本文選題：旅游交通 + 旅游流�。� 參考：《南京大學》2012年博士論文

【摘要】：交通作為旅游目的地發(fā)展的重要因素和一個國家或地區(qū)發(fā)展旅游業(yè)的先決條件之一已經(jīng)得到了學者們的廣泛認同。旅游交通作為一個交叉學科的熱點問題越來越受到來自國內(nèi)外相關(guān)領(lǐng)域?qū)W者的關(guān)注,交通系統(tǒng)對旅游的影響研究作為旅游交通中的重要的研究方向也逐步成為當前旅游研究中的焦點和熱點問題之一。本研究選擇2002-2007年國內(nèi)農(nóng)村居民旅游抽樣調(diào)查中的省際旅游對流和2005-2007年江蘇省國內(nèi)旅游抽樣調(diào)查資料原始資料為基本數(shù)據(jù)資料,綜合運用面板數(shù)據(jù)引力模型、工具變量法、擴散角度與距離計算以及聯(lián)立方程模型等多種實證研究方法,探討交通系統(tǒng)對省際旅游對流和省內(nèi)擴散流的影響作用和方式,并根據(jù)分析結(jié)果結(jié)合當前中國綜合交通網(wǎng)絡過度建設對旅游帶來的負面影響提出相應的建設性的對策和措施,其意義在于:從不同空間尺度實證探討交通系統(tǒng)對旅游的影響,關(guān)注旅游交通系統(tǒng)中的內(nèi)生性問題,有效評估交通對旅游的影響。從理論研究框架和研究方法上,基于空間相互作用構(gòu)建的面板數(shù)據(jù)引力模型的工具變量估計形式以及基于旅游流空間擴散狀態(tài)構(gòu)建的旅游流擴散指標將有效拓展旅游交通研究及相關(guān)領(lǐng)域的定量研究方法。全文共分四個部分:第一部分為研究意義部分,具體闡明本研究的背景、意義、內(nèi)容、方法和技術(shù)路線。論述了旅游交通研究理論和實踐兩個層面的研究背景,指出了本研究的研究意義,對本研究的研究內(nèi)容、框架和技術(shù)路線進行了完備的介紹。第二部分為理論基礎(chǔ)與方法部分,包括第二章和第三章內(nèi)容。第二章對當前國內(nèi)外旅游交通研究進行了系統(tǒng)性梳理并進行總結(jié)為本研究的創(chuàng)新性打好基礎(chǔ)。研究利用引文時序理論對旅游交通的區(qū)域影響、區(qū)域特征以及旅游者交通方式選擇和空間行為模式研究進行了總結(jié)歸納,同時也對國內(nèi)研究進展進行了概述。第三章介紹了本文研究的理論基礎(chǔ)和分析方法,包括范式基礎(chǔ)與旅游交通系統(tǒng)研究框架下的范式選擇,引力模型理論,面板數(shù)據(jù)模型以及區(qū)域旅游擴散的度量,為本研究第三部分的經(jīng)驗研究提供基礎(chǔ)。第三部分為實證研究部分,包括第四、五、六、七章,是本文的主體內(nèi)容。首先就交通基礎(chǔ)設施建設對省際旅游流時空變動的影響進行了研究。研究構(gòu)建了區(qū)域發(fā)展與旅游政策指數(shù)作為工具變量,采用工具變量法面板數(shù)據(jù)引力模型分析了交通基礎(chǔ)設施密度對省際旅游對流的影響。發(fā)現(xiàn)目的地交通基礎(chǔ)設施密度的增長促進了目的地旅游流的增長。研究還以旅游流的目的地和客源地省份將面板數(shù)據(jù)集分為東部、中部、西部分別進行工具變量法的隨機效應模型構(gòu)建發(fā)現(xiàn)東、中、西地區(qū)的入游和出游旅游流影響因素存在一定差異。研究采用省內(nèi)旅游流虛擬變量的反對數(shù)形式表示省內(nèi)旅游選擇偏好效應,發(fā)現(xiàn)交通基礎(chǔ)設施的改善可以有效改善省內(nèi)旅游選擇偏好效應,意味著交通基礎(chǔ)設施改善可以促進省際旅游流流動,促進宏觀大區(qū)域范圍的旅游業(yè)良效可持續(xù)發(fā)展。其次展開交通系統(tǒng)對省內(nèi)入游流擴散影響的研究,以江蘇省作為案例地。研究發(fā)現(xiàn)江蘇省省內(nèi)交通系統(tǒng)要素的變動對入游的客運整體結(jié)構(gòu)影響不大,但對各地市的入游客運交通方式結(jié)構(gòu)有一定的影響,該影響與地市自身及周邊地區(qū)交通系統(tǒng)要素變動有關(guān)。采用距離與角度雙指標擴散指數(shù)對江蘇省省內(nèi)多目的地旅游擴散流進行了描述分析,發(fā)現(xiàn)交通系統(tǒng)各要素對各地市的旅游流擴散有影響。高速公路建設中的重大工程的建成通車對省內(nèi)擴散流的時空變動影響顯著,重要高速公路路段的鋪設有效的引導了沿線地市的省內(nèi)擴散流方向。除交通線路要素影響外,鐵路站點和班次的設置、長途客運班次的調(diào)整和鐵路提速等旅游交通系統(tǒng)中的節(jié)點要素、交通方式要素和交通技術(shù)要素等都對旅游流的擴散產(chǎn)生了一定的影響。研究還發(fā)現(xiàn)交通方式對旅游流的擴散方向和距離存在影響,擴散角度對擴散距離也存在一定影響,這兩種影響均存在地區(qū)差異。最后本研究分析了中國綜合交通過度建設對旅游發(fā)展產(chǎn)生了的負向影響,針對這些負向影響研究提出了相應的政策建議。第四部分為本文研究的結(jié)論、創(chuàng)新點以及今后的努力方向。研究在以下三個方面取得一定的進展:首先從空間上分尺度的研究為旅游交通的區(qū)域影響研究提供了全新的研究視角與分析框架;其次通過工具變量法面板數(shù)據(jù)模型、距離與角度雙指標擴散指數(shù)驗證了交通對旅游流的影響,拓展了旅游交通的研究方法;最后從實證層面分析了交通系統(tǒng)對省際和省內(nèi)旅游流時空變動的影響,交通系統(tǒng)提升有助于促進旅游流省際流動、對省內(nèi)擴散存在影響且該影響存在空間分異。未來可以在時間延續(xù)、負面影響實證研究以及微觀個體尺度進行更進一步的研究。
[Abstract]:As one of the important factors for the development of tourist destinations and one of the prerequisites for the development of tourism in a country or region, traffic has been widely recognized by scholars. Tourism transportation, as a hot issue in a cross discipline, is becoming more and more popular with scholars at home and abroad. The important research direction in tourism transportation has gradually become one of the focus and hot issues in the current tourism research. This study chooses 2002-2007 years of domestic tourism sampling survey in China's rural residents' tourism sampling survey and 2005-2007 years of Jiangsu province domestic tourism sampling survey data for basic data and comprehensive application of panel data. A variety of empirical research methods such as data gravitational model, tool variable method, diffusion angle and distance calculation and simultaneous equation model are used to study the influence and mode of traffic system on inter provincial tourism convection and provincial diffusion flow, and the negative effects on tourism caused by the overconstruction of China's integrated traffic network are combined according to the analysis results. The significance of the corresponding constructive countermeasures and measures is to explore the impact of the transportation system on Tourism from different spatial scales, to pay attention to the endogenous problems in the tourism transportation system and to effectively evaluate the impact of traffic on tourism. From the theoretical research framework and research methods, the panel data gravitational model based on spatial interaction is built. The estimation form of the tool variable and the tourism flow diffusion index based on the spatial diffusion of tourism flow will effectively expand the quantitative research methods of tourism traffic research and related fields. The full text is divided into four parts: the first part is the research significance part, which concretely clarifies the background, significance, content, method and technical route of this study. The research background of two aspects of tourism transportation research theory and practice is described. The research significance of this study is pointed out. The research content, framework and technical route of this study are fully introduced. The second part is the theoretical basis and method part, including the second and third chapters. The second chapter is the Research on the current tourism traffic at home and abroad. Systematic combing and summing up as the foundation for the innovation of this study is carried out. The study of regional impact on tourism traffic, regional characteristics, tourist traffic mode selection and spatial behavior patterns is summarized by the introduction of the citation time series theory, and the domestic research progress is also summarized in the third chapter. The theoretical basis and analytical methods of the study include paradigm base and paradigm selection under the framework of tourism transportation system, gravitational model theory, panel data model and the measurement of regional tourism diffusion, which provide the basis for the empirical study of the third parts of this study. The third part is the empirical research part, including fourth, fifth, six, and seven chapters. The main content of this paper is to study the influence of traffic infrastructure construction on the spatial and temporal changes of inter provincial tourism flow. The research and construction of regional development and tourism policy index as a tool variable, using the tool variable method panel data gravitational model to analyze the impact of traffic infrastructure density on inter provincial tourism convection. The growth of the density of ground transportation infrastructure promotes the growth of destination tourism flow. The study also divides the panel data into eastern, central and western regions in the destination of tourist flow and the province of the tourist source area to the random effect model of the tool variable method in the East, the middle and the West, and finds that there is a certain difference in the influencing factors of the travel and travel flow in the East, middle and west regions. The study uses the opposition of virtual variables in the provincial tourism flow to express the preference effect of tourism selection in the province. It is found that the improvement of traffic infrastructure can effectively improve the preference effect of tourism selection in the province, which means that the improvement of transportation infrastructure can promote the flow of inter provincial tourism flow and promote the good efficiency of tourism in the macro regional range. Secondly, the study of the influence of transportation system on the migration flow diffusion in Jiangsu province is taken as a case. It is found that the changes in the elements of the transportation system in Jiangsu province have little influence on the overall structure of the passenger transport, but it has a certain influence on the structure of the passenger transport mode in various cities, and the influence is with the city itself and the surrounding area. The variation of regional traffic system elements is related. The multi destination tourism diffusion flow in Jiangsu province is described and analyzed by using the double index diffusion index of distance and angle. It is found that the elements of the traffic system have influence on the diffusion of tourism flow in the cities. The time and space changes in the Provincial diffusion flow in the construction of the major projects in the expressway construction In addition to the influence of the elements of the traffic lines, the setting of railway stations and flights, the adjustment of the long-distance passenger transport and the speed increase of the railway, and the elements of traffic mode and traffic technical elements, etc. The diffusion of traffic has a certain influence. The study also found that the mode of transportation has an influence on the direction and distance of the travel flow, and the diffusion angle also has a certain influence on the diffusion distance. The two effects all have regional differences. Finally, this study analyzes the negative impact of the excessive construction of comprehensive traffic on tourism development in China. The fourth part is the conclusion, the innovation and the future direction of the study. The research has made some progress in the following three aspects: first, the research on the spatial scale provides a new research perspective and analysis framework for the study of the regional impact of tourism traffic. Through the tool variable method panel data model, the distance and angle double index diffusion index verified the influence of traffic on tourism flow, expanded the research method of tourism traffic, and finally analyzed the influence of the traffic system on the spatial and temporal changes of tourism flow in the provinces and provinces from the empirical level, and promoted the interprovincial flow of tourism flow by the interchange system. There is an impact on intra provincial proliferation and there is spatial differentiation. The future can be further studied in time continuation, negative impact empirical research and micro individual scale.
【學位授予單位】：南京大學
【學位級別】：博士
【學位授予年份】：2012
【分類號】：F592.7
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本文編號：2013914