本文關(guān)鍵詞：中國去產(chǎn)能中的貿(mào)易應(yīng)對(duì)策略　出處：《云南財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

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【摘要】：次貸危機(jī)以來,我國經(jīng)濟(jì)平穩(wěn)運(yùn)行,對(duì)世界經(jīng)濟(jì)貢獻(xiàn)率逐年提高。在經(jīng)濟(jì)高速增長的背后,我國經(jīng)濟(jì)也出現(xiàn)了一些問題,其中產(chǎn)能過剩就是亟待解決的問題之一。產(chǎn)能過剩對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)有負(fù)面影響,其一,產(chǎn)能過剩導(dǎo)致銀行壞賬與信貸風(fēng)險(xiǎn)增加,其二,產(chǎn)能過剩限制內(nèi)生增長,抑制民間投資,其三,產(chǎn)能過剩使資源利用效率下降,造成資源浪費(fèi)、環(huán)境污染。近年,通過基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施建設(shè)、兼并重組、淘汰落后產(chǎn)能等方式,我國在國內(nèi)市場(chǎng)削減了部分產(chǎn)能,但需求端的增長乏力使得通過國內(nèi)市場(chǎng)削減產(chǎn)能的空間有限,因此通過貿(mào)易轉(zhuǎn)移,依托海外市場(chǎng)將成為我國削減產(chǎn)能的另一種途徑。在貿(mào)易削減產(chǎn)能的過程中,存在各種各樣的障礙,主要分為人為因素障礙與自然因素障礙兩大類。文章主要研究通過貿(mào)易轉(zhuǎn)移方式削減產(chǎn)能所面臨的障礙,首先從微觀層面尋找破解障礙的方法,然后通過選取2008-2015年,12個(gè)中國主要貿(mào)易國對(duì)中國鋼鐵,電解鋁,平板玻璃三種過剩產(chǎn)品的關(guān)稅稅率,三種產(chǎn)品運(yùn)輸效率,以及12個(gè)國家要素資源稟賦的面板數(shù)據(jù),設(shè)計(jì)計(jì)量模型檢驗(yàn)這些因素對(duì)我國貿(mào)易成本的影響,并測(cè)算了影響程度。通過理論研究與數(shù)學(xué)推導(dǎo)得出:通過貿(mào)易方式削減產(chǎn)能是可行的,國內(nèi)市場(chǎng)成本與貿(mào)易成本在削減產(chǎn)能中是作用相反的兩種“力”,當(dāng)國內(nèi)市場(chǎng)成本大于貿(mào)易成本時(shí),企業(yè)才會(huì)通過對(duì)外貿(mào)易途徑削減過剩產(chǎn)能。通過計(jì)量分析得出:關(guān)稅與運(yùn)輸成本都阻礙了貿(mào)易,要素資源稟賦則會(huì)促進(jìn)貿(mào)易。發(fā)達(dá)國家的關(guān)稅阻礙程度大于欠發(fā)達(dá)國家,欠發(fā)達(dá)國家的運(yùn)輸成本阻礙程度大于發(fā)達(dá)國家。依據(jù)研究成果,對(duì)我國通過貿(mào)易削減產(chǎn)能提出政策建議。如增強(qiáng)企業(yè)國際競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力;減少發(fā)達(dá)國家的產(chǎn)能轉(zhuǎn)移;加大欠發(fā)達(dá)國家的產(chǎn)能轉(zhuǎn)移等。
[Abstract]:Since the subprime mortgage crisis, China's economy has run smoothly and the contribution rate to the world economy has been increasing year by year. Behind the rapid economic growth, there are also some problems in our country's economy. Overcapacity is one of the problems to be solved. Overcapacity has a negative impact on the economy. Firstly, overcapacity leads to the increase of bad debts and credit risk of banks, and second, overcapacity limits endogenous growth. In recent years, infrastructure construction, merger and reorganization, and elimination of backward production capacity have led to the reduction of resource utilization efficiency, waste of resources and environmental pollution. China has reduced some of its capacity in the domestic market, but the weak growth on the demand side has limited space to reduce production capacity through the domestic market, so it is transferred through trade. Relying on overseas markets will become another way to reduce China's production capacity. In the process of reducing production capacity in trade, there are various obstacles. This paper mainly studies the obstacles faced by the way of trade transfer to reduce production capacity, first of all, from the micro level to find ways to solve the obstacles. Then from 2008 to 2015, 12 major trading countries of China's iron and steel, electrolytic aluminum, flat glass three kinds of excess products tariff rates, three product transport efficiency. As well as the panel data of 12 countries' factor resource endowment, the econometric model is designed to test the impact of these factors on China's trade costs. Through theoretical research and mathematical derivation, it is concluded that it is feasible to reduce production capacity through trade, and that domestic market cost and trade cost are two kinds of "forces" which have opposite effect in reducing production capacity. When the domestic market cost is higher than the trade cost, the enterprise will reduce the excess capacity through the foreign trade channel. Through the econometric analysis, it is concluded that both the tariff and the transport cost hinder the trade. Factor resource endowment will promote trade. The degree of tariff hindrance in developed countries is greater than that in less developed countries, and the degree of transportation cost hindrance in less developed countries is greater than that in developed countries. To our country through the trade to reduce the production capacity to put forward the policy suggestion, such as strengthens the enterprise international competitive power; Reducing capacity transfer in developed countries; Increase capacity transfer in less developed countries.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：云南財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號(hào)】：F752;F424

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