碳減排對縣級區(qū)域經濟發(fā)展影響的研究
發(fā)布時間：2018-12-31 14:15
【摘要】：隨著全球氣候變暖，各個國家環(huán)保意識不斷加強，我國政府也在經濟發(fā)展的同時制定了一系列政策來減少溫室氣體的排放，與此同時我國政府對經濟發(fā)展的方式也不斷調整，從可持續(xù)發(fā)展到綠色經濟再到當前的低碳經濟，這也充分說明了我國政府對溫室氣體尤其是碳排放量的重視程度不斷增加，低碳經濟主要是指經濟發(fā)展過程中，通過降低能源的消耗量或是開發(fā)新的能源來替代煤炭及石油等降低能源消耗中產生的碳排放量，進而降低大氣中的碳含量，減少溫室氣體。河北省為了能夠擴大國家相關政策的實施面，將發(fā)展低碳經濟延伸到縣，眾所周知，縣域經濟的發(fā)展是國家宏觀GDP發(fā)展的重要組成部分，縣域經濟的低碳發(fā)展直接關系著我國碳排放總量，因此本文以河北省曲周縣為例，重點從分析碳減排與曲周縣區(qū)域經濟發(fā)展之間的關系角度，為全國縣域經濟的低碳發(fā)展提供借鑒。 本文以節(jié)能減排與發(fā)展低碳經濟為理論基礎，通過對國內外碳減排及區(qū)域經濟發(fā)展相關文獻的研究，了解國內外在此方面的研究現狀，并在此基礎上，提出本文的研究意義及研究的創(chuàng)新點，接著文章以河北省曲周縣為例，通過分析影響河北省曲周縣碳排放的定性因素和定量因素，運用加權灰關聯模型對碳排放量與各影響因素之間的關系進行實證分析，再以改進的EKC模型為基礎分析了碳減排與曲周縣區(qū)域經濟發(fā)展之間的關系，并對相關序列進行了ADF單位根檢驗、協(xié)整檢驗以及格蘭杰因果檢驗，，通過實證分析得出了兩者之間的回歸關系；最后根據上述實證分析結果，提出相應的對策建議。 通過運用相關模型本文得出了以下結論，一方面，地區(qū)能源消耗量是影響碳排放量的主要因素，其次是居民消費價格指數；另一方面，曲周縣經濟增長與碳排放之間存在長期穩(wěn)定的均衡關系，EKC曲線為N型，通過格蘭杰因果檢驗得出曲周縣經濟增長不是碳排放持續(xù)增長的格蘭杰原因，而碳排放是區(qū)域經濟增長的推動因素，這是由于目前曲周縣正處于EKC曲線的第一個上升時期，因此碳排放量的增加在一定程度上會加快當地的經濟發(fā)展，這與曲周縣的實際情況相符合。最后筆者根據得出的相關結論，從能源消耗結構、產業(yè)結構的調整以及增加環(huán)境治理投資額度和“節(jié)能”與“減排”工作并重四個角度提出了曲周縣經濟發(fā)展的對策建議。
[Abstract]:With the global warming and the increasing awareness of environmental protection in various countries, our government has also formulated a series of policies to reduce greenhouse gas emissions while the economy is developing. At the same time, our government has constantly adjusted its way of economic development. From sustainable development to green economy to the current low-carbon economy, it also fully shows that our government has been paying more and more attention to greenhouse gases, especially carbon emissions. Low-carbon economy mainly refers to the process of economic development. By reducing energy consumption or developing new sources of energy instead of coal and oil, reducing carbon emissions from energy consumption, thus reducing the carbon content in the atmosphere, reducing greenhouse gases. In order to expand the implementation of relevant national policies, Hebei Province will extend the development of low-carbon economy to counties. As we all know, the development of county economy is an important part of the development of national macro GDP. The low-carbon development of county economy is directly related to the total amount of carbon emissions in China. Therefore, this paper takes Quzhou County in Hebei Province as an example, focusing on the analysis of the relationship between carbon emission reduction and regional economic development in Quzhou County. For the national county economy low-carbon development to provide reference. Based on the theory of saving energy and reducing emissions and developing low-carbon economy, this paper studies the domestic and foreign literature on carbon emission reduction and regional economic development, and finds out the current situation of domestic and foreign research in this area. The research significance and innovation of this paper are put forward. Then, taking Quzhou County of Hebei Province as an example, the qualitative and quantitative factors affecting carbon emissions in Quzhou County of Hebei Province are analyzed. Based on the improved EKC model, the relationship between carbon emission reduction and regional economic development in Quzhou County is analyzed by using weighted grey correlation model. The ADF unit root test, cointegration test and Granger causality test are used to test the correlation sequences, and the regression relationship between them is obtained by empirical analysis. Finally, according to the above empirical analysis results, the corresponding countermeasures and suggestions are put forward. This paper draws the following conclusions by using the relevant model: on the one hand, regional energy consumption is the main factor affecting carbon emissions, followed by consumer price index; On the other hand, there is a long-term stable equilibrium relationship between economic growth and carbon emissions in Quzhou County. The EKC curve is N-type. By Granger causality test, it is concluded that economic growth is not the Granger cause of continuous carbon emissions growth in Quzhou County. Carbon emissions are a driving factor in regional economic growth. This is because Quzhou County is now in the first rising period of the EKC curve, so the increase in carbon emissions will speed up local economic development to a certain extent. This is in line with the actual situation in Quzhou County. Finally, according to the relevant conclusions, the author puts forward countermeasures and suggestions for economic development of Quzhou County from four angles: structure of energy consumption, adjustment of industrial structure, increase of investment quota for environmental management and equal emphasis on "energy saving" and "emission reduction".
【學位授予單位】：華北電力大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F127;F205;F224
本文編號：2396700
[Abstract]:With the global warming and the increasing awareness of environmental protection in various countries, our government has also formulated a series of policies to reduce greenhouse gas emissions while the economy is developing. At the same time, our government has constantly adjusted its way of economic development. From sustainable development to green economy to the current low-carbon economy, it also fully shows that our government has been paying more and more attention to greenhouse gases, especially carbon emissions. Low-carbon economy mainly refers to the process of economic development. By reducing energy consumption or developing new sources of energy instead of coal and oil, reducing carbon emissions from energy consumption, thus reducing the carbon content in the atmosphere, reducing greenhouse gases. In order to expand the implementation of relevant national policies, Hebei Province will extend the development of low-carbon economy to counties. As we all know, the development of county economy is an important part of the development of national macro GDP. The low-carbon development of county economy is directly related to the total amount of carbon emissions in China. Therefore, this paper takes Quzhou County in Hebei Province as an example, focusing on the analysis of the relationship between carbon emission reduction and regional economic development in Quzhou County. For the national county economy low-carbon development to provide reference. Based on the theory of saving energy and reducing emissions and developing low-carbon economy, this paper studies the domestic and foreign literature on carbon emission reduction and regional economic development, and finds out the current situation of domestic and foreign research in this area. The research significance and innovation of this paper are put forward. Then, taking Quzhou County of Hebei Province as an example, the qualitative and quantitative factors affecting carbon emissions in Quzhou County of Hebei Province are analyzed. Based on the improved EKC model, the relationship between carbon emission reduction and regional economic development in Quzhou County is analyzed by using weighted grey correlation model. The ADF unit root test, cointegration test and Granger causality test are used to test the correlation sequences, and the regression relationship between them is obtained by empirical analysis. Finally, according to the above empirical analysis results, the corresponding countermeasures and suggestions are put forward. This paper draws the following conclusions by using the relevant model: on the one hand, regional energy consumption is the main factor affecting carbon emissions, followed by consumer price index; On the other hand, there is a long-term stable equilibrium relationship between economic growth and carbon emissions in Quzhou County. The EKC curve is N-type. By Granger causality test, it is concluded that economic growth is not the Granger cause of continuous carbon emissions growth in Quzhou County. Carbon emissions are a driving factor in regional economic growth. This is because Quzhou County is now in the first rising period of the EKC curve, so the increase in carbon emissions will speed up local economic development to a certain extent. This is in line with the actual situation in Quzhou County. Finally, according to the relevant conclusions, the author puts forward countermeasures and suggestions for economic development of Quzhou County from four angles: structure of energy consumption, adjustment of industrial structure, increase of investment quota for environmental management and equal emphasis on "energy saving" and "emission reduction".
【學位授予單位】：華北電力大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F127;F205;F224
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