延邊入境旅游與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)關(guān)系的實(shí)證研究
本文選題:延邊 + 入境旅游 ; 參考:《延邊大學(xué)》2015年碩士論文
【摘要】:自從1978年改革開(kāi)放以來(lái),中國(guó)的經(jīng)濟(jì)得到了快速的發(fā)展,第三產(chǎn)業(yè)在國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)中的比重越來(lái)越大。作為第三產(chǎn)業(yè)當(dāng)中的重要組成部分,旅游的收入也成為了人們關(guān)注的經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展要點(diǎn)。隨著經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展,人民的可支配收入增多,旅游逐漸變成人們?cè)絹?lái)越關(guān)注的焦點(diǎn),旅游收入在國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)中的比重逐漸增大,政府也采取了相應(yīng)的政策支持旅游事業(yè)的發(fā)展。20世紀(jì)末,我國(guó)政府將旅游業(yè)列為新經(jīng)濟(jì)的重要增長(zhǎng)點(diǎn),這更加推動(dòng)了旅游業(yè)的發(fā)展。隨著中國(guó)社會(huì)地位逐漸的提高,外國(guó)人民來(lái)中國(guó)旅游的愿望逐漸增高,入境旅游人數(shù)逐年上升,入境旅游外匯收入也有上升趨勢(shì)。本文研究了延邊入境旅游資源現(xiàn)狀,同時(shí)從入境旅游收入和經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的關(guān)系為側(cè)重點(diǎn)進(jìn)行分析,試圖找出GDP和入境旅游收入的聯(lián)系,利用計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)的方法計(jì)算并檢驗(yàn)國(guó)內(nèi)生產(chǎn)總值和入境旅游收入之間的關(guān)系,探討是否入境旅游能夠成為延邊朝鮮族自治州主要的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)點(diǎn),在未來(lái)的發(fā)展趨勢(shì)中,如何合理提升入境旅游收入,使其成為提高延邊經(jīng)濟(jì)的重要部分,對(duì)延邊經(jīng)濟(jì)起重要的推動(dòng)作用。本文主要分為五個(gè)部分,第一部分是緒論,主要介紹選題的背景和研究的意義、國(guó)外研究的現(xiàn)狀,國(guó)內(nèi)研究現(xiàn)狀,研究的方法等。第二部分是相關(guān)的概念以及理論研究,主要內(nèi)容是入境游的概念、入境游客的概念及入境旅游的影響等相關(guān)的理論研究。第三部分分析延邊入境旅游資源優(yōu)勢(shì)以及延邊旅游業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)狀況以及入境旅游的作用,對(duì)客源市場(chǎng)進(jìn)行簡(jiǎn)單分析。第四部分為延邊入境旅游發(fā)展與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的實(shí)證分析。從數(shù)據(jù)的來(lái)源和變量的選取當(dāng)中分析入境旅游與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的關(guān)系,利用EVIEWS7.2軟件建立入境旅游的模型評(píng)估、方差分解分析以及格蘭杰因果關(guān)系檢驗(yàn)等分析方法解釋入境旅游和經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)之間存在著的關(guān)系,以及結(jié)論分析。第五部分根據(jù)以上的分析進(jìn)行總結(jié),得出結(jié)論,提出相關(guān)建議以及未來(lái)的展望。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up in 1978, China's economy has developed rapidly and the proportion of the third industry in the national economy is increasing. As an important part of the third industry, the income of tourism has become the main point of economic development. With the development of the economy, the people's disposable income is increasing, and tourism has gradually changed. The focus of the growing concern for adults, the proportion of tourism income in the national economy, the government has also adopted a corresponding policy to support the development of tourism in the.20 century. Our government has listed tourism as an important growth point of the new economy, which has promoted the development of tourism. With the gradual improvement of China's social status, The desire of the Chinese people to travel to China is increasing, the number of inbound tourism is rising year by year, and the foreign exchange income of inbound tourism is also rising. This paper studies the status of Yanbian's inbound tourism resources, and analyses the relationship between inbound tourism income and economic growth, and tries to find out the connection between GDP and inbound tourism income. The method of econometrics is used to calculate and examine the relationship between GDP and inbound tourism income, and to explore whether inbound tourism can become the main economic growth point in Yanbian Korean Autonomous Prefecture. In the future development trend, how to improve the income of inbound tourism, make it an important part of improving the economy of Yanbian, and to Yanbian Jing Jing This article is mainly divided into five parts. The first part is the introduction, which mainly introduces the background and significance of the topic, the status of foreign research, the status of domestic research, the method of research, and so on. The second part is related concepts and theoretical studies. The main content is the concept of inbound tourism, the concept and entry of inbound tourists. The third part analyses the advantages of Yanbian's inbound tourism resources, the economic growth of Yanbian tourism and the role of inbound tourism, and makes a simple analysis of the tourist market. The fourth part is the empirical analysis of the development and economic growth of Yanbian's inbound tourism and the selection of the data sources and variables The relationship between inbound tourism and economic growth is analyzed, and EVIEWS7.2 software is used to establish the model assessment of inbound tourism, analysis of variance decomposition and Grainger causality test to explain the relationship between inbound tourism and economic growth, as well as the conclusion analysis. The fifth part concludes the analysis based on the above analysis. Conclusions, suggestions and future prospects are put forward.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:延邊大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2015
【分類號(hào)】:F592.7;F127
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