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中國沿海地區(qū)旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)與產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚的空間關(guān)聯(lián)與協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展研究

發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-08-02 13:44
【摘要】:旅游業(yè)已成為中國東部沿海地區(qū)新的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長點(diǎn)和支柱性產(chǎn)業(yè),沿海地區(qū)旅游發(fā)展正處于黃金發(fā)展期,但同時(shí)也處于戰(zhàn)略提升、矛盾凸顯和產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)型的歷史時(shí)期,結(jié)構(gòu)性與需求性矛盾突出,旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)面臨著結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整、優(yōu)化與升級的重大壓力。培育旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚區(qū)是旅游業(yè)發(fā)展的新模式、新探索和新突破,旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚是旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展演化過程中的一種地緣現(xiàn)象,也是旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化升級的高級形式。同時(shí),旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的優(yōu)化升級也促進(jìn)旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚的合理健康發(fā)展。 立足于旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整和旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚理論,采用偏離份額法對旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)效益進(jìn)行分解和測度,采用比例系數(shù)等方法測度旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)合理化與高度化水平;運(yùn)用旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)區(qū)位商指數(shù)測度中國沿海省市旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚程度,構(gòu)建旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)水平與旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚程度的評價(jià)指標(biāo)體系和多指標(biāo)綜合指數(shù)模型對中國沿海省市旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)水平與旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚程度綜合指數(shù)進(jìn)行測算和分析。在此基礎(chǔ)上,以中國53個(gè)沿海城市為例,采用空間統(tǒng)計(jì)分析方法探討中國沿海城市旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)水平和旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚程度的空間關(guān)聯(lián)作用方向;采用空間常系數(shù)回歸模型(空間滯后模型和空間誤差模型)和空間變系數(shù)回歸模型(地理加權(quán)回歸模型)分別從全域和局域兩方面分析中國沿海城市旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)水平與旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚程度的關(guān)聯(lián)作用程度。最后,運(yùn)用耦合協(xié)調(diào)度模型量化測度中國沿海城市旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)水平與旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚程度的耦合協(xié)調(diào)程度,并對其進(jìn)行類型劃分和空間分析,進(jìn)而提出二者之間的耦合發(fā)展模式。將旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整與優(yōu)化納入了產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚的框架內(nèi),從產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚的視角探討區(qū)域旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的優(yōu)化升級,旨在為促進(jìn)沿海地區(qū)旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)要素空間合理配置、旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化升級提供系統(tǒng)的理論依據(jù),為解決沿海地區(qū)旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展中出現(xiàn)的諸多結(jié)構(gòu)性矛盾與問題,培育并形成旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整與旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚在空間上的良性互動、協(xié)調(diào)耦合機(jī)制,提供重要的現(xiàn)實(shí)指導(dǎo)意義。 選取空間誤差模型(SEM)來進(jìn)行“旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚程度對旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)水平作用”的全域常參數(shù)估計(jì),結(jié)果表明鄰近沿海城市關(guān)于旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)水平的誤差沖擊對中心沿海城市旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)水平具有顯著的正向促進(jìn)作用,且鄰近沿海城市旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)水平每增長1%,中心沿海城市的旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)水平就增長0.3176868%;旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚程度對旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)水平有顯著的正向影響,在保持其他條件不變的情況下,旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚程度每增長1%,沿海城市旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)水平就提高0.113524%。 “旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚程度對旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)水平作用”的局域常參數(shù)估計(jì)結(jié)果顯示,各沿海城市旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚程度每增長1%,旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)水平至少提高0.1%。其中在環(huán)渤海地區(qū),旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚程度對沿海城市旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化與升級的作用最明顯,長三角地區(qū)沿海城市次之,而珠三角地區(qū)沿海城市較弱。 運(yùn)用最小二乘(OLS)方法對沿海城市“旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)水平對旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚程度作用”的全域常參數(shù)進(jìn)行估計(jì),結(jié)果表明旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)水平對旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚程度具有顯著的正效應(yīng),,即在不考慮其他因素的情況下,沿海城市的旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)水平每增長1%,區(qū)域旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚程度就增長7.622267%。 “旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)水平對旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚程度作用”的局域常參數(shù)估計(jì)結(jié)果顯示,各沿海城市旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚程度每增長1%,旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)水平至少提高6.01%。其中,長三角和珠三角地區(qū)的中心沿海城市的系數(shù)估計(jì)值較大,而環(huán)渤海地區(qū)沿海城市的系數(shù)估計(jì)值較小,即在環(huán)渤海地區(qū),旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)水平對沿海城市旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚程度的作用較小,尚有待提高。 在沿海各。ㄊ校┲,除河北省外,旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)水平與旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚程度的耦合度(C)均在0.95以上,即二者的相互作用程度非常強(qiáng)。沿海省市旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)水平與旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚程度的耦合協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展度介于0.357到0.755,處于輕度失調(diào)與中級協(xié)調(diào)之間。天津、上海、廣東分別作為環(huán)渤海地區(qū)、長三角地區(qū)、珠三角地區(qū)旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)與旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展的增長極,在沿海三大區(qū)域旅游發(fā)展中發(fā)揮著重要的引擎作用。 沿海地區(qū)旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)與旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展模式包括旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚主導(dǎo)型、旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)主導(dǎo)型、政府扶持型三種。中國沿海地區(qū)應(yīng)從旅游產(chǎn)品開發(fā)創(chuàng)新、旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)技術(shù)路徑創(chuàng)新、旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)管理模式創(chuàng)新、完善旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施建設(shè)、旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)政策與制度創(chuàng)新、加強(qiáng)旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)區(qū)域協(xié)作,優(yōu)化區(qū)域布局等方面加強(qiáng)旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)與旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚的互動協(xié)調(diào)。
[Abstract]:Tourism has become a new economic growth point and pillar industry in the coastal areas of eastern China. Tourism development in coastal areas is in the golden period of development, but at the same time, it is also in the historical period of strategic promotion, contradictions and industrial transformation. The contradiction between structure and demand is prominent, and the tourism industry is facing structural adjustment, optimization and upgrading. The development of tourism industry agglomeration area is a new mode of tourism development, new exploration and new breakthrough. Tourism industry agglomeration is a geopolitical phenomenon in the process of the development and evolution of the tourism industry. It is also a high-level form of the optimization and upgrading of the tourism industrial structure. At the same time, the optimization and upgrading of the tourism industrial structure also promotes the rational health of the tourism industry agglomeration. Development.
Based on the adjustment of tourism industry structure and the theory of tourism industry agglomeration, this paper uses the deviation share method to measure and measure the structural benefit of tourism industry, and uses the ratio coefficient to measure the rationalization and height of the tourism industry, and uses the tourist industry location quotient index to measure the degree of Tourism industry agglomeration in the coastal provinces and cities of China and build a brigade. The evaluation index system of tourism industrial structure level and the degree of tourism industry agglomeration and the multi index comprehensive index model are used to calculate and analyze the comprehensive index of tourism industrial structure level and tourism industrial agglomeration degree in coastal provinces and cities of China. On this basis, 53 coastal cities in China are taken as an example to explore the Chinese edge by spatial statistical analysis. The spatial correlation of the tourism industrial structure level and the degree of tourism industry agglomeration in Haicheng City, the spatial coefficient regression model (space lag model and spatial error model) and the spatial variable coefficient regression model (GEO weighted regression model) are used to analyze the coastal urban tourism industrial structure water from the two aspects of the whole region and the local area respectively. In the end, the coupling coordination degree model is used to measure the coupling coordination degree of the tourism industrial structure level and the degree of tourism industry agglomeration in China's coastal cities, and the type and space analysis are carried out, and then the coupling development model between the two is proposed. The adjustment and optimization are included in the framework of industrial agglomeration. The optimization and upgrading of regional tourism industry structure is discussed from the perspective of industrial agglomeration. The aim is to provide a theoretical basis for promoting the rational allocation of tourism industry elements in coastal areas and the optimization and upgrading of the tourism industrial structure, and to solve many problems in the development of the tourism industry in coastal areas. Structural contradictions and problems, cultivate and form a benign interaction between tourism industrial structure adjustment and tourism industry agglomeration in space, and coordinate the coupling mechanism, and provide important practical guiding significance.
The spatial error model (SEM) is used to estimate the global parameter estimation of the level of tourism industrial agglomeration on the level of tourism industrial structure. The results show that the impact of the adjacent coastal cities on the tourism industrial structure level has a significant positive effect on the tourism industrial structure level in the central coastal cities, and it is adjacent to Haicheng. The structure level of the city tourism industry has increased by 1%, and the tourism industrial structure of the central coastal city is increased by 0.3176868%. The degree of tourism industrial agglomeration has a significant positive effect on the structure level of the tourism industry. In the case of keeping the other conditions unchanged, the degree of tourism industry agglomeration is increased by 1%, and the structure level of the tourism industry in coastal cities is on the level. Improve 0.113524%.
The local constant parameter estimation of the degree of tourism industrial agglomeration to the structure level of tourism industry shows that the agglomeration degree of tourism industry in each coastal city is increased by 1%, and the tourism industrial structure level is at least 0.1%. in the ring Bohai area, and the degree of tourism industry agglomeration has the effect on the optimization and upgrading of the tourism industrial structure along Haicheng. Most obviously, the coastal cities in the Yangtze River Delta are the second, while the coastal cities in the Pearl River Delta are weaker.
The least square (OLS) method is used to estimate the global parameters of the tourism industrial structure level on the degree of tourism industrial agglomeration in coastal cities. The results show that the tourism industrial structure level has a significant positive effect on the degree of tourism industry agglomeration, that is, the tourism industrial structure of coastal cities without other factors. The level of regional tourism agglomeration increased by 1% per level per 7.622267%..
The local constant parameter estimation of the tourism industrial structure level on the degree of tourism industrial agglomeration shows that the concentration of tourism industry in each coastal city has increased by 1%, and the tourism industrial structure level is at least 6.01%.. The coefficient of the central coastal cities in the Yangtze River Delta and the Pearl River Delta region is larger than that of the coastal Bohai region. The estimated value of urban coefficient is small, that is, in the Bohai Rim region, the level of tourism industry structure has little effect on the degree of tourism industry agglomeration in coastal cities, and needs to be improved.
In the coastal provinces (cities), in addition to the Hebei Province, the coupling degree of tourism industrial structure level and the degree of tourism industrial agglomeration (C) is above 0.95, that is, the degree of interaction between the two are very strong. The coupling and coordinated development degree of the tourism industrial structure level and the degree of tourism industry concentration in coastal provinces and cities is between 0.357 and 0.755, and it is in mild maladjustment and intermediate level. Coordination between Tianjin, Shanghai and Guangdong, respectively, as the region of the Bohai region, the Yangtze River Delta region and the Pearl River Delta region, the tourism industry structure and the Tourism Industrial Agglomeration Coordinated development, which plays an important engine role in the three major coastal areas of the coastal development.
The coordinated development mode of tourism industrial structure and tourism industry agglomeration in coastal areas includes the leading type of tourism industry cluster, the leading type of tourism industry structure and three kinds of government support type. The coastal areas of China should be based on the development and innovation of tourism products, the innovation of the tourism industry technology path, the innovation of the tourism industry management model, and the improvement of the infrastructure construction of the tourism industry. The interaction and coordination of tourism industry structure and tourism industry agglomeration should be strengthened in the aspects of tourism industry policy and system innovation, strengthening regional cooperation in tourism industry and optimizing regional distribution.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:中國海洋大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2014
【分類號】:F592.7

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