環(huán)長株潭城市群公路交通網(wǎng)絡(luò)與區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)關(guān)系研究
本文關(guān)鍵詞:環(huán)長株潭城市群公路交通網(wǎng)絡(luò)與區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)關(guān)系研究 出處:《湖南師范大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文 論文類型:學(xué)位論文
更多相關(guān)文章: 公路交通網(wǎng)絡(luò) 區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì) 灰色關(guān)聯(lián)度 數(shù)據(jù)包絡(luò)分析 環(huán)長株潭城市群
【摘要】:交通是聯(lián)系一個地區(qū)社會經(jīng)濟(jì)活動的紐帶,公路交通是最直接反映出這個地區(qū)交通狀況并成為該地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)達(dá)程度的重要標(biāo)志。環(huán)長株潭城市群是長江中游地區(qū)重要經(jīng)濟(jì)增長極,公路運輸是城市群內(nèi)部相互聯(lián)系的主要交通方式。利用GIS技術(shù)手段,運用分形分維、灰色關(guān)聯(lián)度、運輸經(jīng)濟(jì)彈性系數(shù)和數(shù)據(jù)包絡(luò)分析等方法定量研究環(huán)長株潭城市群內(nèi)部公路交通網(wǎng)絡(luò)與區(qū)域宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的關(guān)系。結(jié)果表明: (1)環(huán)長株潭城市群內(nèi)部公路交通網(wǎng)絡(luò)基本成熟。分形分維方法的結(jié)果表明分形系數(shù)均大于1,說明城市群內(nèi)部公路交通具有明顯分形性質(zhì)。從長度維數(shù)來看公路均勻度呈同心圓遞減,長沙市為中心公路均勻度最高;從分枝維數(shù)來看城市群內(nèi)部公路交錯貫穿,表現(xiàn)出明顯的復(fù)雜關(guān)系;從關(guān)聯(lián)維數(shù)來看城市群之間的公路交通通達(dá)性較好,并以長沙市為中心,呈放射狀分布。 (2)灰色關(guān)聯(lián)度表明,公路交通與區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)相互影響因素的關(guān)聯(lián)度均大于0.9接近1,說明兩者相互影響因素的關(guān)聯(lián)度很高。影響公路交通的經(jīng)濟(jì)指標(biāo)中,地區(qū)生產(chǎn)總值是關(guān)聯(lián)度為0.9911,排序中最高;影響區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)公路交通指標(biāo)中,公路里程關(guān)聯(lián)度最高,達(dá)到0.9911,其次是客運周轉(zhuǎn)量和貨運周轉(zhuǎn)量。 (3)運輸經(jīng)濟(jì)彈性系數(shù)呈波動性變化。2003-2012年,貨運彈性系數(shù)和客運彈性系數(shù)均大于0,表明公路交通與區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)之間存在明顯正相關(guān)。貨運彈性系數(shù)大于0且具有較大的階段性,以2003年、2004年和2008年撥動性最大,這與該階段的經(jīng)濟(jì)事件和政策密切相關(guān);但客運彈性系數(shù)均小于1,說明旅客運輸滯后于區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展。 (4)在公路投入—經(jīng)濟(jì)產(chǎn)出多因素模型中,數(shù)據(jù)包絡(luò)分析法結(jié)果表明,2003-2012年中,2004年、2007年和2010年的綜合效率小于1,環(huán)長株潭城市群公路交通與區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)存在不適應(yīng)關(guān)系,其余七個年份綜合效率為1,公路交通與區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)基本適應(yīng)。
[Abstract]:Traffic is the link of social economic activities with an area, highway traffic is the most direct reflection of the traffic situation in the region and become an important symbol of the region's economic development level. The ring of Changsha Zhuzhou Xiangtan city group in the middle reaches of Yangtze River is an important economic growth pole, road transport is the main mode of transport within the city group linked by GIS. The use of technical means, fractal dimension, grey correlation degree, the relationship between Tan city group internal highway traffic network and regional macro economic development and quantitative research method of loop traffic economic elasticity coefficient and data envelopment analysis. The results show that the long line:
(1) ring of Changsha Zhuzhou Xiangtan city group internal road network basically mature. Fractal dimension method the results show that the fractal coefficient is greater than 1, indicating the city inside the highway traffic has obvious fractal character. From the point of view of road length dimension uniformity of concentric circles of decline, Changsha City Center Road evenness is highest; from branch the city group of internal dimension highway goes through, show the complex relationship is obvious; from the view of the correlation dimension of highway traffic accessibility between the city group is better, and to Changsha city as the center, radial distribution.
(2) grey correlation degree showed that the highway traffic and regional economic interaction correlation factors were greater than 0.9 close to 1, indicating the interaction of correlation degree of factors is very high. The influence of road traffic and economic indicators, GDP is the correlation degree is 0.9911, the highest ranking in the index of regional economic impact; traffic highway highway mileage, the highest correlation reached 0.9911, followed by passenger volume and freight turnover.
(3) the coefficient of elasticity of transportation economy fluctuated.2003-2012, freight elasticity coefficient and passenger elastic coefficient is greater than 0, that between highway traffic and regional economy there is a significant positive correlation. The coefficient of elasticity of freight is greater than 0 and has a stage, large in 2003, 2004 and 2008 at maximum, which is closely related to the the stage of economic events and policies; but the coefficient of elasticity of passenger were less than 1, indicating the development of passenger transport lags behind the regional economy.
(4) in the highway investment - a multi factor model of economic output, data envelopment analysis results show that in 2004 2003-2012 years, 2007 and 2010, the comprehensive efficiency is less than 1, the ring of Changsha Zhuzhou Xiangtan city group of highway transportation and regional economy are unsuitable to the relationship, the other seven years of comprehensive efficiency is 1, and the highway traffic regional economic basic adaptation.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:湖南師范大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2014
【分類號】:F542.8;F127
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