本文關(guān)鍵詞：東盟共同貨幣的可行性研究　出處：《上海師范大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

  更多相關(guān)文章： 共同貨幣區(qū) 一致性標(biāo)準(zhǔn) 東盟五國(guó) 最優(yōu)貨幣區(qū)

【摘要】：本文主要研究東盟五國(guó)(印度尼西亞、馬來(lái)西亞、菲律賓、新加坡和泰國(guó))建立共同貨幣的可行性問(wèn)題,探索了發(fā)展東盟經(jīng)濟(jì)與貨幣的一體化等相關(guān)問(wèn)題。 通過(guò)研究發(fā)現(xiàn)：1)東盟五國(guó)在經(jīng)濟(jì)領(lǐng)域上(趨同性和對(duì)稱性)驗(yàn)證了建立共同貨幣的可行性,通過(guò)對(duì)某些最優(yōu)貨幣區(qū)的前提條件為東盟五國(guó)建立共同貨幣的可行性提供理論與分析依據(jù)：沖擊的對(duì)稱性、馬約一致性標(biāo)準(zhǔn)、貨幣一體化的指數(shù)、經(jīng)濟(jì)周期的同步性和區(qū)內(nèi)貿(mào)易。雖然最優(yōu)貨幣區(qū)理論對(duì)建立共同貨幣區(qū)是非常重要的,但在貨幣聯(lián)盟的實(shí)現(xiàn)上,最優(yōu)貨幣區(qū)理論的一系列條件不能為該國(guó)家是否可參入共同貨幣區(qū)給出準(zhǔn)確的答案。實(shí)現(xiàn)建立共同貨幣,各經(jīng)濟(jì)體不僅需要滿足經(jīng)濟(jì)條件還需要考慮政治和社會(huì)文化等相關(guān)狀況。如今,東盟仍然沒(méi)有強(qiáng)制性的區(qū)域政治承諾、缺乏了區(qū)域主導(dǎo)國(guó)和區(qū)域機(jī)構(gòu)為東盟實(shí)現(xiàn)采用共同貨幣。除此之外,建議東盟形成東盟貨幣單位當(dāng)作區(qū)域錨貨幣,且提出東盟該先采用多重貨幣聯(lián)盟模式創(chuàng)立共同貨幣區(qū)在一個(gè)次區(qū)域作為過(guò)渡,然后再采用單一貨幣模式進(jìn)行共同貨幣。2)許多年來(lái),東盟在經(jīng)濟(jì)和貨幣合作上取得了較好的進(jìn)展,并不斷地追求更深化的一體化程度。東盟發(fā)展經(jīng)濟(jì)一體化的計(jì)劃將于2015年形成東盟經(jīng)濟(jì)共同體,其計(jì)劃表示東盟仍在走向貨幣一體化的路徑上,所以東盟將來(lái)有可能會(huì)實(shí)現(xiàn)建立共同貨幣區(qū)像歐盟。3)如今東盟還不充分最優(yōu)貨幣區(qū)條件可采用共同貨幣。東盟實(shí)現(xiàn)建立共同貨幣區(qū)的設(shè)想,路經(jīng)還是很漫長(zhǎng),而且東盟不能一蹴而就采用共同貨幣。因此,東盟采取共同貨幣之前還有很多工作需要準(zhǔn)備。為了推動(dòng)?xùn)|盟進(jìn)一步實(shí)現(xiàn)共同貨幣的進(jìn)程,東盟還需要努力加強(qiáng)經(jīng)濟(jì)和政治合作的基礎(chǔ)；建立有效的區(qū)域的超國(guó)家機(jī)制(如區(qū)域理事會(huì)、區(qū)域中央銀行、區(qū)域監(jiān)督和預(yù)警機(jī)制、推動(dòng)采用共同貨幣的行政單位)；發(fā)展與強(qiáng)化金融和資本市場(chǎng)；推動(dòng)自由貿(mào)易協(xié)定和進(jìn)一步深化區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)一體化程度；協(xié)調(diào)區(qū)域政策與法令規(guī)章；縮小東盟在經(jīng)濟(jì)、政治、社會(huì)文化上的差距。一旦時(shí)機(jī)成熟,東盟就有可能會(huì)考慮采用共同貨幣和取得共同貨幣的利益。
[Abstract]:This paper mainly studies the feasibility of establishing a common currency among the five ASEAN countries (Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore and Thailand), and explores the development of ASEAN economic and monetary integration and other related issues. The study found that the ASEAN five countries in the economic field (convergence and symmetry) to verify the feasibility of the establishment of a common currency. This paper provides theoretical and analytical basis for the feasibility of establishing a common currency for the five ASEAN countries through the premise of some optimal currency areas: symmetry of shock, consistency standard of Mayo and index of monetary integration. Synchronization of economic cycles and intraregional trade. Although the theory of optimal currency area is very important to the establishment of common currency area, it is in the realization of monetary union. A series of conditions in the theory of optimal currency area can not give an accurate answer to whether the country can join the common currency area and realize the establishment of common currency. Economies need not only to meet economic conditions but also to take into account political and sociocultural situations. ASEAN still does not have a mandatory regional political commitment. There is a lack of regional leading countries and regional institutions to adopt a common currency for ASEAN. In addition, it is suggested that ASEAN form the ASEAN monetary unit as the regional anchor currency. And put forward that ASEAN should first adopt the multi-currency union model to create common currency area in a subregion as a transition, and then use the single currency model for common currency. 2) for many years. ASEAN has made good progress in economic and monetary cooperation, and has been pursuing a deeper degree of integration. ASEAN plans to develop economic integration will form the ASEAN Economic Community in 2015. The plan says ASEAN is still on the path to monetary integration. So it is possible for ASEAN to realize the establishment of common currency area such as EU. 3) now ASEAN is not enough to use common currency. ASEAN can realize the idea of establishing common currency area. There is still a long way to go and ASEAN cannot adopt a common currency overnight. So there is still a lot of work to be done before ASEAN can adopt a common currency. ASEAN also needed to work to strengthen the basis for economic and political cooperation; Establishment of effective regional supranational mechanisms (e.g. regional councils, regional central banks, regional surveillance and early warning mechanisms, promotion of common currency administrative units); Developing and strengthening financial and capital markets; Promoting free trade agreements and deepening the degree of regional economic integration; Harmonization of regional policies and regulations; Once the time is ripe, ASEAN may consider adopting a common currency and achieving the benefits of a common currency.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：上海師范大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號(hào)】：F133;F823.3

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本文編號(hào)：1361288