金華市產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移的動(dòng)因及其對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的影響研究
本文選題:產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移 + 產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移動(dòng)因; 參考:《浙江師范大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文
【摘要】:中國東部沿海地帶是承接國際產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移的前沿陣地,由此,沿海各省份的經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展取得了令人矚目的成績(jī),但地區(qū)內(nèi)部經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展差異明顯。另外,近年來,隨著東南亞和非洲國家制造業(yè)的迅速發(fā)展,中國東部沿海地區(qū)土地、勞動(dòng)力價(jià)格上漲和環(huán)境負(fù)荷加大以及我國中西部地區(qū)資源要素積累和政策導(dǎo)向,東部沿海地帶的產(chǎn)業(yè)逐漸表現(xiàn)出外移傾向。在這一大背景下,以金華為代表的沿海欠發(fā)達(dá)地區(qū),地處沿海發(fā)達(dá)地區(qū)和內(nèi)陸欠發(fā)達(dá)地區(qū)的交接地帶,產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展也表現(xiàn)出明顯的過渡性質(zhì):在承接國際產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移過程中被上海、蘇南地區(qū)、杭州、寧波等更具相對(duì)優(yōu)勢(shì)的城市和地區(qū)所攔截,自身的產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化調(diào)整過程又需要外遷部分不具比較優(yōu)勢(shì)的產(chǎn)業(yè)部門或價(jià)值鏈環(huán)節(jié)。因此,金華市產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移具有明顯的“雙重性”特征——承接產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移與產(chǎn)業(yè)外移同時(shí)進(jìn)行。如今,金華市產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移正如火如荼。那么,金華市產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移受哪些因素的驅(qū)動(dòng)?金華市產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移對(duì)地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的哪些方面產(chǎn)生了影響以及影響程度如何?也就是說,金華市承接產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移和產(chǎn)業(yè)外移的動(dòng)因及對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的影響問題,將直接影響到金華市今后的產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展和政策走向,亟需給出明確回答與合理解釋。 文章基本上圍繞以下幾方面展開: 首先在系統(tǒng)梳理國內(nèi)外產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移研究成果的基礎(chǔ)上,以要素稟賦理論、勞動(dòng)密集型產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移理論、邊際產(chǎn)業(yè)擴(kuò)張論、產(chǎn)業(yè)梯度轉(zhuǎn)移理論、產(chǎn)業(yè)集群理論及社會(huì)關(guān)系網(wǎng)絡(luò)研究、政府管制理論為指導(dǎo),構(gòu)建了金華市產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移動(dòng)因理論框架;以新增長理論、新貿(mào)易理論、價(jià)值鏈理論、產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)理論與貿(mào)易環(huán)境效應(yīng)理論為指導(dǎo),構(gòu)建了金華市產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移效應(yīng)理論體系。 其次結(jié)合金華市經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展特點(diǎn)和產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移現(xiàn)狀,明確指出金華市產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移最大的特點(diǎn)在于承接國外、中國東部發(fā)達(dá)地區(qū)產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移的同時(shí),其本身也有部分產(chǎn)業(yè)向境外和國內(nèi)其他省份遷移。也就是說,金華市產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移具有承接產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移和產(chǎn)業(yè)外移同時(shí)進(jìn)行的“雙重性”特征。并且針對(duì)這一特點(diǎn)嘗試構(gòu)建了金華市產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移測(cè)度體系:1)以FDI、加工貿(mào)易出口、港澳臺(tái)商與外商工業(yè)投資三部分之和表示金華市承接國際產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移規(guī)模;2)以內(nèi)資工業(yè)投資代表金華市承接國內(nèi)產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移規(guī)模;3)利用對(duì)境外投資、對(duì)省內(nèi)其他地市投資、對(duì)境內(nèi)其他省份投資三部分之和來衡量金華市產(chǎn)業(yè)外移規(guī)模。 再次憑借上述體系對(duì)金華市承接產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移和產(chǎn)業(yè)外移的動(dòng)因做了更進(jìn)一步地探討。認(rèn)為金華市承接產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移的動(dòng)因在于要素制約與資源綜合利用、產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的差異性與互補(bǔ)性、政策導(dǎo)向以及區(qū)域一體化發(fā)展需要,而產(chǎn)業(yè)外移的動(dòng)因則體現(xiàn)在企業(yè)成本節(jié)約和市場(chǎng)擴(kuò)張、產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整和產(chǎn)業(yè)合理分工、政策導(dǎo)向和城市功能定位三方面。并且采用多元線性回歸模型進(jìn)行實(shí)證分析,結(jié)果表明:1)金華市承接產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移的首要驅(qū)動(dòng)力在于企業(yè)發(fā)展要素尤其是資金要素的制約;2)產(chǎn)業(yè)外移的最主要?jiǎng)右蚴谴龠M(jìn)產(chǎn)業(yè)分工與產(chǎn)業(yè)升級(jí);3)區(qū)域一體化發(fā)展要求是金華市產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移的重要驅(qū)動(dòng)力。 接著采用定性與定量相結(jié)合的方法系統(tǒng)分析了金華市產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的影響。認(rèn)為金華市產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移對(duì)區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展產(chǎn)生了正、負(fù)兩方面的效應(yīng),并且正效應(yīng)要遠(yuǎn)遠(yuǎn)大于其負(fù)效應(yīng)。具體而言,金華市產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移對(duì)區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的影響集中體現(xiàn)在區(qū)域產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)、勞動(dòng)力就業(yè)、技術(shù)進(jìn)步、資本注入、對(duì)外貿(mào)易發(fā)展、資源環(huán)境保護(hù)、城市發(fā)展和財(cái)稅八個(gè)方面,并且對(duì)區(qū)域勞動(dòng)力就業(yè)的影響表現(xiàn)為負(fù)效應(yīng)。之后針對(duì)時(shí)間序列進(jìn)行的協(xié)整檢驗(yàn)和Granger因果檢驗(yàn)也再次證實(shí):1)金華市經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展同時(shí)受到承接產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移和產(chǎn)業(yè)外移的影響;2)產(chǎn)業(yè)外移對(duì)區(qū)域技術(shù)進(jìn)步、資本注入、對(duì)外貿(mào)易發(fā)展、財(cái)稅和勞動(dòng)力就業(yè)方面的影響要大于承接產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移對(duì)上述各方面的影響,但對(duì)區(qū)域產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整和城市發(fā)展方面的影響則較;3)金華市技術(shù)、資本要素是引致國際產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移至此的格蘭杰原因,而國內(nèi)產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移更看重的是金華市制造業(yè)競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力;4)區(qū)域產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整與優(yōu)化既是金華市承接產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移的引力,也是金華市產(chǎn)業(yè)外移的推力。 最后文章針對(duì)研究發(fā)現(xiàn)的問題和結(jié)果提出相應(yīng)的對(duì)策和建議,包括:1)加快推進(jìn)產(chǎn)業(yè)群向現(xiàn)代產(chǎn)業(yè)集群轉(zhuǎn)型升級(jí);2)加快推進(jìn)區(qū)域一體化建設(shè);3)尋找階段利益差,引導(dǎo)產(chǎn)業(yè)有序轉(zhuǎn)移;4)科學(xué)制定相應(yīng)政策,建設(shè)服務(wù)型政府;5)實(shí)施工業(yè)創(chuàng)新驅(qū)動(dòng)發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略,提升區(qū)域創(chuàng)新能力;6)強(qiáng)化人力資本建設(shè),避免人才外流;7)注重生態(tài)環(huán)境保護(hù),建設(shè)“生態(tài)金華”等。
[Abstract]:The eastern coastal zone of China is the frontier position to undertake international industrial transfer. Thus, the economic development of the coastal provinces has made remarkable achievements, but the regional economic development differences are obvious. In addition, in recent years, with the rapid development of manufacturing in Southeast Asia and African countries, the land and labor prices in the eastern coastal areas of China are rising. With the increase of environmental load and the accumulation of resource elements and policy orientation in the central and western regions of China, the industries in the eastern coastal zone are gradually moving out. Under this background, the underdeveloped coastal areas, represented by Jinhua, are located in the transition zone between the developed coastal areas and the underdeveloped areas, and the industrial development is also obvious. Transition nature: in the process of undertaking international industrial transfer, it is intercepted by cities and regions which have more relative advantages in Shanghai, South of Jiangsu, Hangzhou and Ningbo. The process of optimization and adjustment of its own industrial structure needs the industrial sector or value chain without comparative advantage. Therefore, the industrial transfer of Jinhua has a clear "double". The characteristics of the industrial transfer and industrial shift are carried on simultaneously. Now, the industrial transfer in Jinhua is in full swing. Then, what factors are driven by the industrial transfer in Jinhua? What are the effects of industrial transfer in Jinhua on the economic development of the region and the extent of its impact? That is to say, the city of Jinhua will undertake industrial transfer. The motive of migration and the migration of the industry and the influence on the economic development will directly affect the future industrial development and policy trend of Jinhua, and it is urgent to give a clear answer and reasonable explanation.
The article is basically carried out in the following aspects:
First, on the basis of systematically combing the research results of industrial transfer at home and abroad, the theory of factor endowment, the theory of labor intensive industry transfer, the theory of marginal industry expansion, the theory of industrial gradient transfer, the theory of industrial cluster and social relations network, and the theory of government regulation have been used to construct the theoretical framework of the motivation of industrial transfer in Jinhua. The new growth theory, the new trade theory, the value chain theory, the industrial structure theory and the trade environment effect theory have been guided to construct the industrial transfer effect theory system of Jinhua.
Secondly, according to the characteristics of Jinhua's economic development and the status of industrial transfer, it is clearly pointed out that the biggest characteristic of the industrial transfer in Jinhua is to undertake foreign countries and the industrial transfer in the developed regions of eastern China, while it also has some industries moving abroad and other provinces in China. That is to say, the industrial transfer of Jinhua has the transfer of industry and the transfer of industry. At the same time, the "dual character" characteristics of the industry are carried out at the same time. And aiming at this characteristic, the measurement system of industrial transfer in Jinhua is tried to build: 1) FDI, the export of processing trade, the three parts of the Hong Kong, Macao, Taiwan and foreign industries, and the scale of Jinhua to undertake the international industrial transfer; 2) the domestic investment in the domestic industry represents Jinhua. The scale of industrial transfer; 3) using foreign investment, investing in other cities in the province and investing three parts of the other provinces in China to measure the scale of Jinhua's industrial migration.
By virtue of the above system, the reasons for Jinhua to undertake industrial transfer and industrial migration are further discussed. The reasons for Jinhua to undertake industrial transfer are factor restriction and comprehensive utilization of resources, the difference and complementarity of industrial structure, policy orientation and the needs of regional integration development, and the motivation of industrial migration It is embodied in the three aspects of enterprise cost saving and market expansion, industrial structure adjustment and industrial division of labor, policy orientation and urban function positioning. The multiple linear regression model is used to carry out empirical analysis. The results show that: 1) the primary driving force to undertake industrial transfer in Jinhua is restricted by the factors of enterprise development, especially the capital factors. 2) the most important driving force for industrial relocation is to promote industrial division and industrial upgrading; 3) the requirement of regional integration is an important driving force for industrial transfer in Jinhua.
Then the influence of industrial transfer in Jinhua on economic development is systematically analyzed by the combination of qualitative and quantitative methods. It is believed that the industrial transfer of Jinhua has produced positive and negative effects on regional economic development, and the positive effect is far greater than its negative effect. In particular, the impact of industrial transfer in Jinhua on regional economic development is set up in Jinhua. It is reflected in eight aspects of regional industrial structure, labor employment, technological progress, capital injection, foreign trade development, resource and environment protection, urban development and finance and taxation, and negative effects on regional labor employment. Then the cointegration test and Granger causality test for time series are also confirmed again: 1) Jinhua City At the same time, economic development is affected by industrial transfer and industrial shift; 2) the impact of industrial migration on regional technological progress, capital injection, foreign trade development, financial and tax and labor employment is greater than the impact of industrial transfer on the above aspects, but the impact on regional industrial structure adjustment and urban development is more than that. 3) 3) Jinhua city technology, capital factor is the cause of the transfer of international industry to this, and the domestic industrial transfer is more important in Jinhua's manufacturing competitiveness; 4) the adjustment and optimization of regional industrial structure is not only the gravitational pull of industrial transfer in Jinhua, but also the thrust of the industrial migration of Jinhua.
Finally, the article put forward corresponding countermeasures and suggestions for the problems and results, including: 1) speeding up the upgrading of industrial clusters to modern industrial clusters; 2) speeding up the construction of regional integration; 3) looking for the difference of interest in the stage, guiding the orderly transfer of the industry; 4) formulating corresponding policies, building a service-oriented government; 5) implementing workers. Industry innovation drives development strategy, promotes regional innovation ability; 6) strengthen human capital construction, avoid talent outflow; 7) pay attention to ecological environment protection, and build "ecological Jinhua".
【學(xué)位授予單位】:浙江師范大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2014
【分類號(hào)】:F121.3;F124
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