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FTA對中韓農(nóng)產(chǎn)品貿(mào)易的影響

發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-08-23 11:12
【摘要】:世界經(jīng)濟(jì)一體化和區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)一體化的趨勢下,建立雙邊自由貿(mào)易區(qū)已成為區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)一體化的主要形式,地理位置接近的國家間或者經(jīng)濟(jì)體間建立雙邊自由貿(mào)易區(qū)較多。2002年起中韓已開始關(guān)于簽約中韓自由貿(mào)易區(qū)協(xié)定的談判。尤其是韓國對農(nóng)產(chǎn)品市場開放較敏感的反映與試圖在中韓自由貿(mào)易協(xié)定上排除農(nóng)產(chǎn)品市場開放的問題。 根據(jù)比較優(yōu)勢理論、產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易理論和貿(mào)易強(qiáng)度理論,采用RCA、IIT及TCD模型等來分析兩國農(nóng)產(chǎn)貿(mào)易的現(xiàn)狀與性質(zhì),,通過對中韓貿(mào)易統(tǒng)計(jì)數(shù)據(jù)的分析來了解兩國農(nóng)產(chǎn)品貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)。中韓建立自由貿(mào)易區(qū)對中韓農(nóng)產(chǎn)品貿(mào)易的的主要影響為關(guān)稅,利用GSIM模型將兩國間關(guān)稅率調(diào)整為零。以各種變數(shù)為指數(shù)化測算自由貿(mào)易協(xié)定產(chǎn)生的經(jīng)濟(jì)效應(yīng)變化(消費(fèi)者效應(yīng)、生產(chǎn)者效應(yīng)、關(guān)稅收入和凈福利)。建立中韓自由貿(mào)易區(qū)對中國來說是有利的,但是對韓國來說是不利的。兩國建交以來韓國農(nóng)業(yè)受到了嚴(yán)重的打擊。最后筆者提示減少中韓建立雙邊自由貿(mào)易區(qū)的負(fù)作用的方案(自由貿(mào)易區(qū)的過渡期、農(nóng)產(chǎn)品開放范圍、建立中韓貿(mào)易仲裁機(jī)構(gòu))和加快產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移(培養(yǎng)高級農(nóng)業(yè)人才的必要性)。
[Abstract]:Under the trend of world economic integration and regional economic integration, the establishment of bilateral free trade zones has become the main form of regional economic integration. There are more bilateral free trade zones between countries or economies with close geographical location. Since 2002, China and South Korea have started negotiations on signing a free trade zone agreement between China and South Korea. In particular, Korea is sensitive to the opening of agricultural products market and tries to exclude the opening of agricultural products market from the free trade agreement between China and Korea. According to comparative advantage theory, intra-industry trade theory and trade intensity theory, RCA-IIT and TCD model are used to analyze the current situation and nature of agricultural trade between the two countries, and the structure of agricultural products trade between China and South Korea is analyzed through the analysis of trade statistics between China and South Korea. The main influence of the establishment of free trade zone between China and South Korea on agricultural trade between China and South Korea is tariff, and the tariff rate between the two countries is adjusted to zero by using GSIM model. The economic effects of free trade agreements (consumer effect, producer effect, tariff income and net welfare) are measured using various variables as indexed. The establishment of a free trade zone between China and South Korea is beneficial to China, but unfavorable to South Korea. South Korean agriculture has been hit hard since the two countries established diplomatic ties. At last, the author points out that it is necessary to reduce the negative effects of establishing bilateral free trade zone between China and South Korea (the transition period of free trade area, the open scope of agricultural products, and the establishment of Sino-Korean trade arbitration institution) and to speed up industrial transfer (the necessity of cultivating senior agricultural talents).
【學(xué)位授予單位】:上海交通大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2014
【分類號】:F323.7;F752.7

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