博茨瓦納作為一個(gè)發(fā)展中國(guó)家為實(shí)現(xiàn)經(jīng)濟(jì)多樣化做出了一些努力。博茨瓦納采用了諸多經(jīng)濟(jì)多元化驅(qū)動(dòng)（EDD）、2016年愿景、2036年愿景、NDP 10和NDP 11等發(fā)展政策和戰(zhàn)略,以使其實(shí)現(xiàn)經(jīng)濟(jì)多樣化,不再依賴(lài)初級(jí)商品。該國(guó)已簽署了若干雙邊和多邊自由貿(mào)易協(xié)定,以?xún)?yōu)惠其商品和服務(wù)的市場(chǎng)準(zhǔn)入,其重點(diǎn)是消除貿(mào)易壁壘,以便于在博茨瓦納與其貿(mào)易國(guó)家之間進(jìn)行貨物運(yùn)輸。鑒于此,本文研究出口多樣化對(duì)博茨瓦納經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的影響,并選擇出口多樣化、外商直接投資、人口、制造業(yè)和一般政府凈消費(fèi)等五個(gè)自變量,選取1995-2017年的時(shí)間序列數(shù)據(jù)進(jìn)行分析,選取實(shí)際人均國(guó)內(nèi)生產(chǎn)總值（GDP）作為代表來(lái)確定這兩個(gè)概念之間的關(guān)系。為了獲得出口多樣化對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)影響的一致和有效估計(jì),本文使用了普通最小二乘法（OLS）,實(shí)證結(jié)果與該模型相吻合。在索洛增長(zhǎng)模型中,實(shí)際人均GDP增長(zhǎng)與出口多樣化之間的相互作用非常顯著,并為解釋博茨瓦納增長(zhǎng)率的變化做出了重要貢獻(xiàn),實(shí)證模型表明,出口多樣化以外的變量也在解釋博茨瓦納的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)方面發(fā)揮作用。外商直接投資不顯著,但與出口增長(zhǎng)和出口多樣化呈正相關(guān)關(guān)系,這說(shuō)明一個(gè)經(jīng)濟(jì)體的多元化程度越高,就越有可... 

【文章來(lái)源】：江西財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)江西省

【文章頁(yè)數(shù)】：68 頁(yè)

【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士

【文章目錄】：
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
ABSTRACT
摘要
LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS
1 INTRODUCTION
    1.1 Background of the Study
    1.2 Literature Review
    1.3 Objectives of the study
    1.4 Significance of Study
    1.5 Contribution and Limitations of Study
    1.6 Structure of the Thesis
2 OVERVIEW OF BOTSWANA’S ECONOMY
    2.1 Botswana?s Economic Development Status
    2.2 Botswana?s Export Structure
    2.3 Botswana?s imports& export trading countries（regions）
    2.4 Botswana?s Trade Policy
    2.5 Botswana?s Trade Regime
    2.6 Botswana?s Current Development strategies and Policies
3 BASIC GROWTH THEORIES AND ITS APPLICATION IN BOTSWANA
    3.1 Theoretical Framework
        3.1.1 Classical Theories
        3.1.2 Neoclassical Growth Theories
    3.2 Theoretical Analysis of Export Diversification on Botswana's Economic Growth
4 EMPIRICAL STUDY ON THE EFFECTS OF EXPORT DIVERSIFICATION AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN BOTSWANA
    4.1 Data and Description
    4.2 Description of Variables
    4.3 Model Specification and Estimation
    4.4 Data analysis
    4.5 OLS model specification
    4.6 Diagnostic tests
    4.7 Results and Discussion
5 CASE STUDIES OF RESOURCE RICH COUNTRIES ON EXPORT DIVERSIFICATION AND ECONOMIC GROWTH
    Introduction
    5.1 The Case study of Chile
    5.2 Case Study of Mauritius
    5.3 Case study of UAE
    5.4 Experiences and Lessons for Botswana
6 CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS
    6.1 Conclusion
    6.2 Policy Recommendations
REFERENCES



本文編號(hào)：3057530