京廣通道快運(yùn)市場(chǎng)分析及鐵路快運(yùn)產(chǎn)品設(shè)計(jì)
本文關(guān)鍵詞:京廣通道快運(yùn)市場(chǎng)分析及鐵路快運(yùn)產(chǎn)品設(shè)計(jì) 出處:《北京交通大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文 論文類型:學(xué)位論文
更多相關(guān)文章: 京廣通道 快運(yùn)市場(chǎng)分析 鐵路快運(yùn) 開行方案
【摘要】:隨著我國物流行業(yè)發(fā)展日新月異,快速貨物運(yùn)輸需求增長迅速,國內(nèi)快運(yùn)市場(chǎng)逐漸為鐵路企業(yè)所重視。京廣通道連接環(huán)渤海、中原經(jīng)濟(jì)區(qū)和珠三角等多個(gè)快遞經(jīng)濟(jì)圈,是國內(nèi)重要的快遞運(yùn)輸市場(chǎng)。由于目前鐵路快運(yùn)服務(wù)水平與快遞運(yùn)輸標(biāo)準(zhǔn)仍有一定差距,導(dǎo)致通道沿線的鐵路快運(yùn)市場(chǎng)份額較低。因此,研究鐵路快速貨物運(yùn)輸系統(tǒng)對(duì)于提高我國鐵路貨運(yùn)服務(wù)水平和快運(yùn)市場(chǎng)占有率有重要意義。本文首先對(duì)京廣通道沿線的快運(yùn)市場(chǎng)進(jìn)行分析,闡述了鐵路快運(yùn)產(chǎn)品的市場(chǎng)目標(biāo)并確定了辦理鐵路快運(yùn)業(yè)務(wù)城市;從市場(chǎng)份額和市場(chǎng)需求兩個(gè)方面分析鐵路快運(yùn)產(chǎn)品在京廣通道快運(yùn)市場(chǎng)的前景,一方面采用改進(jìn)的Logit模型測(cè)算不同距離下各種交通運(yùn)輸方式的市場(chǎng)分擔(dān)率;另一方面構(gòu)建基于時(shí)間序列的快遞業(yè)務(wù)量組合預(yù)測(cè)模型,來測(cè)算2018至2020年京廣通道沿線主要城市的快遞業(yè)務(wù)量。然后論文從經(jīng)濟(jì)可行性和時(shí)效性兩方面對(duì)京廣通道鐵路快運(yùn)產(chǎn)品進(jìn)行分析。在上述工作的基礎(chǔ)上,論文研究在不影響旅客列車開行條件的前提下,分析鐵路快運(yùn)產(chǎn)品開行方案的設(shè)計(jì)原則、產(chǎn)品類型和開行條件等問題,闡述了京廣通道的快運(yùn)產(chǎn)品開行方案的設(shè)計(jì)方法及思路。為確定鐵路快運(yùn)產(chǎn)品是否在中間站進(jìn)行裝卸作業(yè)及對(duì)應(yīng)的停站方案,本文建立了以鐵路快運(yùn)貨物列車的空車走行距離最小為目標(biāo)的規(guī)劃模型,并給出具體求解步驟和方法。并基于2020年通道沿線城市的快遞需求,設(shè)計(jì)2020年京廣通道鐵路快運(yùn)產(chǎn)品的開行方案及運(yùn)輸時(shí)間表。最后闡述當(dāng)前鐵路企業(yè)快運(yùn)產(chǎn)品運(yùn)輸經(jīng)營組織方法及相關(guān)問題,提出鐵路企業(yè)可采用與快遞公司合作的方式為主,承辦全程業(yè)務(wù)為輔的方式,參與京廣通道快遞快運(yùn)市場(chǎng)競(jìng)爭(zhēng)。
[Abstract]:With the rapid development of logistics industry in our country, the demand for rapid freight transportation is growing rapidly, and the domestic express transportation market is gradually attached importance to by railway enterprises. The Beijing-Guangzhou corridor is connected to the Bohai Sea. Many express economic circles such as Central Plains Economic Zone and Pearl River Delta are important express transportation market in China. Because of the current railway express service level and express transport standards there is still a certain gap. As a result of the passage along the railway express market share is low. It is of great significance to study the railway express freight transportation system for improving the level of railway freight service and the market share of express transportation in China. Firstly, this paper analyzes the express transportation market along the Beijing-Guangzhou corridor. This paper expounds the market target of railway express transportation products and determines the city for dealing with railway express transportation business. This paper analyzes the prospect of railway express transportation products in Jingguang corridor express transportation market from two aspects of market share and market demand. On the one hand, the improved Logit model is used to calculate the market share rate of various transportation modes at different distances. On the other hand, based on the time series of express business combination forecasting model. From 2018 to 2020, the express delivery business of the major cities along the Beijing-Guangzhou passageway was estimated. Then, the paper analyzed the Beijing-Guangzhou corridor express transportation products from the aspects of economic feasibility and timeliness. On the basis. This paper studies the design principles, product types and operating conditions of railway express transport products without affecting the operating conditions of passenger trains. This paper expounds the design method and train of thought of the express transportation product opening scheme of Jingguang corridor. In order to determine whether the railway express transportation product carries on the loading and unloading operation and the corresponding stop station plan in the intermediate station. In this paper, a programming model with the goal of minimizing the distance between empty trains and freight trains is established, and the concrete steps and methods for solving the problem are given, and based on the express delivery demand of the cities along the route in 2020. This paper designs the operating plan and transportation schedule of Beijing-Guangzhou railway express transportation products in 2020. At last, it expounds the current railway enterprise express transportation organization method and related problems. It is put forward that railway enterprises can cooperate mainly with express delivery companies, and take part in the competition of Beijing-Guangzhou express express transportation market.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:北京交通大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2017
【分類號(hào)】:F532.8;F259.27
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