【摘要】：該文在"人口—經(jīng)濟(jì)—政府"PSR分析框架下,通過耦合協(xié)調(diào)度模型對(duì)新疆人口系統(tǒng)與區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)系統(tǒng)協(xié)調(diào)性水平進(jìn)行評(píng)價(jià),運(yùn)用多元線性回歸模型對(duì)新疆人口系統(tǒng)與區(qū)域經(jīng)系統(tǒng)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展的影響因素進(jìn)行實(shí)證分析。結(jié)果表明:新疆人口系統(tǒng)與區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)系統(tǒng)協(xié)調(diào)度雖然逐年提高,但協(xié)調(diào)質(zhì)量仍較低;五個(gè)自變量中,政府消費(fèi)比重、農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)效率和投資率影響方向?yàn)檎?失業(yè)率和農(nóng)村居民消費(fèi)水平指數(shù)增長率影響方向?yàn)樨?fù),且政府消費(fèi)比重、失業(yè)率、農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)效率以及投資率協(xié)調(diào)度的影響程度依次遞減。
[Abstract]:In this paper, the coordination level between population system and regional economic system in Xinjiang is evaluated by coupling coordination degree model under the framework of "population-economy-government" PSR analysis. This paper makes an empirical analysis on the factors influencing the coordinated development of population system and regional economic system in Xinjiang by using multiple linear regression model. The results show that the coordination degree between population system and regional economic system in Xinjiang is increasing year by year, but the quality of coordination is still low. Among the five independent variables, the influence direction of government consumption, agricultural production efficiency and investment rate is positive, the influence direction of unemployment rate and consumption level index growth rate of rural residents is negative, and the proportion of government consumption and unemployment rate are negative. The influence degree of agricultural production efficiency and investment rate coordination degree is decreasing in turn.
【作者單位】： 石河子大學(xué)經(jīng)濟(jì)與管理學(xué)院;
【基金】：國家社科基金重點(diǎn)項(xiàng)目“‘穩(wěn)定—發(fā)展’雙重目標(biāo)下新疆人口空間格局優(yōu)化的路徑與政策研究”(15AGL023)
【分類號(hào)】：F127;C924.24
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本文編號(hào)：2343557