本文選題：縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)　切入點(diǎn)：空間計(jì)量分析　出處：《南京財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：經(jīng)濟(jì)增長收斂問題一直以來都是經(jīng)濟(jì)領(lǐng)域研究的一個(gè)熱門話題。縱觀國內(nèi)外學(xué)者關(guān)于區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)增長收斂問題的研究,仍有不少問題有待進(jìn)一步深化：(1)目前大多數(shù)關(guān)于經(jīng)濟(jì)增長收斂的研究多集中在省域間、市域間或東中西等層面上,而以縣域?yàn)榉治鰡卧倪�很少,有待進(jìn)一步研究細(xì)化,使得研究對(duì)象更接近實(shí)際。(2)現(xiàn)有文獻(xiàn)關(guān)注的焦點(diǎn)都是經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的收斂性,而對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長收斂影響因素的研究則還未形成一個(gè)深層次的理論探討和完整的邏輯框架。(3)已有研究考察的都是平均水平下的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長收斂情況,未能考察經(jīng)濟(jì)增長收斂情況的動(dòng)態(tài)變化過程。針對(duì)上述問題,本文以新古典經(jīng)濟(jì)增長理論為理論基礎(chǔ),以縣域?yàn)榉治鰡卧?研究了江蘇省經(jīng)濟(jì)增長收斂性。采用空間計(jì)量方法對(duì)江蘇省的經(jīng)濟(jì)收斂性進(jìn)行分析,根據(jù)實(shí)證分析結(jié)果結(jié)合現(xiàn)實(shí)經(jīng)濟(jì)狀況,深入探究了影響江蘇省縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)增長收斂的重要因素。在空間計(jì)量方法的基礎(chǔ)上,本文引入了分位數(shù)回歸方法,考察了不同經(jīng)濟(jì)增長水平下江蘇省的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長收斂情況的動(dòng)態(tài)變化過程。本文的主要研究結(jié)論包括：(1)考慮空間相關(guān)性前后,江蘇省縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)均呈現(xiàn)出明顯的σ收斂趨勢(shì),且縣域間的空間相關(guān)性對(duì)縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)差異的縮小起到了顯著的促進(jìn)作用,抑制了縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的分散化。(2)從β收斂來看,考慮空間相關(guān)性后,江蘇省縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)增長存在顯著的絕對(duì)β收斂和相對(duì)β收斂,并且收斂速度均有所提高。從相對(duì)β收斂模型中代表經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)特征的控制變量對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長收斂的影響來看,物質(zhì)資本投入、第二產(chǎn)業(yè)對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長收斂具有較強(qiáng)的促進(jìn)作用；人力資本投入、第三產(chǎn)業(yè)則限制了經(jīng)濟(jì)增長收斂；市場(chǎng)開放程度、對(duì)外開放程度對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長收斂的作用不顯著。在不同分位數(shù)水平下考察經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的β收斂情況,發(fā)現(xiàn)在低分位及高分位水平下,經(jīng)濟(jì)增長是呈收斂趨勢(shì)的,但是在中高分位水平下,經(jīng)濟(jì)增長是發(fā)散的。在任何分位水平下,第二產(chǎn)業(yè)對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長收斂始終有著正面促進(jìn)作用,然而第三產(chǎn)業(yè)、人力資本和市場(chǎng)化程度這三個(gè)因素卻始終阻礙著經(jīng)濟(jì)增長收斂。在低分位水平物質(zhì)資本對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長收斂起著促進(jìn)作用,對(duì)外開放程度則阻礙了經(jīng)濟(jì)的增長；在更高的分位水平下,恰好相反。(3)俱樂部收斂方面,蘇中不存在任何空間相關(guān)性,但仍存在俱樂部收斂；考慮空間相關(guān)性后,蘇南、蘇北存在俱樂部收斂,但收斂速度并無多大變化。
[Abstract]:The convergence of economic growth has always been a hot topic in the economic field. There are still many problems to be further deepened.) at present, most studies on the convergence of economic growth are concentrated on the levels of provinces, cities, east and west, and so on. However, few of them take the county area as the analytical unit, and there is still no need to further study and refine the research on the convergence of economic growth. So that the research object is closer to the reality.) the focus of the existing literature is the convergence of economic growth. However, the research on the influencing factors of economic growth convergence has not yet formed a deep theoretical discussion and a complete logical framework. The dynamic process of convergence of economic growth has not been examined. In view of the above problems, this paper takes the neoclassical economic growth theory as the theoretical basis and the county area as the analytical unit. This paper studies the convergence of economic growth in Jiangsu Province, analyzes the economic convergence of Jiangsu Province by using the spatial econometric method, and combines the results of empirical analysis with the actual economic situation. This paper probes into the important factors that influence the convergence of county economic growth in Jiangsu Province. On the basis of the spatial measurement method, the quantile regression method is introduced in this paper. This paper investigates the dynamic change process of the convergence of economic growth in Jiangsu Province under different economic growth levels. The main conclusions of this paper are as follows: before and after considering spatial correlation, the county economy of Jiangsu Province shows an obvious 蟽 convergence trend. Moreover, spatial correlation among counties plays a significant role in promoting the narrowing of county economic differences, which inhibits the decentralization of county economic growth.) from the point of view of 尾 convergence, spatial correlation is considered. There are significant absolute 尾 convergence and relative 尾 convergence in county economic growth in Jiangsu Province, and the convergence rate has been improved. From the view of the influence of the control variables representing the characteristics of economic structure in the relative 尾 convergence model on the convergence of economic growth, The material capital investment, the secondary industry has the strong promotion function to the economic growth convergence, the human capital investment, the tertiary industry has restricted the economic growth convergence, the market opening degree, The effect of the degree of opening to the outside world on the convergence of economic growth is not significant. The 尾 convergence of economic growth is investigated at different quantiles, and it is found that the economic growth tends to converge at low and high quartile levels. But at the middle and high quartile level, economic growth is divergent. At any quantile level, the secondary industry has always played a positive role in promoting the convergence of economic growth. However, the tertiary industry, The three factors of human capital and degree of marketization have always hindered the convergence of economic growth. In the low quantile level material capital plays a promoting role in the convergence of economic growth and the degree of opening to the outside world has hindered the economic growth. At a higher quantile level, on the contrary, there is no spatial correlation in the case of club convergence, but there is still club convergence, considering spatial correlation, there is club convergence in the south and north of Jiangsu. But the convergence rate does not change much.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：南京財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號(hào)】：F127

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