京津冀城市群耦合協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展及時空演化研究
發(fā)布時間:2018-08-12 20:31
【摘要】:本文通過構建城市系統(tǒng)指標體系,運用熵權賦值法和耦合協(xié)調(diào)度模型,測度和分析了2005~2015年京津冀城市群經(jīng)濟——科技——人口——土地的綜合發(fā)展水平、協(xié)調(diào)關系及演化特征。研究表明,從時序看,京津冀城市群經(jīng)濟、科技、人口與土地基本處于低級耦合協(xié)調(diào)狀態(tài),人口發(fā)展和土地擴張仍是經(jīng)濟發(fā)展的主導模式,而科技系統(tǒng)發(fā)展持續(xù)低迷,創(chuàng)新驅動格局尚未形成。從空間看,京津冀各城市耦合協(xié)調(diào)水平整體提升,逐漸形成以北京、天津為中心,沿京津發(fā)展軸、京保石發(fā)展軸蔓延的協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展格局,而城市各系統(tǒng)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展呈現(xiàn)空間分異特征,"協(xié)調(diào)高地"與"協(xié)調(diào)失靈"局面并存。因此,應大力實施創(chuàng)新驅動戰(zhàn)略,加快形成人口多中心分布格局,強化土地利用協(xié)調(diào)管理,促進區(qū)域經(jīng)濟、科技、人口、土地協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展。
[Abstract]:By constructing the index system of urban system, using entropy weight assignment method and coupling coordination degree model, this paper measures and analyzes the comprehensive development level, coordination relationship and evolution characteristics of economy, science, technology, population and land of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomeration from 2005 to 2015. The research shows that the economy, science and technology, population and land of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomeration are basically in a low coupling and coordination state. Population development and land expansion are still the dominant mode of economic development, while the development of science and technology system is still in a low level. Innovation-driven pattern has not yet been formed. From a spatial point of view, the level of coupling and coordination among the cities of Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei has been raised as a whole, gradually forming a coordinated development pattern with Beijing and Tianjin as the center, along the development axis of Beijing and Tianjin and the spread of the development axis of Beijing, Tianjin and Baoshi. The coordinated development of urban systems is characterized by spatial differentiation, and "coordination highland" and "coordination failure" coexist. Therefore, we should vigorously implement the strategy of innovation-driven, accelerate the formation of multi-center distribution pattern of population, strengthen the coordinated management of land use, and promote the coordinated development of regional economy, science and technology, population and land.
【作者單位】: 國家物資儲備局物資儲備研究所;北京師范大學地理科學學部;
【分類號】:F127
[Abstract]:By constructing the index system of urban system, using entropy weight assignment method and coupling coordination degree model, this paper measures and analyzes the comprehensive development level, coordination relationship and evolution characteristics of economy, science, technology, population and land of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomeration from 2005 to 2015. The research shows that the economy, science and technology, population and land of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomeration are basically in a low coupling and coordination state. Population development and land expansion are still the dominant mode of economic development, while the development of science and technology system is still in a low level. Innovation-driven pattern has not yet been formed. From a spatial point of view, the level of coupling and coordination among the cities of Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei has been raised as a whole, gradually forming a coordinated development pattern with Beijing and Tianjin as the center, along the development axis of Beijing and Tianjin and the spread of the development axis of Beijing, Tianjin and Baoshi. The coordinated development of urban systems is characterized by spatial differentiation, and "coordination highland" and "coordination failure" coexist. Therefore, we should vigorously implement the strategy of innovation-driven, accelerate the formation of multi-center distribution pattern of population, strengthen the coordinated management of land use, and promote the coordinated development of regional economy, science and technology, population and land.
【作者單位】: 國家物資儲備局物資儲備研究所;北京師范大學地理科學學部;
【分類號】:F127
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