本文選題：區(qū)域全面經(jīng)濟伙伴關(guān)系協(xié)定 + 貿(mào)易結(jié)合度��； 參考：《天津財經(jīng)大學》2014年碩士論文

【摘要】：隨著經(jīng)濟全球化的深入發(fā)展,貿(mào)易自由化已成為時代趨勢,而倡導全球貿(mào)易自由化的WTO發(fā)展受到諸多因素的制約,因此各國紛紛轉(zhuǎn)向參與區(qū)域間的經(jīng)濟合作,區(qū)域經(jīng)濟一體化成為各國實現(xiàn)貿(mào)易自由化的新選擇。目前歐美均存在一體化的經(jīng)濟組織,在亞洲雖然有東盟這一包含10個國家的自由貿(mào)易區(qū),但并沒有一個包含亞洲大多數(shù)國家的經(jīng)濟一體化組織,尤其是在東亞這一包含世界第二經(jīng)濟體的日本、經(jīng)濟發(fā)達的韓國、經(jīng)濟迅猛發(fā)展的中國和不斷發(fā)展中的印度地區(qū)至今沒有形成一體化的發(fā)展形式,東亞地區(qū)需要順應區(qū)域一體化發(fā)展趨勢,建立起統(tǒng)一的大市場,促進地區(qū)經(jīng)濟的發(fā)展。區(qū)域全面經(jīng)濟伙伴關(guān)系協(xié)定包括亞洲東盟10國、中國、日本、韓國、印度和大洋洲的澳大利亞和新西蘭,協(xié)定建立后將成為世界上最大的自由貿(mào)易區(qū),經(jīng)濟發(fā)展前景廣闊,市場容量巨大,將進一步促進區(qū)內(nèi)各國和整個區(qū)域的經(jīng)濟發(fā)展�？梢哉f區(qū)域全面經(jīng)濟伙伴關(guān)系協(xié)定的建立對區(qū)域內(nèi)各國和區(qū)外國家將產(chǎn)生重要影響。文中采用經(jīng)濟理論和數(shù)據(jù)實證相結(jié)合的分析方法,利用貿(mào)易比重、貿(mào)易結(jié)合度和貿(mào)易互補性實證方法分析了區(qū)域內(nèi)各國之間的經(jīng)貿(mào)合作現(xiàn)實情況對協(xié)定建立的影響,從實證數(shù)據(jù)得出區(qū)域內(nèi)較高的貿(mào)易比重、緊密的貿(mào)易集合度和較強的貿(mào)易互補性是協(xié)定建立的經(jīng)濟基礎(chǔ)條件,能推進協(xié)定的發(fā)展。理論與現(xiàn)實結(jié)合分析了協(xié)定國間的政治摩擦、各國經(jīng)濟發(fā)展水平的差異和區(qū)域外部的制約是阻礙協(xié)定推進的主要因素,然后從自由貿(mào)易區(qū)建立產(chǎn)生的靜態(tài)效應和動態(tài)效應對協(xié)定建立后可能會對中國產(chǎn)生的貿(mào)易和投資影響進行了預測,協(xié)定建立對中國既有積極的影響又有消極的影響,最后根據(jù)文中分析的相關(guān)結(jié)論提出協(xié)定推進過程中各方要深化合作、加強互聯(lián)互通的建設并給予發(fā)展中國家一個“過渡期”,中國應積極應對協(xié)定所帶來的機遇與挑戰(zhàn)。
[Abstract]:With the deepening development of economic globalization, trade liberalization has become a trend of the times, and the development of WTO, which advocates global trade liberalization, is restricted by many factors, so many countries have turned to participate in interregional economic cooperation. Regional economic integration has become a new choice for countries to realize trade liberalization. At present, there are integrated economic organizations in Europe and the United States. Although there are ASEAN, a free trade area of 10 countries, in Asia, there is not an economic integration organization that includes most of the Asian countries. Especially in East Asia, which contains the world's second largest economy, Japan, the economically developed Republic of Korea, China with rapid economic development, and India, which is constantly developing, have not yet formed an integrated form of development. East Asia needs to conform to the development trend of regional integration, set up a unified large market, and promote the development of regional economy. The regional comprehensive economic partnership agreement, which includes the 10 Asian ASEAN countries, China, Japan, South Korea, India and Australia and New Zealand in Oceania, will become the world's largest free trade area, with broad prospects for economic development. The huge market capacity will further promote the economic development of the countries in the region and the region as a whole. It can be said that the establishment of the regional comprehensive economic partnership agreement will have an important impact on the countries within and outside the region. In this paper, the economic theory and empirical data are used to analyze the impact of the reality of economic and trade cooperation among countries in the region on the establishment of the agreement, using the empirical method of trade proportion, trade integration and trade complementarity. From the empirical data, it can be concluded that the high proportion of trade in the region, the close degree of trade aggregation and the strong trade complementarity are the economic conditions for the establishment of the agreement, which can promote the development of the agreement. Combining theory with reality, the paper analyzes the political frictions among the countries of the Agreement. The differences in the level of economic development of different countries and the external constraints of the region are the main factors hindering the advancement of the Agreement. Then, from the static and dynamic effects of the establishment of the free trade zone, we predict the trade and investment impacts that may occur to China after the establishment of the agreement, and the establishment of the agreement has both positive and negative effects on China. Finally, according to the relevant conclusions of the paper, it is proposed that all parties should deepen cooperation, strengthen the construction of interconnection and give developing countries a "transitional period" in the process of advancing the agreement. China should actively meet the opportunities and challenges brought by the agreement.
【學位授予單位】：天津財經(jīng)大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F744;F752

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