本文選題：國際旅游業(yè) + 產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易��； 參考：《湘潭大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文

【摘要】：隨著服務(wù)貿(mào)易在全球范圍內(nèi)的蓬勃發(fā)展，學(xué)者們逐漸關(guān)注對國際服務(wù)業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易水平的理論和實證研究。近年來，國際旅游業(yè)在國際服務(wù)貿(mào)易的發(fā)展中表現(xiàn)得尤為突出，成為拉動第三產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展的主要動力。本文以傳統(tǒng)產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易相關(guān)理論為基礎(chǔ)，結(jié)合國際旅游業(yè)的自身特點，研究了影響中美國際旅游業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易水平的主要因素。本文試圖以計量模型的實證結(jié)果為依據(jù)，為促進中美國際旅游服務(wù)貿(mào)易的發(fā)展提出建議。 本文一開始主要是梳理、總結(jié)和評價現(xiàn)有的相關(guān)國內(nèi)外文獻，并在此基礎(chǔ)上明確本文的寫作有哪些創(chuàng)新點和不足之處。隨后介紹一些相關(guān)的理論基礎(chǔ)，包括對國際旅游業(yè)和產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易的概念界定，產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易產(chǎn)生動因的整理，以及服務(wù)業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易效應(yīng)的介紹。然后先是分別介紹中國和美國國際旅游服務(wù)業(yè)的發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀，再就中美雙邊國際旅游業(yè)的發(fā)展進行分析和評價，從靜態(tài)和動態(tài)的角度利用G-L指數(shù)和MIIT指數(shù)分析了中美國際旅游業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易的水平。之后就是文章的重點部分，主要是按照模型構(gòu)建、實證過程以及實證結(jié)果分析的順序進行，在模型構(gòu)建的過程中，用G-L指數(shù)作為測算因變量產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易水平的指標，分別引入人均收入差異（AGDP）、市場規(guī)模差異（ASIZE）、貨物貿(mào)易密集度（TCD）、服務(wù)貿(mào)易開放度（OP）、外商直接投資（FDI）、航空運輸質(zhì)量差異（ATRAN）、貿(mào)易不平衡度（DMM）7個影響因素作為自變量。然后采用最小二乘估計法（O-L），運用Eviews6.0計量軟件對這8個時間序列數(shù)據(jù)進行回歸。之后對回歸結(jié)果進行統(tǒng)計檢驗、隨機干擾性的序列相關(guān)性檢驗以及單位根檢驗，并嘗試進行協(xié)整檢驗。雖然由于受到小樣本變量的限制，無法對其進行長期均衡的檢驗，但是其回歸結(jié)果還是有一定的意義。實證結(jié)果表明，人均收入差異（AGDP）、服務(wù)貿(mào)易開放程度(OP)以及貿(mào)易不平衡度（DMM）與中美國際旅游業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易水平呈負相關(guān)關(guān)系，市場規(guī)模差異（ASIZE）和外商直接投資（FDI）與中美國際旅游業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易水平呈正相關(guān)關(guān)系。文章最后對前面的理論和實證研究進行總結(jié)，主要得出以下結(jié)論：中國和美國都是國際旅游服務(wù)貿(mào)易的大國；中美雙邊旅游服務(wù)貿(mào)易總額大，，但是發(fā)展不平衡，中國長期處于貿(mào)易逆差狀態(tài)，且貿(mào)易差額在近幾年不斷加大；中美國際旅游服務(wù)業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易的發(fā)展波動較大；中美國際旅游服務(wù)業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易發(fā)展前景較好。最后為促進中美國際旅游業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易的發(fā)展提出了四點建議。
[Abstract]:With the rapid development of service trade in the world, scholars pay more and more attention to the theoretical and empirical research on the level of intra-industry trade in international service industry. In recent years, international tourism has become the main driving force for the development of the tertiary industry, especially in the development of international service trade. Based on the traditional theory of intra-industry trade and the characteristics of international tourism, this paper studies the main factors that affect the level of intra-industry trade between China and the United States. Based on the empirical results of the econometric model, this paper attempts to give some suggestions for promoting the development of international tourism service trade between China and the United States. The first part of this paper is to sort out, summarize and evaluate the existing domestic and foreign literature, and on the basis of this, it is clear what innovative points and shortcomings of this writing. Then it introduces some related theoretical bases, including the definition of the concepts of international tourism and intra-industry trade, the collation of the causes of intra-industry trade, and the introduction of intra-industry trade effects in services. Then, first of all, it introduces the current situation of the development of international tourism services in China and the United States, and then analyzes and evaluates the development of international tourism between China and the United States. Using G-L index and MIIT index, this paper analyzes the level of intra-industry trade between China and the United States from the static and dynamic point of view. Then it is the key part of the article, mainly according to the order of model construction, empirical process and empirical results analysis. In the process of model construction, the G-L index is used as the index to measure the level of intra-industry trade in dependent variables. As independent variables, seven influencing factors, such as per capita income difference, market size difference, trade intensity of goods, service trade openness, foreign direct investment (FDI), air transport quality difference and trade imbalance (DMMM), are introduced respectively. Then the eight time series data are regressed by using the least square estimation method and the Eviews6.0 software. Then the regression results are tested by statistical test, random interference sequence correlation test and unit root test, and cointegration test is attempted. Because of the limitation of small sample variables, it is impossible to test their long term equilibrium, but the regression results still have some significance. The empirical results show that there is a negative correlation between the difference of per capita income and the level of intra-industry trade between China and the United States, the degree of openness of service trade and the degree of trade imbalance (DMMM). The difference of market size between ASIZE and FDI (FDI) is positively correlated with the level of intra-industry trade between China and the United States. In the end, the paper summarizes the previous theoretical and empirical studies, and draws the following conclusions: China and the United States are both big countries in international trade in tourism services, and the total amount of bilateral trade in tourism services between China and the United States is large, but the development of bilateral trade in tourism services is not balanced. China is in the state of trade deficit for a long time, and the trade balance has been increasing in recent years; the development of intra-industry trade between China and the United States has fluctuated greatly; the prospect of intra-industry trade of Sino-American international tourism service industry is better. Finally, four suggestions are put forward to promote the development of international tourism trade between China and the United States.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：湘潭大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號】：F752.68;F592;F597.12

【參考文獻】

相關(guān)期刊論文 前10條

1 陳迅,李維;產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易的計量[J];財貿(mào)研究;2004年03期

2 柴華;;中國產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易影響因素的實證研究[J];當代經(jīng)濟;2006年03期

3 張宏;叢靜;;影響中韓產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易發(fā)展因素的實證分析[J];東北亞論壇;2006年02期

4 徐婭瑋;中國產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易的現(xiàn)狀與成因分析[J];國際貿(mào)易問題;2001年12期

5 張彬;孫孟;;中澳兩國產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易的實證研究——基于1997-2007年進出口貿(mào)易數(shù)據(jù)[J];國際貿(mào)易問題;2009年05期

6 周茂榮;呂婕;;中美產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易的影響因素研究——以資本和技術(shù)密集型產(chǎn)品貿(mào)易為例[J];國際貿(mào)易問題;2010年02期

7 平新喬;產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易理論與中美貿(mào)易關(guān)系[J];國際經(jīng)濟評論;2005年05期

8 胡穎;韓立巖;;國際旅游服務(wù)業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易的影響因素[J];國際經(jīng)貿(mào)探索;2008年11期

9 程大中;;中美服務(wù)部門的產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易及其影響因素分析[J];管理世界;2008年09期

10 陳迅,李維,王珍;我國產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易影響因素實證分析[J];世界經(jīng)濟研究;2004年06期

本文編號：2030683