近年來(lái),受全球經(jīng)濟(jì)增速放緩影響,我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展邁入了新常態(tài)。面對(duì)現(xiàn)階段下所呈現(xiàn)的需求疲軟與產(chǎn)能過(guò)剩這一矛盾,以要素投入為主的傳統(tǒng)發(fā)展模式難以為繼,為有效促進(jìn)全國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)穩(wěn)定增長(zhǎng),國(guó)家相繼提出了深化科技體制改革和實(shí)施創(chuàng)新驅(qū)動(dòng)發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略等多項(xiàng)科技政策,旨在于充分調(diào)動(dòng)科學(xué)技術(shù)作為第一生產(chǎn)力的推動(dòng)作用,打造經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)新引擎,實(shí)現(xiàn)全國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)可持續(xù)健康發(fā)展。山東省作為沿海經(jīng)濟(jì)大省,在經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展過(guò)程中所引發(fā)的環(huán)境污染、資源約束加大、科技進(jìn)步貢獻(xiàn)率偏低以及產(chǎn)能過(guò)剩等問(wèn)題嚴(yán)重制約著全省經(jīng)濟(jì)的可持續(xù)發(fā)展。在此雙重背景下,探索建立以科技進(jìn)步為主導(dǎo)的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)新模式,促進(jìn)科技進(jìn)步與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展顯得十分迫切。本文以新經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)理論、系統(tǒng)動(dòng)力學(xué)理論和協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展理論為指導(dǎo),在闡明科技進(jìn)步與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展內(nèi)涵的基礎(chǔ)上,從山東省科技進(jìn)步與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的發(fā)展實(shí)際出發(fā),構(gòu)建山東省科技進(jìn)步與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展評(píng)價(jià)模型,得出山東省在科技進(jìn)步與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展過(guò)程中存在全局協(xié)調(diào)與內(nèi)部失調(diào)共存、科技進(jìn)步對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的拉動(dòng)力不足、科技投入結(jié)構(gòu)不合理、科技成果的市場(chǎng)化程度和產(chǎn)業(yè)化程度亟需進(jìn)一步提高四方面問(wèn)題。由于科技進(jìn)步與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)作為有機(jī)整體系統(tǒng)具有動(dòng)態(tài)性... 

【文章來(lái)源】：中國(guó)石油大學(xué)(華東)山東省 211工程院校 教育部直屬院校

【文章頁(yè)數(shù)】：63 頁(yè)

【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士

【部分圖文】：

山東省科技進(jìn)步與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)系統(tǒng)協(xié)調(diào)水平Fig3-9Thecoordinationlevelofscientificandtechnologicalprogressandeconomicgrowthsystem根據(jù)表3-3和圖3-9可知，山東省科技進(jìn)步與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)系統(tǒng)的協(xié)調(diào)度呈現(xiàn)兩階段式波動(dòng)上升態(tài)勢(shì)，2000-2011年期間系統(tǒng)協(xié)調(diào)度波動(dòng)明顯，長(zhǎng)期保持在0.49-0.87之間；2011-

中國(guó)石油大學(xué)（華東）碩士學(xué)位論文37表4-12000-2016年科技活動(dòng)人員數(shù)和R&D經(jīng)費(fèi)投入實(shí)際值與仿真值對(duì)比分析Table4-1ThenumberoftechsandtheR&Dfundsareinrealvalueandsimulationvaluefrom2000to2016時(shí)間科技活動(dòng)人員數(shù)實(shí)際值科技活動(dòng)人員數(shù)仿真值誤差率R&D經(jīng)費(fèi)投入實(shí)際值R&D經(jīng)費(fèi)投入仿真值誤差率2000200120022003200420052006200720082009201020112012201320142015201623.0922.7924.3326.0227.1026.6728.5433.0536.6141.1048.0357.9368.5973.6277.4780.1885.0923.0923.5124.3325.0426.7027.9629.3433.4735.1339.4446.3159.7966.5670.7473.9477.8683.070.00-0.030.000.040.01-0.05-0.03-0.010.040.040.04-0.030.030.040.050.030.02162.9179194226.4299.1358.2441.8612.1761.9820.5896.7944.41020.31175.81304.11427.21566.1162.90171.05188.15219.20287.75343.82436.59593.21743.86798.38862.25939.85986.851115.791295.661360.481482.930.000.040.030.030.040.040.010.030.020.030.040.000.030.050.010.050.05圖4-32000-2020年山東省科技進(jìn)步子系統(tǒng)四項(xiàng)指標(biāo)仿真圖Fig4-3Asimulationdiagramoffourindicatorsofthetechnologicalprogresssubsystemfrom2000to2020

中國(guó)石油大學(xué)（華東）碩士學(xué)位論文39表4-32000-2016年人均GDP和地方財(cái)政收入實(shí)際值與仿真值對(duì)比分析Table4-3ComparisonandanalysisofrealvalueandsimulationvalueofpercapitaGDPandlocalfiscalrevenue時(shí)間人均GDP實(shí)際值人均GDP仿真值誤差率地方財(cái)政收入實(shí)際值地方財(cái)政收入仿真值誤差率200020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520169326101951134013268164131993423603276043293635894411064719051768568856087964168677069266.9410171.711138.412682.915958.118975.322851.326804.631632.734320.539195.545589.249962.354291.958817.662268.664467.70.010.0020.020.040.030.050.030.030.040.040.050.030.030.050.030.030.05463.68573.18610.22713.79828.331073.131356.251675.41957.052198.632749.383455.934059.434559.955026.835529.335860.18441.583552.619639.248740.78810.551018.111421.331637.511888.032083.022609.213294.583891.54388.494786.985278.35963.70.050.04-0.05-0.040.020.05-0.050.020.040.050.050.050.040.040.050.05-0.02圖4-4山東省2000-2020年經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)子系統(tǒng)四項(xiàng)指標(biāo)仿真圖Fig4-4Asimulationdiagramoffourindicatorsofeconomicgrowthsubsystemofshandongprovince


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