本文關(guān)鍵詞：美韓FTA的實(shí)施對(duì)我國(guó)對(duì)外貿(mào)易的影響分析　出處：《大連海事大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文　論文類(lèi)型：學(xué)位論文

  更多相關(guān)文章： 美韓FTA 貿(mào)易轉(zhuǎn)移效應(yīng) 對(duì)外貿(mào)易 GTAP

【摘要】：20世紀(jì)90年代以來(lái),區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)一體化在世界范圍內(nèi)興起,雙邊自由貿(mào)易協(xié)定更是成為全球范圍內(nèi)一種普遍的經(jīng)濟(jì)現(xiàn)象。美韓自由貿(mào)易協(xié)定的設(shè)想在美韓兩國(guó)的經(jīng)濟(jì)貿(mào)易關(guān)系有所疏遠(yuǎn)的情形下出現(xiàn),并于2006年2月正式啟動(dòng)進(jìn)行談判。經(jīng)過(guò)十四個(gè)月的艱苦談判,美韓雙方在相互妥協(xié)的基礎(chǔ)上達(dá)成一致,美韓FTA于2007年4月簽署,該協(xié)議涉及農(nóng)業(yè)、服裝、紡織品和汽車(chē)等十多個(gè)領(lǐng)域的貿(mào)易問(wèn)題。由于美韓雙方在該協(xié)議的具體敏感問(wèn)題上有所分歧,在很長(zhǎng)一段時(shí)期內(nèi),兩國(guó)國(guó)會(huì)一直沒(méi)有通過(guò)該協(xié)議。但由于美韓FTA的實(shí)施會(huì)給美韓兩國(guó)帶來(lái)巨大的經(jīng)濟(jì)利益和政治利益,兩國(guó)在互相讓步的基礎(chǔ)上于2010年12月6日再次達(dá)成一致,并于2012年3月15日正式生效。 中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)的快速增長(zhǎng)、中國(guó)與韓國(guó)經(jīng)貿(mào)關(guān)系的日益緊密及中國(guó)對(duì)亞太地區(qū)影響力的增強(qiáng)都促使了美國(guó)積極與韓國(guó)簽署FTA。同時(shí),韓國(guó)也試圖通過(guò)該協(xié)議擺脫在東亞地區(qū)的尷尬地位,分散對(duì)外貿(mào)易依存度。美韓FTA的簽署,是美國(guó)牽制中國(guó)崛起、增強(qiáng)自身在亞太地區(qū)影響力以及鞏固世界霸主地位的最佳途徑,也是韓國(guó)擺脫技術(shù)水平優(yōu)越、生產(chǎn)力高的日本和生產(chǎn)成本低、技術(shù)不斷發(fā)展的中國(guó)的重要一步。美韓FTA的實(shí)施不僅會(huì)促使美韓兩國(guó)貿(mào)易量激增以及美韓雙方社會(huì)福利和國(guó)際競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力的增強(qiáng),也會(huì)對(duì)周邊國(guó)家的貿(mào)易及社會(huì)福利帶來(lái)負(fù)面影響。 中國(guó)作為美韓兩國(guó)重要的貿(mào)易伙伴,勢(shì)必會(huì)受到美韓FTA的影響。美韓FTA所達(dá)成的協(xié)議會(huì)通過(guò)貿(mào)易轉(zhuǎn)移等直接和間接的影響我國(guó)與美韓兩國(guó)的貿(mào)易合作,削弱我國(guó)產(chǎn)品在美韓市場(chǎng)上的競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力,特別是對(duì)我國(guó)農(nóng)產(chǎn)品和服裝紡織品等出口支柱產(chǎn)業(yè)的出口造成很大影響。 本文從美韓FTA的實(shí)施給我國(guó)對(duì)外貿(mào)易帶來(lái)的影響出發(fā),著重論述了該協(xié)議對(duì)我國(guó)對(duì)外貿(mào)易、吸收直接投資和在東亞所處環(huán)境的影響,通過(guò)GTAP模型模擬分析了美韓FTA實(shí)施后會(huì)給我國(guó)GDP、整體福利及具體行業(yè)的對(duì)外貿(mào)易所產(chǎn)生的具體影響,并盡可能從中找出促進(jìn)中國(guó)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí)和完善自身FTA戰(zhàn)略的積極因素,進(jìn)而采取合適的貿(mào)易應(yīng)對(duì)策略。
[Abstract]:Since 1990s, regional economic integration has risen in the world. Bilateral free trade agreements (FTAs) have become a universal economic phenomenon all over the world. The idea of U.S.-Korea Free Trade agreements (FTAs) appears under the circumstances of the estrangement of the economic and trade relations between the United States and South Korea. After 14 months of arduous negotiations, the United States and South Korea reached an agreement on the basis of mutual compromise, the United States and South Korea FTA signed on April 2007. The deal deals with trade in more than a dozen areas, including agriculture, clothing, textiles and automobiles. It has been a long time since the United States and South Korea were divided on the specific sensitive issues of the agreement. The agreement has not been approved by the two countries, but the implementation of the FTA will bring huge economic and political benefits to the two countries. The two countries agreed again on December 6th 2010, on the basis of mutual concessions, and came into effect on March 15th 2012. The rapid growth of China's economy, the growing economic and trade ties between China and South Korea, and China's growing influence in the Asia-Pacific region have prompted the United States to sign FTA. with South Korea. South Korea is also trying to get rid of its awkward position in East Asia and disperse its dependence on foreign trade through the agreement. The signing of FTA by the United States and South Korea is the United States to curb the rise of China. The best way to strengthen its influence in the Asia-Pacific region and consolidate its position as a world hegemon is for South Korea to get rid of Japan, which is technologically superior and has high productivity, and low production costs. The implementation of FTA in the United States and South Korea will not only boost the volume of trade between the United States and South Korea, but also enhance the social welfare and international competitiveness of the two countries. It will also have a negative impact on the trade and social welfare of neighboring countries. China is an important trade partner between the United States and South Korea. The agreement reached by the US and South Korea FTA will directly and indirectly affect the trade cooperation between China and the United States and South Korea through trade transfer and so on. To weaken the competitiveness of our products in the market of America and Korea, especially the export of our country's agricultural products and clothing textiles and other export pillar industries. Starting from the impact of the implementation of FTA in the United States and South Korea on China's foreign trade, this paper focuses on the impact of the agreement on China's foreign trade, absorption of direct investment and the environment in East Asia. The GTAP model is used to simulate and analyze the impact of FTA implementation on China's GDP, overall welfare and foreign trade in specific industries. And find out the positive factors to promote the upgrading of China's industrial structure and improve its own FTA strategy, and then adopt appropriate trade strategy.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：大連海事大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】：F752;F744

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