貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)的動態(tài)演進及其對經(jīng)濟增長的貢獻研究
發(fā)布時間:2018-12-18 18:12
【摘要】: 在信息化時代,交易技術(shù)快速發(fā)展、交易成本極大降低,基于分工深化結(jié)果的國際貿(mào)易成為一國經(jīng)濟發(fā)展的重要源泉,一國在既定資源的條件下應(yīng)該選擇合適的貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)來實現(xiàn)經(jīng)濟的最優(yōu)增長路徑。參與國際貿(mào)易的各個國家,由于生產(chǎn)要素密集程度、技術(shù)發(fā)展水平、市場組織和經(jīng)濟發(fā)展規(guī)模等的差異性,在國際貿(mào)易中會形成自己的絕對優(yōu)勢、比較優(yōu)勢、競爭優(yōu)勢以及隨市場容量擴大所帶來的規(guī)模經(jīng)濟優(yōu)勢,各國應(yīng)該利用自己的優(yōu)勢參與國際貿(mào)易。經(jīng)濟發(fā)展會推動技術(shù)不斷革新、生產(chǎn)規(guī)模不斷擴大、市場組織不斷優(yōu)化和要素相對密集度的動態(tài)變化,因此,一國的絕對優(yōu)勢、比較優(yōu)勢和競爭優(yōu)勢是動態(tài)演進的,貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)的動態(tài)演進是經(jīng)濟發(fā)展和競爭的必然結(jié)果。 本文在第2章中從貿(mào)易品顯示技術(shù)附加值的角度建立了貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)的分析方法:首先依據(jù)貿(mào)易品事后的統(tǒng)計數(shù)據(jù)計算貿(mào)易品的顯示技術(shù)附加值的觀測值,其次根據(jù)貿(mào)易品顯示技術(shù)附加值的樣本觀測值計算貿(mào)易品顯示技術(shù)附加值真值的最優(yōu)估值,最后應(yīng)用貿(mào)易品顯示技術(shù)附加值的最優(yōu)估值建立貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)的分析指標。在第3章中從超邊際分析和邊際分析的角度對貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)的動態(tài)演進提供了理論基礎(chǔ)、構(gòu)建了貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)動態(tài)演進的基礎(chǔ)模型、分析了貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)動態(tài)演進的路徑和特點,貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)動態(tài)演進路徑和特點取決于專業(yè)化經(jīng)濟和交易效率系數(shù)的大小。在第4章中從理論上分析了貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)對經(jīng)濟增長貢獻的因素和路徑,并在貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)分解的基礎(chǔ)上,建立了貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)對經(jīng)濟增長貢獻的實證模型。 最后實證分析了中國外貿(mào)結(jié)構(gòu)的基本特點、動態(tài)演進路徑和對經(jīng)濟增長的貢獻,其基本結(jié)論是:中國出口產(chǎn)品貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)從低技術(shù)附加值向高技術(shù)附加值動態(tài)演進,進口產(chǎn)品結(jié)構(gòu)從高技術(shù)附加值向低技術(shù)附加值動態(tài)演進,但中國出口產(chǎn)品的貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)系數(shù)位于中等水平,并形成了低技術(shù)附加值和高技術(shù)附加值并存的二元貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu);在貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)對經(jīng)濟增長的貢獻中,出口和進口對中國經(jīng)濟增長都有很大的貢獻,中國出口產(chǎn)品對經(jīng)濟增長的貢獻主要是低附加值和中偏低技術(shù)附加值的出口產(chǎn)品,而在進口產(chǎn)品對經(jīng)濟增長的貢獻中高技術(shù)附加值產(chǎn)品比低技術(shù)附加值產(chǎn)品對中國經(jīng)濟增長的貢獻較大。
[Abstract]:In the information age, with the rapid development of trade technology and the great reduction of transaction cost, international trade based on the deepening of division of labor has become an important source of a country's economic development. A country should choose the appropriate trade structure to realize the optimal economic growth path under the condition of given resources. The countries participating in international trade, due to the differences in the intensity of production factors, the level of technological development, the scale of market organization and economic development, will form their own absolute advantages and comparative advantages in international trade. Competitive advantage and scale economy advantage brought by the expansion of market capacity, countries should take advantage of their advantages to participate in international trade. Economic development will promote technological innovation, continuous expansion of production scale, continuous optimization of market organization and dynamic changes in relative concentration of elements. Therefore, a country's absolute, comparative and competitive advantages are evolving dynamically. The dynamic evolution of trade structure is the inevitable result of economic development and competition. In chapter 2, we establish the analytical method of trade structure from the point of view of technical added value of trade goods. Firstly, we calculate the observation value of display technology value added of trade goods according to the statistical data of trade goods afterwards. Secondly, the best valuation of the true value of the technical value added is calculated according to the sample observation value of the technical added value of the trade goods display. Finally, the analysis index of the trade structure is established by using the optimal valuation value of the technical value added of the trade goods display. Chapter 3 provides the theoretical basis for the dynamic evolution of trade structure from the perspective of hypermarginal analysis and marginal analysis, constructs the basic model of the dynamic evolution of trade structure, and analyzes the path and characteristics of the dynamic evolution of trade structure. The dynamic evolution of trade structure depends on the specialization economy and the coefficient of transaction efficiency. In chapter 4, the factors and paths of trade structure's contribution to economic growth are analyzed theoretically, and the empirical model of trade structure's contribution to economic growth is established on the basis of trade structure decomposition. Finally, the paper empirically analyzes the basic characteristics of China's foreign trade structure, its dynamic evolution path and its contribution to economic growth. Its basic conclusion is that the trade structure of China's export products evolves from low technology added value to high technology added value. The structure of import products evolves from high technology added value to low technology added value, but the trade structure coefficient of China's export products is at the middle level, which forms a dual trade structure with low technology added value and high technology added value. In the contribution of trade structure to economic growth, both exports and imports have made great contributions to China's economic growth. The contribution of China's export products to economic growth is mainly those with low added value and medium and low technological added value. In the contribution of imported products to economic growth, high-tech value-added products contribute more to China's economic growth than low-technology value-added products.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:湖南師范大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2009
【分類號】:F224;F746;F061.2
本文編號:2386280
[Abstract]:In the information age, with the rapid development of trade technology and the great reduction of transaction cost, international trade based on the deepening of division of labor has become an important source of a country's economic development. A country should choose the appropriate trade structure to realize the optimal economic growth path under the condition of given resources. The countries participating in international trade, due to the differences in the intensity of production factors, the level of technological development, the scale of market organization and economic development, will form their own absolute advantages and comparative advantages in international trade. Competitive advantage and scale economy advantage brought by the expansion of market capacity, countries should take advantage of their advantages to participate in international trade. Economic development will promote technological innovation, continuous expansion of production scale, continuous optimization of market organization and dynamic changes in relative concentration of elements. Therefore, a country's absolute, comparative and competitive advantages are evolving dynamically. The dynamic evolution of trade structure is the inevitable result of economic development and competition. In chapter 2, we establish the analytical method of trade structure from the point of view of technical added value of trade goods. Firstly, we calculate the observation value of display technology value added of trade goods according to the statistical data of trade goods afterwards. Secondly, the best valuation of the true value of the technical value added is calculated according to the sample observation value of the technical added value of the trade goods display. Finally, the analysis index of the trade structure is established by using the optimal valuation value of the technical value added of the trade goods display. Chapter 3 provides the theoretical basis for the dynamic evolution of trade structure from the perspective of hypermarginal analysis and marginal analysis, constructs the basic model of the dynamic evolution of trade structure, and analyzes the path and characteristics of the dynamic evolution of trade structure. The dynamic evolution of trade structure depends on the specialization economy and the coefficient of transaction efficiency. In chapter 4, the factors and paths of trade structure's contribution to economic growth are analyzed theoretically, and the empirical model of trade structure's contribution to economic growth is established on the basis of trade structure decomposition. Finally, the paper empirically analyzes the basic characteristics of China's foreign trade structure, its dynamic evolution path and its contribution to economic growth. Its basic conclusion is that the trade structure of China's export products evolves from low technology added value to high technology added value. The structure of import products evolves from high technology added value to low technology added value, but the trade structure coefficient of China's export products is at the middle level, which forms a dual trade structure with low technology added value and high technology added value. In the contribution of trade structure to economic growth, both exports and imports have made great contributions to China's economic growth. The contribution of China's export products to economic growth is mainly those with low added value and medium and low technological added value. In the contribution of imported products to economic growth, high-tech value-added products contribute more to China's economic growth than low-technology value-added products.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:湖南師范大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2009
【分類號】:F224;F746;F061.2
【引證文獻】
相關(guān)博士學(xué)位論文 前1條
1 陳麗靜;知識產(chǎn)權(quán)保護、技術(shù)創(chuàng)新與貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化[D];浙江大學(xué);2012年
相關(guān)碩士學(xué)位論文 前6條
1 何莎;安徽省對外貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)關(guān)系研究[D];安徽工業(yè)大學(xué);2011年
2 劉靜;基于產(chǎn)業(yè)組織視角的我國貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化研究[D];沈陽理工大學(xué);2011年
3 李倩;安徽高新技術(shù)產(chǎn)品出口貿(mào)易的研究[D];安徽大學(xué);2012年
4 周月瑩;基于要素依賴的外貿(mào)結(jié)構(gòu)升級研究[D];長春工業(yè)大學(xué);2012年
5 馬林;山東省外貿(mào)商品結(jié)構(gòu)與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)關(guān)系的實證研究[D];山東財經(jīng)大學(xué);2013年
6 魏俊;我國對外貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)和產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的關(guān)系研究[D];廣東商學(xué)院;2013年
,本文編號:2386280
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