重慶五大功能區(qū)的經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展差異性測(cè)度及預(yù)測(cè)
本文關(guān)鍵詞:重慶五大功能區(qū)的經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展差異性測(cè)度及預(yù)測(cè) 出處:《重慶大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文 論文類(lèi)型:學(xué)位論文
更多相關(guān)文章: 五大功能區(qū) 區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)差異 層次分析法 泰爾指數(shù) 灰色預(yù)測(cè)法
【摘要】:區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展存在差異是一個(gè)國(guó)際性的普遍現(xiàn)象,由于政治、地理、資源等諸多因素,每個(gè)地區(qū)的經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展或多或少的存在差異,重慶作為中國(guó)的四大直轄市之一,也長(zhǎng)期存在著“大城市”、“大農(nóng)村”的二元發(fā)展結(jié)構(gòu),其內(nèi)部縣域之間的經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展存在較大的差異。伴隨著此次重慶市委四屆三次全會(huì)對(duì)重慶新的五大功能區(qū)的劃分,如何對(duì)各功能區(qū)間的經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展差異進(jìn)行量化和預(yù)測(cè),,將是本文研究的重點(diǎn)。 本文的研究目的是希望盡可能細(xì)地分析重慶縣域間的經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展差異性,并對(duì)其進(jìn)行預(yù)測(cè),通過(guò)恰當(dāng)?shù)匾胫笜?biāo)對(duì)差異性進(jìn)行全方位的刻畫(huà)。在研究方法上首先采用層次分析法對(duì)指標(biāo)賦予權(quán)重,并對(duì)重慶各區(qū)縣的經(jīng)濟(jì)實(shí)力進(jìn)行總的評(píng)價(jià);然后采用泰爾指數(shù)法對(duì)重慶五大功能區(qū)區(qū)域之間及區(qū)域內(nèi)部的經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展差異進(jìn)行測(cè)度;最后通過(guò)灰色預(yù)測(cè)法對(duì)區(qū)縣之間經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的差異性進(jìn)行預(yù)測(cè)并給出合理化的建議。
[Abstract]:Regional economic development differences is an international phenomenon, due to political, geographical, resources and other factors, each region's economic development is more or less different. As one of the four municipalities directly under the Central Government of China, Chongqing has a dual development structure of "big city" and "big countryside" for a long time. With the third plenary session of the fourth session of the Chongqing Municipal Party Committee, the new five functional areas of Chongqing have been divided. How to quantify and predict the economic development difference of each functional interval will be the focus of this paper. The purpose of this paper is to analyze the differences of economic development among counties in Chongqing and forecast them. Firstly, AHP is used to give weight to the index, and the economic strength of every district and county in Chongqing is evaluated. Then the paper measures the difference of economic development between and within the five functional regions of Chongqing by using the method of Tyr index. Finally, the difference of economic development between districts and counties is forecasted by grey forecasting method and some reasonable suggestions are given.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:重慶大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2014
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】:F299.27
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