本文選題：京滬高鐵 + 客流規(guī)律　； 參考：《北京交通大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文

【摘要】：京滬高速鐵路自開(kāi)通運(yùn)營(yíng)以來(lái),以其大運(yùn)量、高速度、高舒適性的運(yùn)輸特點(diǎn),吸引了大量京滬通道內(nèi)的客流,很大程度上緩解了通道內(nèi)的運(yùn)輸壓力,也逐漸形成了其特有的客流規(guī)律。與此同時(shí),沿線(xiàn)區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)在快速發(fā)展,與民航、公路的競(jìng)爭(zhēng)也日趨激烈,同時(shí)還不斷有新建成的線(xiàn)路接入京滬高鐵路網(wǎng),在這些條件的作用下,使得通道內(nèi)的客流量、客流結(jié)構(gòu)不斷發(fā)生變化。這就要求京滬高速鐵路客運(yùn)開(kāi)行方案等核心產(chǎn)品設(shè)計(jì)要不斷適應(yīng)市場(chǎng)變化與需求,能夠及時(shí)做出優(yōu)化調(diào)整。在此背景下,本論文以京滬高速鐵路為研究對(duì)象,研究一種滿(mǎn)足京滬高速鐵路運(yùn)營(yíng)需要的開(kāi)行方案評(píng)價(jià)與優(yōu)化調(diào)整方法,使企業(yè)能夠根據(jù)運(yùn)營(yíng)效果及時(shí)對(duì)客運(yùn)產(chǎn)品做出評(píng)價(jià)及調(diào)整。 首先,論文以現(xiàn)有的車(chē)、流、票等歷史數(shù)據(jù)和準(zhǔn)實(shí)時(shí)數(shù)據(jù)為基礎(chǔ),從時(shí)間、空間等多個(gè)維度,深入分析了京滬高鐵的客流規(guī)律。為京滬高鐵開(kāi)行方案評(píng)價(jià)及優(yōu)化調(diào)整提供了的數(shù)據(jù)基礎(chǔ)和決策依據(jù)。 其次,遵循開(kāi)行方案評(píng)價(jià)指標(biāo)體系建立原則,分析了開(kāi)行方案的影響因素,研究建立了面向京滬高速鐵路開(kāi)行方案的單列車(chē)評(píng)價(jià)指標(biāo)體系和整體性評(píng)價(jià)指標(biāo)體系,并給出評(píng)價(jià)指標(biāo)的計(jì)算方法。 再次,在比較分析現(xiàn)有開(kāi)行方案綜合評(píng)價(jià)方法的基礎(chǔ)上,研究提出了一種基于聚類(lèi)-主成分分析的兩階段綜合評(píng)價(jià)方法,即首先對(duì)單列車(chē)進(jìn)行基于聚類(lèi)-主成分分析的評(píng)價(jià)和調(diào)整,再通過(guò)對(duì)整體方案進(jìn)行分層分析做補(bǔ)充調(diào)整的綜合評(píng)價(jià)方法,并給出具體評(píng)價(jià)的流程和步驟。 然后,以京滬高速鐵路開(kāi)行列車(chē)為實(shí)際對(duì)象,針對(duì)單列車(chē)進(jìn)行了主成分分析,得出評(píng)價(jià)主成分即為企業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)效益和旅客出行服務(wù)水平。在此基礎(chǔ)上,對(duì)問(wèn)題列車(chē)進(jìn)行了評(píng)價(jià),并給出調(diào)整建議。 最后,對(duì)整體開(kāi)行方案各層次指標(biāo)進(jìn)行了分析評(píng)價(jià),補(bǔ)充了單列車(chē)因主成分分析造成信息損失的不足,完善了開(kāi)行方案評(píng)價(jià)的系統(tǒng)整體性。
[Abstract]:The Beijing-Shanghai high-speed railway has attracted a large number of passengers in the Beijing-Shanghai corridor because of its characteristics of large volume, high speed and high comfort since it was put into operation. To a great extent, it has alleviated the transport pressure in the channel. Also gradually formed its unique passenger flow law. At the same time, with the rapid development of the regional economy along the route, the competition with civil aviation and highways is becoming increasingly fierce. At the same time, there are constantly new lines connected to the Beijing-Shanghai and Shanghai high railway network. Under these conditions, the passenger flow in the passageway is made. The structure of the passenger flow is constantly changing. This requires that the design of core products such as the Beijing-Shanghai high-speed railway passenger transport development plan should be constantly adapted to market changes and needs and be able to make timely optimization and adjustment. Under this background, this paper takes the Beijing-Shanghai high-speed railway as the research object, studies a kind of plan evaluation and optimization adjustment method to meet the needs of the Beijing-Shanghai high-speed railway operation. To enable enterprises to make timely evaluation and adjustment of passenger transport products according to operational results. Firstly, based on the existing historical data and quasi-real time data, the paper deeply analyzes the rules of passenger flow of Beijing-Shanghai high-speed railway from time, space and other dimensions. It provides the data basis and decision basis for the evaluation and optimization adjustment of Beijing-Shanghai high-speed railway. Secondly, in accordance with the principles of establishing evaluation index system of bank opening scheme, this paper analyzes the influencing factors of the operation plan, and studies and establishes a single train evaluation index system and an overall evaluation index system for Beijing-Shanghai high-speed railway operation plan. The calculation method of evaluation index is also given. Thirdly, a two-stage comprehensive evaluation method based on clustering and principal component analysis is proposed on the basis of comparing and analyzing the existing comprehensive evaluation methods. That is to say, the single train is evaluated and adjusted based on clustering principal component analysis (PCA), and then the comprehensive evaluation method based on stratified analysis of the whole scheme is introduced, and the process and steps of the evaluation are given. Then, taking the Beijing-Shanghai high-speed railway train as the actual object, the principal component analysis is carried out for the single train, and it is concluded that the evaluation principal component is the economic benefit of the enterprise and the level of passenger travel service. On this basis, the problem train is evaluated and the adjustment suggestions are given. Finally, the indexes of each level of the whole operation scheme are analyzed and evaluated, which complements the deficiency of information loss caused by the principal component analysis of a single train, and improves the system integrity of the evaluation of the operation plan.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：北京交通大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】：U292

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