本文關(guān)鍵詞：基于GWR模型的原中央蘇區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平空間差異及其驅(qū)動(dòng)機(jī)制　出處：《江西科學(xué)》2016年02期 　論文類(lèi)型：期刊論文

  更多相關(guān)文章： 原中央蘇區(qū) 經(jīng)濟(jì)差異 空間自相關(guān) GWR模型

【摘要】：采用標(biāo)準(zhǔn)差和變異系數(shù)、泰爾指數(shù)、ESDA分析方法及冷熱點(diǎn)分析方法對(duì)原中央蘇區(qū)1990年、2000年、2010年、2013年區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展時(shí)空演變格局進(jìn)行分析,并基于GWR模型深入探討原中央蘇區(qū)區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)差異的驅(qū)動(dòng)機(jī)制。結(jié)果表明:1)1990-2013年,原中央蘇區(qū)人均GDP從1 207元上升到33 311元,極差、標(biāo)準(zhǔn)差逐年擴(kuò)大,變異系數(shù)先升后降,從1990年的0.555 3增至2013年的0.573 2,泰爾指數(shù)從1990年的0.063 2增至2013年的0.107 9,區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展極不均衡,兩極分化嚴(yán)重,東西差異顯著,區(qū)域差異整體呈持續(xù)擴(kuò)大趨勢(shì);2)Moran's I指數(shù)值由1990年的0.534 4增加到2013年的0.587 3,原中央蘇區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)差異存在空間自相關(guān)性,呈現(xiàn)出較高的空間集聚性;3)熱點(diǎn)區(qū)范圍由南向北、先擴(kuò)大后縮小,冷點(diǎn)區(qū)范圍總體趨向擴(kuò)大,沿著武夷山脈一線向西北及東南方向大面積集聚;冷點(diǎn)區(qū)面積相對(duì)較大,原中央蘇區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平整體呈負(fù)向增長(zhǎng);4)投資水平對(duì)原中央蘇區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展起促進(jìn)作用,不合理的產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)、消費(fèi)水平、政府支持因素起抑制作用,產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)因素對(duì)原中央蘇區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)差異驅(qū)動(dòng)影響最大。
[Abstract]:Using standard deviation and variation coefficient, Theil index, ESDA analysis method and analysis method of cold and hot spots for the Central Soviet Area in 1990, 2000, 2010, 2013, the regional economic development of spatio-temporal pattern analysis based on GWR model, and in-depth research on driving mechanism of the former Soviet central regional economic difference. The results show that: 1) 1990-2013 years, the former Soviet central GDP per capita increased from 1207 yuan to 33311 yuan range, the standard deviation is increasing year by year, the coefficient of variation decreased, increased from 0.5553 in 1990 to 0.5732 in 2013, the Theil index increased to 0.1079 in 2013 from 0.0632 in 1990, the regional economic development is extremely uneven, serious polarization what differences, regional differences, the overall trend was continuing to expand; 2) Moran's I index increased from 0.5344 in 1990 to 0.5873 in 2013, is the former Soviet central economic differences in spatial autocorrelation, showing a higher concentration of space; 3) hot area narrow from South to north, the first expansion, cold point the overall trend of expanding area, along the Wuyi Mountains to the northwest and southeast area of agglomeration area; cold point area is relatively large, the former Soviet central economic development level shows negative growth; 4) level of investment The economic development of the former Central Soviet area played a positive role. Irrational industrial structure, consumption level, and government support factors played a role of inhibition. Industrial structure factors had the greatest driving force on the economic difference of the Central Soviet area.
【作者單位】： 東華理工大學(xué)地球科學(xué)學(xué)院;
【基金】：江西省自然科學(xué)基金項(xiàng)目(20151BAB213032)
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】：F129
【正文快照】： 0引言原中央蘇區(qū)是土地革命戰(zhàn)爭(zhēng)時(shí)期最重要的中央革命根據(jù)地,涵蓋了贛粵閩3省的108個(gè)縣(市、區(qū))[1],由于區(qū)位、人口、資源、政策等因素的不平衡,導(dǎo)致原中央蘇區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平長(zhǎng)期不均衡,既有泉州、漳州等經(jīng)濟(jì)快速發(fā)展地區(qū),也有贛南、梅州等貧困集中區(qū)。為此,國(guó)務(wù)院于2012年6月

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