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基于改進(jìn)物元可拓模型的城市洪災(zāi)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)評價(jià)

發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-01-04 00:17

  本文關(guān)鍵詞:基于改進(jìn)物元可拓模型的城市洪災(zāi)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)評價(jià) 出處:《人民黃河》2017年07期  論文類型:期刊論文


  更多相關(guān)文章: 城市洪災(zāi) 風(fēng)險(xiǎn)評價(jià) 物元可拓模型 變權(quán)理論 貼近度


【摘要】:城市洪災(zāi)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)評價(jià)是城市制定防洪減災(zāi)措施的重要依據(jù),為了克服現(xiàn)有評價(jià)模型的局限性,從災(zāi)害學(xué)的角度考慮,從致災(zāi)、孕災(zāi)、承災(zāi)和減災(zāi)4個(gè)方面建立了城市洪災(zāi)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)評價(jià)指標(biāo)體系,并采用改進(jìn)物元可拓模型進(jìn)行分析評價(jià)。該模型在一般的物元可拓模型的基礎(chǔ)上作出兩點(diǎn)改進(jìn):其一,用貼近度代替關(guān)聯(lián)度進(jìn)行等級評定;其二,采用變權(quán)法確定指標(biāo)權(quán)重。以麗水市為例進(jìn)行洪災(zāi)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)評價(jià),評價(jià)結(jié)果為Ⅳ級(較危險(xiǎn)),與麗水市實(shí)際洪災(zāi)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)情況基本相符。
[Abstract]:Urban flood risk assessment is an important basis for cities to formulate flood control and disaster mitigation measures. In order to overcome the limitations of existing evaluation models, from the perspective of disaster science, from the disaster, disaster prevention. The evaluation index system of urban flood risk is established in the four aspects of disaster bearing and disaster reduction, and the improved matter-element extension model is used to analyze and evaluate it. The model is improved on the basis of the general matter-element extension model: first. Using the closeness degree instead of the correlation degree to evaluate the grade; Secondly, the index weight is determined by variable weight method. Taking Lishui City as an example, flood risk assessment is carried out, and the evaluation result is grade 鈪,

本文編號:1376228

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