C風(fēng)電項(xiàng)目投資效益與風(fēng)險(xiǎn)控制研究
發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-05-11 05:30
本文選題:風(fēng)電項(xiàng)目 + 投資效益 ; 參考:《吉林大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文
【摘要】:開(kāi)發(fā)可再生能源是我國(guó)實(shí)現(xiàn)可持續(xù)發(fā)展的重要途徑,也是能源戰(zhàn)略的重要組成部分。2012年,我國(guó)《風(fēng)電發(fā)展“十二五”規(guī)劃》出臺(tái),明確了未來(lái)風(fēng)電發(fā)展目標(biāo),這足以顯示我國(guó)政府對(duì)風(fēng)電行業(yè)發(fā)展的重視程度。風(fēng)能作為清潔、可再生的能源,符合可持續(xù)發(fā)展的現(xiàn)實(shí)要求,有利于環(huán)境保護(hù)和資源合理利用。為了鼓勵(lì)風(fēng)電產(chǎn)業(yè)的發(fā)展,國(guó)家出臺(tái)了一系列優(yōu)惠政策。吉林省擁有良好的風(fēng)能資源條件,同時(shí),伴隨著國(guó)家“振興東北”戰(zhàn)略的實(shí)施,為吉林省以及省內(nèi)的白城市和洮南市的建設(shè)風(fēng)電類(lèi)項(xiàng)目提供的物質(zhì)保障和政策支持。 本論文選題來(lái)自C風(fēng)電項(xiàng)目的建設(shè)。C風(fēng)電場(chǎng)一期工程建成后,可直接向白城地區(qū)負(fù)荷供電,,時(shí)可改善白城地區(qū)乃至吉林省的能源結(jié)構(gòu),節(jié)約用于火力發(fā)電的煤炭資源,對(duì)促進(jìn)區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)和社會(huì)可持續(xù)發(fā)展將產(chǎn)生積極的作用。風(fēng)電類(lèi)項(xiàng)目的發(fā)展前景客觀,C風(fēng)電項(xiàng)目建成之后有重要的現(xiàn)實(shí)意義。在對(duì)C風(fēng)電項(xiàng)目所在地區(qū)風(fēng)能資源、工程地質(zhì)情況進(jìn)行了解、勘測(cè)的基礎(chǔ)上,結(jié)合當(dāng)?shù)厝宋、?jīng)濟(jì)、社會(huì)背景,綜合運(yùn)用技術(shù)經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)、項(xiàng)目管理、項(xiàng)目評(píng)估以及財(cái)務(wù)分析等的相關(guān)理論知識(shí)對(duì)此項(xiàng)目的市場(chǎng)前景、建設(shè)方案、投資收益進(jìn)行分析。C項(xiàng)目所在地吉林省白城洮南市的經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)與資源環(huán)境概況都適合發(fā)展風(fēng)電產(chǎn)業(yè)。C風(fēng)電項(xiàng)目所在地洮南市具備的豐厚的風(fēng)能資源和適宜的工程地質(zhì)條件。C風(fēng)電項(xiàng)目建設(shè)場(chǎng)址位于吉林省洮南市內(nèi),風(fēng)電場(chǎng)中心西北距洮南市約26km,距白城市約48km,距長(zhǎng)春市約232km。建設(shè)單位目前已在風(fēng)電場(chǎng)西側(cè)建成長(zhǎng)約17km的進(jìn)場(chǎng)公路,有便利的交通運(yùn)輸條件。風(fēng)電場(chǎng)一期工程總裝機(jī)容量為300MW,安裝有風(fēng)電機(jī)組200臺(tái),單機(jī)容量1500k。為積極開(kāi)展各項(xiàng)預(yù)防性的工作,防止安全事故的發(fā)生,依照DL796-2001《風(fēng)力發(fā)電安全規(guī)程》的標(biāo)準(zhǔn),建立勞動(dòng)安全生產(chǎn)管理制度。由于目前尚未頒布風(fēng)電場(chǎng)運(yùn)行人員編制規(guī)程,因此結(jié)合風(fēng)電場(chǎng)的特點(diǎn)進(jìn)行機(jī)構(gòu)設(shè)置和人員編制,本風(fēng)電場(chǎng)定員標(biāo)準(zhǔn)為50人。為最大限度減少污染,在項(xiàng)目建設(shè)過(guò)程中將采取生態(tài)環(huán)境保護(hù)和施工污染防治兩個(gè)方面的措施。 C風(fēng)電項(xiàng)目總投資313761萬(wàn)元。該項(xiàng)目申請(qǐng)長(zhǎng)期貸款224122.5萬(wàn)元,年利率為7.74%,貸款期限為15年(包括建設(shè)期)。本項(xiàng)目計(jì)算期為25年,其中建設(shè)期為3年。C風(fēng)電項(xiàng)目的風(fēng)電場(chǎng)工程裝機(jī)容量300MW,每年可為電網(wǎng)提供電量6.8723億kW h,項(xiàng)目實(shí)現(xiàn)利潤(rùn)總額共計(jì)292607萬(wàn)元,稅后利潤(rùn)219458萬(wàn)元,未分配利潤(rùn)41471萬(wàn)元。C風(fēng)電場(chǎng)一期工程在滿足還貸要求的前提下,控制資本金投資財(cái)務(wù)內(nèi)部收益率為8.0%,測(cè)算經(jīng)營(yíng)期上網(wǎng)電價(jià)為0.6274元/kW·h(含稅)。總投資收益率和項(xiàng)目資本金凈利潤(rùn)率分別為4.45%和13.35%。本項(xiàng)目的動(dòng)態(tài)投資回收期10.984年(含建設(shè)期3年)。通過(guò)以上計(jì)算可以初步推斷C風(fēng)電項(xiàng)目的經(jīng)濟(jì)效益能夠滿足投資者期望,在財(cái)務(wù)上可行。同時(shí)C風(fēng)電項(xiàng)目的建設(shè)有明顯的社會(huì)效益,有利于節(jié)能減排,在緩解能源消耗壓力的同時(shí)不破壞生態(tài)環(huán)境。經(jīng)分析和計(jì)算,可以認(rèn)為C風(fēng)電項(xiàng)目的建設(shè)在經(jīng)濟(jì)效益和社會(huì)效益兩個(gè)方面都有良好的預(yù)期,該項(xiàng)目可行。
[Abstract]:The development of renewable energy is an important way to achieve sustainable development in China. It is also an important part of the energy strategy in.2012 years. In China, "wind power development" in 12th Five-Year "plan >" was introduced. The future wind power development target is clearly defined. This is enough to show the importance of our government to the development of wind power industry. Wind energy is a clean and renewable energy. In order to meet the realistic requirements of sustainable development, it is beneficial to environmental protection and rational utilization of resources. In order to encourage the development of the wind power industry, the state has issued a series of preferential policies. Jilin has good wind energy resource conditions. At the same time, it is accompanied by the implementation of the national strategy of "revitalizing the northeast", which is the Jilin and the Baicheng and Taonan cities in the province. The construction of wind power projects provide material support and policy support.
The topic of this paper is from the construction of the first phase of the C wind power project, the construction of the first phase of the.C wind farm project, it can directly supply the power supply to the Baicheng area. It can improve the energy structure of Baicheng and Jilin Province, save coal resources for thermal power generation, and will have a positive effect on promoting the sustainable development of the region economy and society. After the completion of the C wind power project, it has important practical significance. On the basis of understanding the wind energy resources and engineering geology in the area of the C wind power project, based on the local humanities, economic and social background, the comprehensive use of technical economics, project management, project evaluation and financial analysis, etc. The market prospect of the project, the construction scheme, the investment income analysis, the economic and social and resource environment of Taonan City, Baicheng, Jilin Province, the location of the wind power industry.C wind power project located in Taonan City, the rich wind energy resources and the suitable engineering quality condition.C wind power project construction site located in Jilin Province In Taonan, in Taonan, the northwest of the wind farm is about 26km from Taonan City, about 48km from the white city. About 232km. construction units of Changchun city have been built about 17km in the west side of the wind farm, which have convenient transportation conditions. The capacity of the first phase of the wind farm is 300MW, and the unit is equipped with 200 wind turbines and the single capacity 1500k. is positive. In order to carry out various preventive work and prevent the occurrence of safety accidents, the labor safety production management system is established according to the standards of DL796-2001< wind power safety regulations. Since the staffing regulations of wind farms have not been issued at present, the standard of setting up and staffing of the wind farm is 50. In order to minimize pollution, we will take two measures in the process of project construction: ecological environment protection and construction pollution control.
The total investment of C wind power project is 3 billion 137 million 610 thousand yuan. The project applies for a long-term loan of 2 billion 241 million 225 thousand yuan, the annual interest rate is 7.74%, the loan term is 15 years (including the construction period). The project calculation period is 25 years, of which the construction period is the wind power project capacity of the wind power project of the 3 year's wind power project 300MW, which can provide the electricity to the power grid by 687 million 230 thousand kW h a year, the project realizes the total profit. Total amount of 2 billion 926 million 70 thousand yuan, after tax profit of 2 billion 194 million 580 thousand yuan, undistributed profit 414 million 710 thousand yuan.C wind farm first phase project, under the premise of meeting the loan requirements, the control capital investment financial internal rate of return is 8%, estimated operating period electricity price of 0.6274 yuan /kW H (including tax). Total investment return and project capital net profit rate of 4.45% and 13.35%. the dynamic investment recovery period of this project is 10.984 years (including 3 years of construction period). Through the above calculation, it can be concluded that the economic benefits of the C wind power project can meet the investor's expectation and are financially feasible. At the same time, the construction of the C wind power project has obvious social benefits, which is beneficial to the energy saving and emission reduction, and does not destroy the energy consumption pressure. Through analysis and calculation, we can think that the construction of C wind power project has good anticipation in two aspects of economic and social benefits, and the project is feasible.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:吉林大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2014
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】:F283;F426.61
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