nèi)陸化”與次核心冷點(diǎn)區(qū)的“沿�；�”特征,“高值簇”與“低值簇”分界線一直穩(wěn)定于蘇中地區(qū)。
<mixed-citation>[<name>Ke <given-names>Wenqian, <name>Lu <given-names>Yuqi, <name>Yu <given-names>Zhaoyuan.Spatial evolution of economic development at county level in Jiangsubased on multivariate drive. Acta Geographica Sinica, <year>2013, <volume>68(6): <fpage>802-<lpage>812.] [18] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name lang="CN">孟德友, <name lang="CN">陸玉麒. 基于基尼系數(shù)的河南縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)差異產(chǎn)業(yè)分解[J]. 經(jīng)濟(jì)地理, <year>2011, <volume>31(5): <fpage>799-<lpage>804.采用基尼系數(shù)及其分產(chǎn)業(yè)部門分 解的方法,依據(jù)河南省2000—2009年各縣域單元的人均GDP數(shù)據(jù),對河南省縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)單元的區(qū)域差異程度、動(dòng)態(tài)變化的產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)效應(yīng)和集中效應(yīng)進(jìn)行深入 探討。研究表明:第二產(chǎn)業(yè)區(qū)域差異是構(gòu)成河南縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)總體差距的決定因素;縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)差異波動(dòng)增大,產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)效應(yīng)是推動(dòng)縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)差異拉大的主要原因,而集中 效應(yīng)對縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)差距有緩解作用,集中效應(yīng)的不斷下降超過了結(jié)構(gòu)效應(yīng)的增加對區(qū)域差異擴(kuò)大的貢獻(xiàn),進(jìn)而不斷的緩解縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)差距。因此,推動(dòng)非農(nóng)產(chǎn)業(yè)在各縣域 單元間均衡發(fā)展是緩解河南縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)差異的有效途徑,尤其是加快推進(jìn)農(nóng)區(qū)縣域的農(nóng)業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)化和工業(yè)化進(jìn)程是實(shí)現(xiàn)河南省縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)均衡協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展的關(guān)鍵。
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DOI: 10.1111/j.1435-5597.1960.tb01705.x
[23] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">Daniel, Knudsen.Shift-share analysis further examination of model for the description of economic change[J].Socio-economic Planning Sciences,<year>2000,<volume>34(3):<fpage>178-<lpage>195./s?wd=paperuri%3A%2873d976d9688afe2a8b15631fbd019035%29&filter=sc_long_sign&sc_ks_para=q%3DShift-share%20analysis%3A%20further%20examination%20of%20models%20for%20the%20description%20of%20economic%20change&sc_us=974904387618164301&tn=SE_baiduxueshu_c1gjeupa&ie=utf-8 [24] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name lang="CN">劉剛, <name lang="CN">沈鐳. 1951~2004年西藏產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的演進(jìn)特征與機(jī)理[J]. 地理學(xué)報(bào), <year>2007, <volume>62(4): <fpage>364-<lpage>376.Liu <given-names>Gang, <name>Shen <given-names>Lei.Characteristics and mechanism of Tibet's industrial structure evolution from 1951 to 2004. Acta Geographica Sinica, <year>2007, <volume>62(4): <fpage>364-<lpage>376.] [25] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name lang="CN">干春暉, <name lang="CN">鄭若谷. 改革開放以來產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)演進(jìn)與生產(chǎn)率增長研究——對中國1978~2007年“結(jié)構(gòu)紅利假說”的檢驗(yàn)[J]. 中國工業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì), <year>2009, (2): <fpage>55-<lpage>65./s?wd=paperuri%3A%2801776e1e5e3f73a2ffcef33f6d1439ce%29&filter=sc_long_sign&sc_ks_para=q%3D%E6%94%B9%E9%9D%A9%E5%BC%80%E6%94%BE%E4%BB%A5%E6%9D%A5%E4%BA%A7%E4%B8%9A%E7%BB%93%E6%9E%84%E6%BC%94%E8%BF%9B%E4%B8%8E%E7%94%9F%E4%BA%A7%E7%8E%87%E5%A2%9E%E9%95%BF%E7%A0%94%E7%A9%B6%E2%80%94%E2%80%94%E5%AF%B9%E4%B8%AD%E5%9B%BD1978%EF%BD%9E2007%E5%B9%B4%E2%80%9C%E7%BB%93%E6%9E%84%E7%BA%A2%E5%88%A9%E5%81%87%E8%AF%B4%E2%80%9D%E7%9A%84%E6%A3%80%E9%AA%8C&sc_us=17359625712436234495&tn=SE_baiduxueshu_c1gjeupa&ie=utf-8 <mixed-citation>[<name>Gan <given-names>Chunhui, <name>Zheng <given-names>Ruogu.An empirical since the study on change of industrial reform and opening-up-a hypotheses from 1978 to structure and productivity growth test for the structure-bonus 1978 to 2007 in China. China Industrial Economics, <year>2009, (2): <fpage>55-<lpage>65.] [26] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name lang="CN">吳繼英, <name lang="CN">趙喜倉. 偏離-份額分析法空間模型及其應(yīng)用[J]. 統(tǒng)計(jì)研究, <year>2009, <volume>26(4): <fpage>73-<lpage>79.
傳統(tǒng)的偏離-份額分析模型沒有考慮區(qū)域之間的空間交互作用,為此 國外出現(xiàn)了空間拓展模型的探索、論證與應(yīng)用,然而目前國內(nèi)仍主要停留在對傳統(tǒng)模型的應(yīng)用.本文介紹了如何構(gòu)建空間權(quán)重矩陣來表示區(qū)域間的空間相互作用,并 介紹了國外較成熟的偏離-份額分析空間模型,并以江蘇為例應(yīng)用偏離.份額分析傳統(tǒng)模型和空間模型進(jìn)行了對比分析.結(jié)果表明,江蘇省第二、三產(chǎn)業(yè)在全國具有 較強(qiáng)的競爭力,經(jīng)濟(jì)總量及各產(chǎn)業(yè)的增長中,競爭力因索比產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)因素貢獻(xiàn)更大;但相對周邊鄰近省份江蘇各產(chǎn)業(yè)并沒有表現(xiàn)出競爭優(yōu)勢;鄰近省份對江蘇經(jīng)濟(jì)增 長產(chǎn)生了較大的正面影響,其中浙江影響最大,但江蘇沒有能夠充分利用這種影響,因此帶來了一定的理論經(jīng)濟(jì)損失.
DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1002-4565.2009.04.012
<mixed-citation>[<name>Wu <given-names>Jiying, <name>Zhao <given-names>Xicaug.Application of the spatial Shift-share analysis. Statistical Research, <year>2009, <volume>26(4): <fpage>73-<lpage>79.] [27] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name lang="CN">羅健, <name lang="CN">曹衛(wèi)東, <name lang="CN">田艷爭. 比例性偏離份額空間模型推演及應(yīng)用[J]. 地理研究, <year>2013, <volume>32(4): <fpage>755-<lpage>766.通過在模型分量結(jié)構(gòu)中置換共享分量、嵌入?yún)^(qū)域分量和重組殘差分量實(shí)現(xiàn)了區(qū)域分量和結(jié)構(gòu)分量的初步分離,又通過增速標(biāo)準(zhǔn)化處理分別排除了產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)和規(guī)模差異對區(qū)域分量和結(jié)構(gòu)分量測算的影響,實(shí)現(xiàn)了偏離份額分析從區(qū)域考察期增量中分離出區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)差異和規(guī)模差異對經(jīng)濟(jì)增長貢獻(xiàn)的目標(biāo)。新推演的結(jié)構(gòu)分量真正實(shí)現(xiàn)了區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)差異的橫縱向比較,尤其是通過同時(shí)測算區(qū)域產(chǎn)業(yè)規(guī)模結(jié)構(gòu)和增速結(jié)構(gòu)差異揭示了區(qū)域規(guī)模和增速占優(yōu)產(chǎn)業(yè)的集中分布情況。此外,為已有的20種分解結(jié)構(gòu)分類補(bǔ)充了8種分解結(jié)構(gòu),并以環(huán)比式動(dòng)態(tài)算法下的比例性偏離份額空間模型對安徽省各地級(jí)市2000-2010年經(jīng)濟(jì)增長進(jìn)行了分析。
DOI: 10.11821/yj2013040018
<mixed-citation>[<name>Luo <given-names>Jian, <name>Cao <given-names>Weidong, <name>Tian <given-names>Yanzheng.The derivation and application of the proportionality shift-share spatial model. Geographical Research, <year>2013, <volume>32(4): <fpage>755-<lpage>766.] [28] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name lang="CN">王兆紅, <name lang="CN">張曉平. 基于動(dòng)態(tài)偏離-份額法的北京高新技術(shù)產(chǎn)業(yè)競爭力分析[J]. 中國科學(xué)院研究生院學(xué)報(bào), <year>2011, <volume>28(5): <fpage>604-<lpage>610./s?wd=paperuri%3A%28ead0b346050f1b6958bab8b2999a5a8c%29&filter=sc_long_sign&sc_ks_para=q%3D%E5%9F%BA%E4%BA%8E%E5%8A%A8%E6%80%81%E5%81%8F%E7%A6%BB%E2%80%94%E4%BB%BD%E9%A2%9D%E6%B3%95%E7%9A%84%E5%8C%97%E4%BA%AC%E9%AB%98%E6%96%B0%E6%8A%80%E6%9C%AF%E4%BA%A7%E4%B8%9A%E7%AB%9E%E4%BA%89%E5%8A%9B%E5%88%86%E6%9E%90&sc_us=345135285432864215&tn=SE_baiduxueshu_c1gjeupa&ie=utf-8 <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">[<name>Wang <given-names>Zhaohong, <name>Zhang <given-names>Xiaoping.Competitiveness of high-tech industries in Beijing based on dynamic Shift-share analysis. Journal of Graduate University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, <year>2011, <volume>28(5): <fpage>604-<lpage>610.] [29] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name>Qin <given-names>Weishan,<name>Zhang <given-names>Yifeng.Evolution of Industrial Structure and Evaluation of the Economic Competitiveness of IslandCounties in China[J].Journal of Resources and Ecology,<year>2014,<volume>5(1):<fpage>74-<lpage>81.Islands are special regional units with unique development models and pathways and because of their locations, resources and environmental advantages, play an important role in the process of national modernization. Here, industrial coefficient variation and shift-share methods were used to explain the evolution of island county economies and the competitiveness of their industrial structures. We found that industrial structures in island counties have undergone a complex evolution, have not followed a pure levo-rotation mode or dextrorotation mode, and have experienced mixed evolutionary modes. The industrial structures in island counties are relatively simple, and the evolution of industrial structures in island counties has an apparent leaping feature. Last, the economic development of 12 focal island counties were divided into five categories in accordance with analysis of their economic development: Competitiveness Strengthened and Structure Optimized; Competitiveness Strengthened but Structure Declined; Competitiveness Weakened but Structure Optimized; Competitiveness Weakened and Structure Declined; and Structure Relatively Stabilized.
DOI: 10.5814/j.issn.1674-764x.2014.01.009
[30] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name lang="CN">劉鶴, <name lang="CN">劉毅, <name lang="CN">許旭. 黃河中上游能源化工區(qū)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的演進(jìn)特征及機(jī)理[J]. 經(jīng)濟(jì)地理, <year>2010, <volume>30(10): <fpage>1657-<lpage>1663.采用產(chǎn)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)、計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)、統(tǒng)計(jì)學(xué)和GIS中的相關(guān)方法和技術(shù),定量評(píng)價(jià)黃河中上游能源化工區(qū)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)演進(jìn)的特征�？坍孅S河中上游產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)演進(jìn)的總體特征,運(yùn)用偏離—份額分析法分析三次產(chǎn)業(yè)及其內(nèi)部結(jié)構(gòu)演進(jìn)的數(shù)量特征,利用產(chǎn)業(yè)相似系數(shù)等產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)指標(biāo)計(jì)算分析制造業(yè)內(nèi)部結(jié)構(gòu)的動(dòng)態(tài)演進(jìn)特征,并結(jié)合區(qū)位商和產(chǎn)業(yè)比重探究區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)快速發(fā)展的內(nèi)在機(jī)制。最后,歸納出黃河中上游能源化工區(qū)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)演進(jìn)的主要驅(qū)動(dòng)力是資源稟賦優(yōu)勢、市場需求拉動(dòng)和政府政策引導(dǎo),并針對性地提出"優(yōu)化第二產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu),保證第一產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展,重點(diǎn)扶持第三產(chǎn)業(yè)"的對策。
<mixed-citation>[<name>Liu <given-names>He, <name>Liu <given-names>Yi, <name>Xu <given-names>Xu.Characteristics and mechanism of industrial structure evolution of energy and chemical areas in the upper and middle yellow river. Economic Geography, <year>2010, <volume>30(10): <fpage>1657-<lpage>1663.] [31] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name lang="CN">劉杰. 沿海欠發(fā)達(dá)地區(qū)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)演進(jìn)和經(jīng)濟(jì)增長關(guān)系實(shí)證——以山東省菏澤市為例[J]. 經(jīng)濟(jì)地理, <year>2012, <volume>32(6): <fpage>103-<lpage>109.改革開放以來,我國沿海省市經(jīng)濟(jì)雖取得了舉世矚目的發(fā)展,但其內(nèi) 部仍有欠發(fā)達(dá)地區(qū)。促進(jìn)沿海欠發(fā)達(dá)地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展,縮小區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)差異是一個(gè)具有重大理論價(jià)值和現(xiàn)實(shí)意義的課題。依據(jù)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的演進(jìn)規(guī)律及其與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長關(guān)系的 基本理論和利用偏離—份額分析法（Shift-Share Method,SSM）對山東省菏澤市進(jìn)行實(shí)證分析,揭示菏澤產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的演變特征及其與區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的關(guān)系,分析菏澤產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)演進(jìn)的機(jī)理,提出今后菏澤產(chǎn) 業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)演進(jìn)的態(tài)勢,以期為菏澤市及與其相似的沿海欠發(fā)達(dá)地區(qū)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整和區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)的可持續(xù)發(fā)展提供決策參考。
<mixed-citation>[<name>Liu <given-names>Jie.Empirical research of relationship of industrial restructuring and economic development in coastal less developed regions—A case of Heze city, Shandong Province. Economic Geography, <year>2012, <volume>32(6): <fpage>103-<lpage>109.] [32] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name lang="CN">曹衛(wèi)東, <name lang="CN">朱勝清, <name lang="CN">羅健. 基于比例性偏離份額模型的區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)增長分析——以安徽省為例[J]. 經(jīng)濟(jì)地理, <year>2013, <volume>33(2): <fpage>39-<lpage>46.比例性偏離份額模型實(shí)現(xiàn)了偏離份額分析從區(qū)域考察期增量中分離出區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)差異和規(guī)模差異對經(jīng)濟(jì)增長貢獻(xiàn)的目標(biāo)。新結(jié)構(gòu)分量同時(shí)測度區(qū)域產(chǎn)業(yè)規(guī)模結(jié)構(gòu)和增速結(jié)構(gòu)差異，揭示了區(qū)域規(guī)模和增速占優(yōu)產(chǎn)業(yè)的集中分布情況。安徽省各地級(jí)市2001-2010年經(jīng)濟(jì)增長實(shí)證分析結(jié)果表明：只有合肥和蕪湖同時(shí)擁有競爭優(yōu)勢和結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)勢；宿州、六安和池州競爭優(yōu)勢明顯，但結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)勢不足；而競爭優(yōu)勢不足，卻擁有一定結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)勢的有亳州、蚌埠、阜陽、馬鞍山、銅陵、巢湖和黃山；其余的淮南、淮北、安慶、滁州和宣城競爭優(yōu)勢和結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)勢都不足。以環(huán)比式動(dòng)態(tài)算法下區(qū)域分量和結(jié)構(gòu)分量歷年變更情況分析區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)增長競爭優(yōu)勢和結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)勢動(dòng)態(tài)演變過程，可劃分出5種演變類型：競爭增強(qiáng)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化型、競爭增強(qiáng)結(jié)構(gòu)衰退型、競爭減弱結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化型、競爭減弱結(jié)構(gòu)衰退型和結(jié)構(gòu)相對穩(wěn)定型。
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