中國(guó)沿海省份旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展水平綜合評(píng)價(jià)及時(shí)空格局演變
本文選題:旅游產(chǎn)業(yè) + 時(shí)空格局 ; 參考:《地域研究與開發(fā)》2013年04期
【摘要】:選擇能夠反映沿海省份旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展水平的各類統(tǒng)計(jì)指標(biāo),運(yùn)用主成分TOPSIS法對(duì)沿海11個(gè)省份2000,2005,2010年旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平進(jìn)行綜合評(píng)價(jià)與比較,采用馬爾科夫鏈和ESDA法探討旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展水平區(qū)域差異的時(shí)間和空間格局演變。沿海11個(gè)省份旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展水平存在明顯的"俱樂部趨同"現(xiàn)象,區(qū)域差異不斷拉大,兩極分化趨勢(shì)增強(qiáng);旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展水平呈現(xiàn)出較為顯著的空間自相關(guān),旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展水平相似的地區(qū)呈集聚分布;從熱點(diǎn)區(qū)分布及格局演變來(lái)看,旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展重心有由南向北遷移的趨勢(shì),以長(zhǎng)三角為中心、以珠三角和環(huán)渤海為兩翼的"一體兩翼"的旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展格局漸趨明朗。
[Abstract]:This paper selects all kinds of statistical indexes which can reflect the level of tourism industry development in coastal provinces, and makes a comprehensive evaluation and comparison of the economic development level of tourism industry in 11 coastal provinces in 2005 and 2010 by using the principal component TOPSIS method.Using Markov chain and ESDA method, the temporal and spatial patterns of regional differences in tourism industry development level were discussed.There is obvious "club convergence" phenomenon in the development level of tourism industry in 11 coastal provinces, the regional differences are widening, the polarization trend is increasing, and the development level of tourism industry is showing a relatively significant spatial autocorrelation.According to the distribution and pattern evolution of hot spots, the center of development of tourism industry tends to migrate from south to north, with the Yangtze River Delta as the center.With Pearl River Delta and Bohai Rim as two wings, the pattern of tourism industry development is gradually clear.
【作者單位】: 中國(guó)海洋大學(xué)管理學(xué)院旅游系;西南林業(yè)大學(xué)林學(xué)院;
【基金】:國(guó)家軟科學(xué)項(xiàng)目(2009GXQ6D172)
【分類號(hào)】:F592.7;F224
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