本文關鍵詞：安徽經濟增長與金融發(fā)展的實證分析　出處：《安徽財經大學》2014年碩士論文　論文類型：學位論文

  更多相關文章： 安徽省 經濟增長 金融發(fā)展 格蘭杰檢驗

【摘要】：經濟增長關系到國家繁榮富強、社會穩(wěn)定、人民生活。不斷探究哪些是促進經濟增長的因素,如何讓這些因素更好的為經濟增長服務是經濟學家們一直的話題。關于金融發(fā)展的支撐作用,國內外研究大多得到了證實,然而這些研究成果都普遍以國家為單位,尤其是發(fā)達國家,很少以一個地區(qū)為個體深入研究。中國幅員遼闊,地域差異明顯,各地均有其自身的獨特性和優(yōu)越性,會使得對于不同地域范圍,經濟增長與金融發(fā)展的關系不同,作用機制也會相應的存在差異。以安徽省來講,作為一個中部欠發(fā)達城市,顯然套用發(fā)達國家的理論或者我國整體情況的結論是不合理的,而需要從安徽省實際情況出發(fā),深入探究經濟與金融的因果關系,剖析金融發(fā)展對經濟支撐的優(yōu)勢與劣勢,這對于進一步促進安徽經濟和金融發(fā)展,提高安徽省在全國的地位具有重要的實踐意義；對于分析我國區(qū)域經濟增長與金融發(fā)展實證研究,特別對于不發(fā)達省份的實證研究提供了較強的理論意義。 論文整體內容分為五大部分,第一部分是本文緒論,簡要介紹了選題的背景、研究意義、國內外發(fā)展現狀、研究方法、創(chuàng)新點及不足。第二部分作為本文的理論支撐,分別就經濟發(fā)展和金融發(fā)展的演變過程進行了詳細的描述,然后詳述了兩者的作用機制,并從三方面講述了金融發(fā)展的哪些方面影響了經濟增長。第三部分從實際出發(fā),對安徽省經濟增長與金融發(fā)展就近期發(fā)展情況進行了概述,有利于下文的實證分析及建議的提出。第四部分是本文的實證內容,根據指標的建設結合安徽省的實際,選取了合適的經濟增長與金融發(fā)展指標：用于反映經濟增長的實際經濟增長率R；用于反映金融發(fā)展指標的是金融相關率F、資本市場證券業(yè)深度水平S、衡量保險業(yè)水平的指標工。其次運用EVIEWS6.0對所選指標進行計量經濟分析,對指標進行相關檢驗并建立回歸方程,指出了各金融指標對經濟增長的相關關系,然后從格蘭杰因果關系檢驗結果分析得出了安徽省經濟增長與資本市場是雙向相關關系,而與保險市場是單向相關關系。第五部分是從銀行業(yè)、資本市場中的股票業(yè)、保險業(yè)等方面對安徽經濟增長與金融發(fā)展提出了政策建議。
[Abstract]:The relationship between economic growth and social stability, to the National People's rich, strong and prosperous, constantly explore life. What are the factors that promote economic growth, how to make these factors better to serve economic growth is the topic. Economists have been supporting effect on financial development, the domestic and foreign research have been confirmed, but the results of these studies are generally in the country as a unit, especially the developed countries, with a few areas for further research on the individual. China vast and obvious regional difference throughout the uniqueness and superiority of its own, will make for different regions, the relationship between economic growth and financial development, the mechanism will be a corresponding difference in Anhui. Province, as a less developed central city, is not a reasonable conclusion clearly to overall situation of developed countries or the theory of our country, and from Anhui Province The actual situation of the causal relationship between the in-depth study of economic and financial analysis, financial development advantages and disadvantages of economic support, to further promote the Anhui economic and financial development, improve the Anhui province has important practical significance in the national status; for analysis of China's regional economic growth and financial development provides empirical research, especially strong theoretical significance of empirical research for the less developed provinces.
The whole thesis consists of five parts, the first part is the introduction, briefly introduces the background, research significance, domestic and international development status, research methods, innovation and deficiencies. The second part is the theoretical support of this article, respectively discussed the evolution process of the development of economy and finance, and then details the the role of the two mechanisms, and describes what financial development affects economic growth from three aspects. The third part from the reality of Anhui Province financial development and economic growth on the recent development situation were summarized, the empirical analysis and suggestions for the following. The fourth part is the empirical part of this paper, according to the actual Anhui Province, combined with the construction of indicators, selecting the appropriate economic growth and financial development indicators: rate of R for the actual economic growth reflects the economic growth; to reflect the financial The rate of financial development index is F, the capital market securities industry index level of depth S, measuring the level of the insurance industry. Then by using EVIEWS6.0 on the selected indicators of econometric analysis, correlation test of the index and the regression equation, pointed out the relationship between the financial indicators of economic growth, and then from the Grainger causal relation the inspection results are obtained that the economic growth of Anhui province and the capital market is a two-way relationship with the insurance market is a one-way relationship. The fifth part is from the banking sector, the capital market in the stock industry, the insurance industry and put forward policy suggestions on Anhui economic growth and financial development.

【學位授予單位】：安徽財經大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F127;F832.7

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