發(fā)布時間：2018-02-02 04:22

  本文關(guān)鍵詞： 東部 發(fā)區(qū) 運行效 SBM模型 Malmquist指數(shù)　出處：《中國海洋大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：經(jīng)過30年的開發(fā)建設(shè)，我國經(jīng)濟(jì)開發(fā)區(qū)已經(jīng)為經(jīng)濟(jì)和社會發(fā)展做出了突出的貢獻(xiàn)。在對外開放程度較高的東部地區(qū)，經(jīng)濟(jì)開發(fā)區(qū)建設(shè)也積累了相對較多的經(jīng)驗。而其中設(shè)立較早、級別較高的國家級開發(fā)區(qū)，更是作為開發(fā)區(qū)中最成熟、最完善的典型，在促進(jìn)區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展、形成產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚、擴(kuò)大對外開放、吸引外資和鼓勵創(chuàng)新等方面起到了積極的作用。但近年來，受經(jīng)濟(jì)全球化的加強、我國人口紅利逐漸消失、人民幣升值等情況的影響，，新一輪的國際分工弱化了以吸引外資和出口為重要目標(biāo)的開發(fā)區(qū)的增長效應(yīng)。以往存在的產(chǎn)業(yè)同質(zhì)、惡性競爭、重引進(jìn)輕管理的問題逐漸顯露。在新的世情國情條件下，通過調(diào)整開發(fā)區(qū)產(chǎn)業(yè)和管理結(jié)構(gòu)，提高開發(fā)區(qū)效率，進(jìn)而實現(xiàn)區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展方式的轉(zhuǎn)變，不僅是實現(xiàn)科學(xué)發(fā)展觀的要求，也是實現(xiàn)區(qū)域新一輪的發(fā)展的關(guān)鍵。 本文以東部國家級開發(fā)區(qū)作為典型，通過分析開發(fā)區(qū)投入產(chǎn)出效率和其影響因素，對研究對象依據(jù)其特征進(jìn)行了分類，以求針對開發(fā)區(qū)的特點提出更有針對性的建議。 文中首先論述了經(jīng)濟(jì)開發(fā)區(qū)的相關(guān)研究情況，對我國開發(fā)區(qū)的發(fā)展和現(xiàn)狀進(jìn)行了總結(jié)。在計量分析部分，首先采用數(shù)據(jù)包絡(luò)分析拓展方法，綜合考慮經(jīng)濟(jì)技術(shù)開發(fā)區(qū)的現(xiàn)實發(fā)展情況和評價數(shù)據(jù)的可獲得性，選取相應(yīng)的投入產(chǎn)出指標(biāo)，對東部國家級開發(fā)區(qū)的靜態(tài)經(jīng)濟(jì)效率和投入要素的亢余度進(jìn)行了測度和評價。接著采用Malmquist指數(shù)模型，基于2001-2011年32個國家級開發(fā)區(qū)的數(shù)據(jù)，對東部國家級經(jīng)濟(jì)開發(fā)區(qū)全要素生產(chǎn)率變化率、純技術(shù)效率變化率、規(guī)模效率變化率等動態(tài)指標(biāo)進(jìn)行測度。然后采用向量自回歸算法，以開發(fā)區(qū)的經(jīng)濟(jì)效率、純技術(shù)效率變化率、規(guī)模效率變化率為因變量，以影響開發(fā)區(qū)生產(chǎn)效率的各個因素為自變量，構(gòu)建動態(tài)系統(tǒng)模擬，分析了不同經(jīng)濟(jì)社會因素對效率指標(biāo)的影響情況。最后結(jié)合各項分析指標(biāo)，對東部國家級開發(fā)區(qū)采用非加權(quán)算術(shù)平均組對法進(jìn)行聚類，綜合效率和影響因素的測度分析結(jié)果，提出了開發(fā)區(qū)未來的主要改進(jìn)方向和建議。
[Abstract]:After 30 years of development and construction, China's economic development zones have made outstanding contributions to economic and social development. The construction of economic development zones has also accumulated relatively more experience. Among them, the state-level development zones, which were established earlier and at a higher level, are the most mature and perfect examples of the development zones, promoting regional economic development and forming industrial agglomeration. Opening wider to the outside world, attracting foreign investment and encouraging innovation have played a positive role. However, in recent years, due to the strengthening of economic globalization, the demographic dividend of our country has gradually disappeared, and the RMB has appreciated. The new round of international division of labor has weakened the growth effect of the development zones, which are aimed at attracting foreign capital and exports. The problems of industry homogeneity, vicious competition, and emphasis on introducing and neglecting management have been gradually revealed. Under the conditions of the new world situation, By adjusting the industrial and management structure of the development zone, improving the efficiency of the development zone and realizing the transformation of the mode of regional economic development, it is not only the requirement of realizing the scientific development view, but also the key to the realization of the new round of regional development. Based on the analysis of the input-output efficiency and its influencing factors, this paper classifies the research objects according to their characteristics in order to put forward more targeted suggestions according to the characteristics of the development zones. This paper first discusses the relevant research situation of the economic development zone, summarizes the development and current situation of the economic development zone in China. In the part of econometric analysis, it first uses the method of data envelopment analysis to expand the development of the economic development zone. Considering the actual development situation of economic and technological development zone and the availability of evaluation data, the corresponding input-output index is selected. This paper measures and evaluates the static economic efficiency and the surplus of input elements of the East China National Development Zone, and then adopts the Malmquist index model, based on the data of 32 state-level development zones from 2001 to 2011. The change rate of total factor productivity, the change rate of pure technical efficiency, the change rate of scale efficiency and so on are measured, and then the vector autoregressive algorithm is used to measure the economic efficiency of the development zone. The change rate of pure technical efficiency and the change rate of scale efficiency are dependent variables, and the dynamic system simulation is constructed by taking the factors that affect the production efficiency of the development zone as independent variables. This paper analyzes the influence of different economic and social factors on the efficiency index. Finally, combined with the various analysis indexes, the non-weighted arithmetic average group method is used to cluster the eastern national development zone, and the comprehensive efficiency and influence factors are measured and analyzed. The main improvement directions and suggestions of the development zone in the future are put forward.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：中國海洋大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F127

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